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7/21/2025, 12:18:24 PM
>If the signs of weakness continue, however, there is a real chance that Jonas Vingegaard will win. He can even do it in two ways. The most obvious is of course that he drops his rival, and even though it is not obvious when the stage is so explosive and he probably only has 8 km to do it, I would still consider the chance better than on Saturday, when the climb is more difficult and he has a tailwind on the other part. It doesn't matter if the explanation for a possible Pogacar weakness is illness or fatigue, but the trend at Vingegaard seems to be at least an increasing form curve, as we also usually see. And if he gets away from Pogacar, he will probably last all the way. It is Vingegaard who has picked up Pogacar before and not the other way around, because he traditionally benefits from the length of the climb. However, the headwind is a wild card that could break him if Pogacar has company, but there shouldn't be people who are so close to the two giants that it becomes an option.
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