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7/13/2025, 11:54:54 PM
>>531110708
>until OW devs give any actual insight into how the matchmaker works then it is entirely reasonable to assume that "statistically calculated to have a lower chance of winning" means that they have to be going off of something like the combined average winrate of the last 10 games played by each person on a team
That is not reasonable to assume, no. They're going off of the MMR of each team. You can calculate how likely you are to win in chess vs Magnus Carlsen with just your ELO rating and his, you don't need a combined average winrate over some arbitrary number of games.
Similarly, you could be on a 10 game losing-streak and still be favored to win vs someone on a 10 game winning-streak. How? Well, you're a plat player on a bad day and they're a gold player having a great day. It's not hard.
>i think this is what leads to the overwhelming feeling that the game is mostly "get stomped, then stomp" matches with genuinely even games being scarce
I think this is way more likely to be a game design problem than a matchmaking one. Tanks, for example, are way more important for the flow of the game than DPS are, so if your tank is under-performing compared to the enemy tank then you're probably going to get stomped. This game also snowballs very hard and it's not difficult to imagine that in a low communication environment (ranked) this becomes a much bigger issue than in an ideal scenario like high level play or playtesting.
>until OW devs give any actual insight into how the matchmaker works then it is entirely reasonable to assume that "statistically calculated to have a lower chance of winning" means that they have to be going off of something like the combined average winrate of the last 10 games played by each person on a team
That is not reasonable to assume, no. They're going off of the MMR of each team. You can calculate how likely you are to win in chess vs Magnus Carlsen with just your ELO rating and his, you don't need a combined average winrate over some arbitrary number of games.
Similarly, you could be on a 10 game losing-streak and still be favored to win vs someone on a 10 game winning-streak. How? Well, you're a plat player on a bad day and they're a gold player having a great day. It's not hard.
>i think this is what leads to the overwhelming feeling that the game is mostly "get stomped, then stomp" matches with genuinely even games being scarce
I think this is way more likely to be a game design problem than a matchmaking one. Tanks, for example, are way more important for the flow of the game than DPS are, so if your tank is under-performing compared to the enemy tank then you're probably going to get stomped. This game also snowballs very hard and it's not difficult to imagine that in a low communication environment (ranked) this becomes a much bigger issue than in an ideal scenario like high level play or playtesting.
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