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7/12/2025, 12:49:50 PM
>>96071116
South Africa's GDP per capita has fallen since a 2011 peak and then mostly flatlined.
In general, THS has a slightly-off developmental model because it's been ~25 years since it was written. It greatly underestimated how fast countries can develop - it has the PRC become a larger economy than the USA in 2070, when the PRC has larger GDP (PPP) today, and probably will have larger nominal GDP in the ~2030s at current rates.
By extension, when they were looking for an "African powerhouse," they picked South Africa (reasonable enough, given its upward trajectory at the time), but then left the entire rest of Sub-Saharan Africa poor as fuck. Also did my boys in Botswana dirty, having them as tagalongs to SA's advance, when in reality they've outpaced it.
South Africa's GDP per capita has fallen since a 2011 peak and then mostly flatlined.
In general, THS has a slightly-off developmental model because it's been ~25 years since it was written. It greatly underestimated how fast countries can develop - it has the PRC become a larger economy than the USA in 2070, when the PRC has larger GDP (PPP) today, and probably will have larger nominal GDP in the ~2030s at current rates.
By extension, when they were looking for an "African powerhouse," they picked South Africa (reasonable enough, given its upward trajectory at the time), but then left the entire rest of Sub-Saharan Africa poor as fuck. Also did my boys in Botswana dirty, having them as tagalongs to SA's advance, when in reality they've outpaced it.
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