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6/29/2025, 9:24:59 AM
>>509016133
>>509016153
>>509016333
Just don't get overly reliant next time. You can still trade with Russia, just don't let them get more than a 10-20% market share. Develop multiple relationships from here on out with different countries and suppliers. Use the cheap routes to subsidize the increased price of the more expensive or volatile supply wise.
Keep a pipeline with Russia. Develop the gas fields Ukraine has taken back if the war actually ends (pic related). Get a pipeline through Turkey into Azerbaijan (and an offshoot into Iraq). Now that Syria is overthrown, take advantage and get the East-Med pipeline into Israeli offshore gas. Help the Saudis build a pipeline through Syria to get oil (and help them ramp up another East-West pipeline so Iran can't control if you get oil). Take advantage of how close Nigeria is. Keep a few LNG ports just to have the option. Etc.
Then play them all off against each other for price. Like an actual market. Don't rely solely on the U.S. either. Strategic Ambiguity made "The West" strong during the cold war by offering a plethora of solutions whenever a crisis presents itself. Just like with defense spending making the U.S. (and each one of it's weapons) a too big to fail institution (when in reality we could easily have generalist and specialized equipment), Europe is much too reliant on the U.S guaranteeing international trade and resource markets. This is asking for a major problem.
It will be expensive and potentially unpopular since it will ask Europe to take an active and deployed presence around the world. Militarily, Institutionally and Economically.
>>509016153
>>509016333
Just don't get overly reliant next time. You can still trade with Russia, just don't let them get more than a 10-20% market share. Develop multiple relationships from here on out with different countries and suppliers. Use the cheap routes to subsidize the increased price of the more expensive or volatile supply wise.
Keep a pipeline with Russia. Develop the gas fields Ukraine has taken back if the war actually ends (pic related). Get a pipeline through Turkey into Azerbaijan (and an offshoot into Iraq). Now that Syria is overthrown, take advantage and get the East-Med pipeline into Israeli offshore gas. Help the Saudis build a pipeline through Syria to get oil (and help them ramp up another East-West pipeline so Iran can't control if you get oil). Take advantage of how close Nigeria is. Keep a few LNG ports just to have the option. Etc.
Then play them all off against each other for price. Like an actual market. Don't rely solely on the U.S. either. Strategic Ambiguity made "The West" strong during the cold war by offering a plethora of solutions whenever a crisis presents itself. Just like with defense spending making the U.S. (and each one of it's weapons) a too big to fail institution (when in reality we could easily have generalist and specialized equipment), Europe is much too reliant on the U.S guaranteeing international trade and resource markets. This is asking for a major problem.
It will be expensive and potentially unpopular since it will ask Europe to take an active and deployed presence around the world. Militarily, Institutionally and Economically.
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