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Anonymous /sci/16713684#16715315
7/3/2025, 11:45:25 PM
>>16715226
The good:

>on schedule
>0% change on cost
>SpaceX is planning a flight to demonstrate
ship-to-ship cryogenic propellant transfer in 2025 followed
by an uncrewed lunar landing demonstration

The bad:

>NASA is tracking a risk that some of the necessary
propellant management technologies or capabilities will
not be adequately matured as planned. According to
NASA documentation, this could impact the project’s
ability to verify and validate the SpaceX lunar mission
architecture, resulting in delays to the Artemis III mission.
SpaceX plans to demonstrate the required systems
during ongoing flight tests.
>NASA is also tracking a risk related to the adequacy of
facilities available to teach astronauts how to manually
control the HLS and to condition them to flight-like
conditions anticipated during descent and landing on the
lunar surface. The HLS Initial Capability concept of
operations requires the HLS Initial Capability crew to be
capable of performing a manual landing in some
scenarios. This will require a mastery of certain skills,
including an understanding of the vehicle dynamics.
NASA is concerned that the planned training facilities do
not have the capability to train the crews to a mastery
level. This could result in an increased probability of loss
of the vehicle, crew, and mission during the landing
phase. NASA plans to better define the training
requirements by the program critical design review,
currently scheduled for some time in 2025.