>>508136199
Imagine Afghanistan's mountains but instead of insurgents with PKMs and RPG7s as top tier gear that merely kept them in the fight, it is an entire theocratic state that has a robust manufacturing base, underground facilities and the means to form a vicious insurgency once the state does fall. They have small arms, missiles, drones, antiquated gear from yesteryear that when used as hoc will shock forces used only to counter insurgency against the poorest people in the world. Since GWOT Iran has been learning through proxy wars and its militias how the United States fights and how to counter, all the while gaining in parity to the US. America is still organized for counter insurgency and will only learn through bloody attrition. Organization has fallen, we lost three planes to Yemen just because soldiers are getting dumber or Yemen kept the up with bottle rockets. Non g7 countries will funnel aid to this fight. We could receive the equivalent of one GWOT worth of casualties every 6 months, increasing the rate of death and dismemberment by roughly 20x. Iran will fall but so will America to make it happen and it'll end like Afghanistan if we lost it 20 times. China moves on Tiawan, Russia finishes Ukraine. Rebellion and unrest domestically, some will be soldiers from the front. You'll see wounded and mass graves like Ukraine and you'll want to vomit because its getting closer to you with each passing day. The precipice is American exzog rebels suicide bombing AI killbots patrolling American streets.