It would seem, what does Ukraine have to do with it? A decisive victory for Russia will be the trigger that starts the mechanism of the "festival of disobedience" in the world. If Moscow was able to achieve its goal militarily with the opposition of the entire West led by the United States, then why can't we? Moreover, Russia and China can theoretically support it. That is, in practice, the balance of power in the international arena, disrupted by unipolarity, is restored.

And this is not only about solving some of your problems in the international arena with the help of armed forces. But about conducting a sovereign economic and financial policy without the fear of getting knocked down for it in the form of an American military operation. Such an opportunity completely changes the rules of the game in modern world politics and we wrote about it.

In general, Witkoff will offer some cosmetic concessions (most likely on territorial issues) in Moscow today during negotiations with the Russian political leadership, will try to outline the prospects for broad Russian-American cooperation in the economy and will threaten sanctions. At the same time, he will categorically not agree to Russia's minimal peace program (recognition of new regions as part of Russia, demilitarization, neutralization and denazification of Ukraine), so that the end of the conflict does not look like a victory for Moscow and a blow to the unipolarity and hegemony of the United States in world politics. Russia's "no" will launch the mechanism of a new round of confrontation with unpredictable results.