>>512738788
>Good Ending

Russia takes Eastern half of Ukraine and the West runs out of money and the political will to do anything about it. The war freezes in place and it takes decades to basically recognize the reality that Russia won.

Ukraine retains Odessa and has nothing else. Turns into a state that at first is fractious and very unstable. It'll be run by factions that are opposed to Russia but don't have anything unifying them otherwise. They either A) further break apart or B) become a rump state that is basically just a piece of land between NATO and Russia, as they should have done after the fall of the USSR.

>Bad Ending
NATO keeps pushing and either NATO or Russia overplay their hand on something which then pits them against each other. Once NATO is involved, the Russians basically go balls to the wall. I don't know what that looks like, but I imagine the Russians know they can't win against NATO, so there's only the nightmare scenario left.

Even with China supporting them, the Russians can't win conventional war against NATO. The best they could hope for is a stalemate in Eastern Ukraine, but if those lines are breached, Russia will go nuclear.