>>534163261
>2042 was a disaster for EA so chances that the wagies who need a game to fill the gap between netflix and waking up for work look elsewhere goes up significantly

Well that just isn't happening. It's the most bought game on Steam right now.
In theory what you said is true as it's good logic and a perfectly reasonable expectation, but it's just not panning out. BF2042 has had little apparent market impact on BF6. These are also early pre-orders, outside the two week guarantee refund window and two months early

BF2042 never made it to #1 from memory, but to put it into better perspective it appears BF2042 never broke top 5 best selling over the same period of time (5-7 days).
I don't think it ever made it to the top selling chart during its release period either... Although BF6 isn't in its release period obviously

>if this ends up bombing
Yes, all true. I agree. The actual outlook for the game looks good though, and there are a lot of strong positive indicators outside of the marketing -"green flags" so to say.
If this was a prediction market then the unprecedented level of alpha access & beta access, the numerous & long amounts of real gameplay footage made available, and the earliness with which gameplay is revealed are all positive indicators. Among others.
BF2042 was basically the opposite of all the 'good indicators.' They had things like a very closed alpha which was under a very strict NDA.
The NDA itself caused a minor controversy with EA, which obviously is always unpopular. The Alpha still leaked as being the worst Alpha of all time.
The Beta had a period before release half as long as BF6s. It had a mixed reception among the most invested segment of their main base. Etc.

The past few games have all had weak launch figures, numerically and financially, except BF2042 embarrassingly for the former category. BF6 has already trended better than 1, V and 2042

TL;DR: I have autism but it's not really bad it's barely noticeable