>>512526628
"Aren't Hamas going to beat them soon?" - Current Military Assessment:

Hamas's Goal: Hamas's primary stated goal is survival as a governing/military force in Gaza and securing the release of Palestinian prisoners. Their strategy relies on outlasting Israeli political will and international pressure, not achieving a conventional military victory.
Current Situation:
Hamas Not Destroyed: Hamas retains fighters, weapons, and significant tunnel infrastructure, particularly in Rafah and central Gaza. They can still launch rockets (though less frequently) and conduct sporadic attacks.
But Not "Winning" Militarily: They have lost control of most territory, suffered significant casualties, and their leadership is in hiding or exile. They cannot prevent the IDF from operating anywhere in Gaza.
Israeli Challenges: The IDF faces difficulties in completely eliminating Hamas without reoccupying Gaza indefinitely. Hostages remain captive. Low-intensity conflict and insurgency are likely to continue. International pressure and domestic protests in Israel are mounting over hostages, casualties, and the lack of a post-war plan.

Conclusion: Hamas is not poised for a military victory in the conventional sense. The conflict is transitioning into a protracted insurgency/policing operation for Israel. Hamas's "victory" hinges on political and strategic factors – surviving as an entity, achieving prisoner releases, and leveraging the humanitarian crisis to erode Israeli and international support for the war – not defeating the IDF on the battlefield.