>>531272219
That's still a less than 7% probability, your opponent has higher odds of drawing any disruption + Lancea.

And the odds you opened this hand WHEN your opponent opened Lancea are 2.26%

Not to mention the entire line gets completely fucked by:
Imperm
Veiler
Ash
Droll
Impulse
Purge

And if all goes well, you end on JUST Ariseheart, which is an extremely weak board.

It dies to any disruption.
It gets completely shut off by Imperm/Droplet, it's easily stolen off of Tactics since the banish triggers automatically.