>>510502951
nothing will happen until Russia takes the entire Donetsk oblast

The red line is the borders of the 4 oblasts Russia says it needs to conquer. What can they realistically conquer this year?
I think if they really pushed for it, they could take the rest of Donetsk, and maybe some of Zaporizhzhia; but I can't really see them ever taking the rest of Kherson and I doubt they get to Zaporizhzhia city.