>>507640630
I've been parsing through all the footage I could find and AFAIK this is what I could come up with:
Iranians figured ou how to turn Israeli threat prioritization against their own interest.
People are focusing on these isolated AA failures such as the THAAD battery firing on it's own launcher by mistake, but they’re missing the bigger picture.
The real takeaway here isn’t just that mistakes happen under pressure — that’s expected in any high-saturation environment. What’s far more telling is how Iran seems to have studied and adapted to the way Israeli air defenses operate.
From what I’ve observed, Israel modulates its anti-air coverage based on saturation — meaning the more widespread the attack, the thinner the defense net becomes as they aim to cover a bigger area. Iran appears to understand this, and they exploit it: by spreading out the attack initially with cheap drones forcing Israel to widen its coverage, which in turn lowers the effectiveness of both radar tracking and interception density.
After that they open with a few hypersonic or high-speed missiles to force early interception and confuse threat prioritization. Then comes a wave of heavier ballistic missiles and rockets, which are often the ones that actually cause most of the damage, so far most of their shit has been in the 350kg to 500kg range but they have tens of thousands of more modern stuff with up to 1ton warheads.
It’s simple, but incredibly effective.
> Yes, I have asperger syndrome and went on a 12 hour rabbit hole on how Israeli IADS works. Problem?
