>Fomortiis has 2x the backing of Sigurd on Reddit
>Loses to him by 1.5k votes in CYL9 (9066 to 10,597)

>Fomortiis has 5x the backing of Sylvain on Reddit
>Only beats him by 3.4k in CYL9 (9066 to 5611)

The problem Fomo has is that his support was massively, MASSIVELY overrepresented on Reddit. To be a contender he actually needs that Reddit backing unlike 3rd and 5th, Sigurd and Sylvain. If Reddit don't rally him again and its a three way race he won't win.
If Sylvain support on Reddit doubles like their polls claim he's probably ending up around 11k. If Fomortiis halves he's ending up around 4.5k. Fomortiis' biggest problem is that he's a fading meme vote and Reddit are distracted by Tsubasa instead.