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6/22/2025, 4:41:04 PM
>>508326917
This is all Trump's fault.
1. The JCPOA worked because of its dual strategy: surveillance + incentives
Iran refrained from enriching uranium not simply because it was illegal, but because of three key mechanisms:
Strict IAEA inspections, including the Additional Protocol
Powerful economic incentives—the lifting of crippling sanctions
The snapback clause, which automatically reimposed UN sanctions if Iran violated the deal
When this structure collapsed, Iran responded by saying:
>“If we’re going to be sanctioned anyway, we might as well resume enrichment.”
2. Trump's withdrawal destroyed both the deal's legitimacy and enforcement
When the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA, it eliminated both the incentive to comply and the means to verify compliance.
This led to:
The collapse of Iran’s moderate political factions
A new internal justification for enrichment: “We were the ones betrayed.”
A reduction in IAEA monitoring, making covert enrichment more plausible
Bottom line: It was Trump's withdrawal that directly triggered Iran’s nuclear violations not the other way around.
This is all Trump's fault.
1. The JCPOA worked because of its dual strategy: surveillance + incentives
Iran refrained from enriching uranium not simply because it was illegal, but because of three key mechanisms:
Strict IAEA inspections, including the Additional Protocol
Powerful economic incentives—the lifting of crippling sanctions
The snapback clause, which automatically reimposed UN sanctions if Iran violated the deal
When this structure collapsed, Iran responded by saying:
>“If we’re going to be sanctioned anyway, we might as well resume enrichment.”
2. Trump's withdrawal destroyed both the deal's legitimacy and enforcement
When the U.S. unilaterally withdrew from the JCPOA, it eliminated both the incentive to comply and the means to verify compliance.
This led to:
The collapse of Iran’s moderate political factions
A new internal justification for enrichment: “We were the ones betrayed.”
A reduction in IAEA monitoring, making covert enrichment more plausible
Bottom line: It was Trump's withdrawal that directly triggered Iran’s nuclear violations not the other way around.
6/22/2025, 1:12:51 PM
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