"These various rhetorical lines seek to bolster the Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD)'s recently intensified effort to falsely portray Russian victory in Ukraine as inevitable.[4] The MoD attempted to use large amounts of qualitative data to make claims about Russian advances – data and claims which ISW assesses are inflated."

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-august-31-2025