>>149928964
I do not believe that it's that accurate. It gives the potential but many times it hasn't correlated with high potential, or I'll get a lower potential rider and he'll bloom and come out good. That is just my experience. I will look through riders myself and assess their potential. Like you can see their resistence and how rounded they are and generally that will indicate potential. Riders will one insane high stat generally won't come out that good. But a rider with lesser, but more rounded stats, in my experience will thrive.
Regens are really only a few 'types'. Like you'll see practically identical riders in different saves, so you look out for what you know will be a strong rider. Best rider I had was Andry Shpak from Ukraine. He was a 73 mountains, 69 hills and 69 recovery and resistence aged 18. I know to look out for this particular set of stats because he is a certain regen. Same save I picked up a very similar mexican with almost identical stats at 18 and he's progressive practically the same. They are the 'same' rider in regen world, and as Shpak was ending his career this kid spawned as the replacement so 1 of these type of rider is generally present in every save.
It's the same with punchers and cobble riders. Practically identical riders exist and their potentials vary only a little, but I can have 3 or 4 of the same rider on the team. Always something like 82-85 hills, 76-80 mountain, 75-80 cobbles, high resistance, high downhill, sprint from 74-76, acceleration over 80. This is a rider I can spot really easily they have hill around 72-74 and mountain 69-71 from 18-19 but ALWAYS a higher hill stat. And cobble is generally 67-70 at the same ages.
I had all 4 of these on the same team at one point, basically they are the same phenotype regens with minor variations. All had the same stats at 18-20 years old. Figure out these phenotypes, remember their stats are given ages and then look for them specifically.