>>63869739
>if they start protests/anything tomorrow they will be hit extra hard and their whole chance will be jeopardized it makes no sense
Organic protests start small, just a few kids throwing stones at a police station because the police are away managing traffic around a bomb site.

>some local cop comes along and slaps the kids around
>waves an AK at them to get attention and make them back off
>some passing motorists shout some slogans at the cops to piss them off who sense they're losing control of the scene
>a warning shot is fired at the motorist
>it's misinterpreted and a kid tries to grab the gun
>someone gets shot.

>the next day a crowd gathers at the station to protest the killing
>someone throws a molotov...

>everyone's waiting for some kind of a decision
They're not, they don't have communications so rumours are flying and there's no way to verify anything.
They're waiting for pressure to build to some point. Pressure builds by
>people start disrespecting the regime in public
>ignoring hijab laws
>vandalising government propaganda/property
>hassling police who know they have no backup since the local garrison/station was bombed

If Israel really wanted to screw with Iran, they could hack/jam police comms. That would make anti-regime actions more successful and more threatening, necessitating a harsher response which begets more anti-regime actions.