>>212337171
>best case scenario:
A new Poland/Hungary/post-Iron Curtain country. Gives Europe cheap labour and access to industries in exchange for funding for infrastructure, cleanup, education, etc. Probably highly integrated with Baltics as far as defense is concerned. Probably will not regain its lost territory unless Russia completely falls apart at its seams.
>worst case scenario:
War effort falls apart, half of the country is annexed, rest of Ukraine becomes Belarus and is overrun with churkas who do their best to ban the Ukrainian language and national identity. Entire country is stripped for resources and "punished" Soviet-style.