Thread 149595025

Oh shit nigga wtf u doin edition

>Oh shit nigga wtf u doin

Allowing Lucas Giolito to turn into an AL Cy Young contender because I decided to bet on a Nationals player hitting a homerun.

>>149595219
Did you bet on that because when you looked at it you had an intrinsic knowledge of the future that they would hit a homerun or did you spend time thinking about if that was a good bet or not? If it wasn't the former dont place the bet. You should KNOW its going to happen before it happens. Last year I was able to fully predict the Broncos opening drive against the chargers with the 3rd string running back scoring the moment I saw the lines.

Also if you have to convince yourself or anyone else the bets gonna lose

Had a dream last night that Ladbrokes were offering markets like "a bald player to score this weekend". I think my subconscious is on to something.

post winners

>>149595335

>did you spend time thinking about if that was a good bet or not

Every bet I make, yes. There is no such thing as me having complete confidence that something will happen and to lay down more than a few dollars on it.

New to betting am I crazy or with promos is it basically free money with the "bonus bets" to join, use the promo, and then cashout so long as you do a lot of near coin flips with them and aren't the type to get addicted?

>>149596982
you sign up with multiple books and do matched betting / arbitage to gaurantee profit.
most casino promos can be exploited playing pass/dont pass or red/black. just need to be careful about playthroughs because some are traps.
I make a couple hundred bucks most months doing this. always playing with house money so i never ever lose.

oh my fucking god i was thinking cubs moneyline but didnt place the bet and now they have hit 5 homers by the third inning

>>149597785
this is why i bet on everything

>>149597785

>Suzuki HR
>Crow-Armstrong HR
>Busch HR
>Kelly HR
>But I have an Ian Happ HR on my slip instead

I hate everything so much that it is unreal

My only solace is that at least the people that took Kyle Tucker got fucked just as bad.

a potential nfl futures bet, but it would take until end of december to unfold.

eagles + bills to win their divisions @ 2.40

the afc east is a mess outside of the bills, all those shitters except the bills finished below .500 last year. i dont think any of them have made big enough changes in the offseason to contend with the bills.

the commanders are likely the only team to really challenge the eagles for the nfc east, but i trust hurts more than i trust daniels. the eagles look poised to make a couple more deep playoff runs. this feels like a train that is just starting to gain momentum.

bills are currently the books top favorite to win next years owl, eagles are a close second.

>>149601084
That's an easy win

>that feel when all the “pro” sports betting hustlers supported trump only for him to destroy any small chance they had from being able to make a living at it. Lobbyists and gambling company investors come first. Suckers!

https://www.newsweek.com/trump-big-beautiful-bill-threatens-professional-gambling-2093514

>>149585088
3 wins and 2 losses. Pavlyuchenkoa, Kartal and Struff worked perfectly. Ridiculous odds for a single set win against Alcaraz when Struff has always put up a fight against him on every surface. Also Osaka hilariously overrated again for the millionth time to lose early as a clear favourite. Should have been 4 wins because Borges choked terribly against Khachanov. Was up 5-2 in the 5th set before he fell apart and then lost in a deciding tiebreak. Bucsa was just terrible. Typical that she overperforms for a while and then shits the bed against a much worse player. Still a nice profit overall thanks to the high odds on Pavlyuchenkova and Struff.


Picks for tomorrow aside from Holmgren:

Baptiste to win a set against Andreeva @1.8

Collins to beat Swiatek @3

Tauson to win the second set against Rybakina @3.4

Going with a really rare second set pick because Rybakina often tends to run out of steam after the first set against tougher opponents. Seen it happen so many times. Starts out strong in the first set and then drops her level.

>>149584180
Sorry, you were completely right about Jarry. Completely overestimated Fonseca here. Didn't think he would lose this convincingly. Great read about this being a letdown spot for Fonseca.

>>149602073
>pay $10k in tax on zero profit
let me know where theres a source that isnt retarded AI

>>149603575
https://www.espn.com/sports-betting/story/_/id/45662537/big-beautiful-bill-raises-alarm-betting-community

https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/07/04/tax-bill-gambling-deductions-provision/

https://www.sportico.com/business/sports-betting/2025/donald-trump-tax-bill-gambling-losses-deductions-1234859009/

Sources Too liberal for you?

Even trump ass-licking Clay Travis’ website agrees.

http://outkick.com/betting/president-donald-trumps-big-beautiful-bill-disaster-sports-betting

Trump literally will do anything the highest bidder wants. In this case, the gaming industry is the highest bidder. They love a chilling effect on the handful of people that could beat them that the general population is too dumb to realize affects them as well

>>149603697
thanks for the links. as expected newsweek doesnt proofread their bots.
this is bad news for pros but wont affect casuals. you only deduct losses if you win enough to force the books to report it to the IRS

>>149602233
it's okay, pavlyuchenkova won so that made up for me not going for it
i tend to doubt my picks often because i don't do research, i mostly go with what i feel and that's why i don't feel like it's right to post them beforehand

>>149596325
not the bet value but at least its patriotic

>>149602183
Unlucky with Borges, that was a nice pick at fairly long odds and he should have won.

>hey guys lets legalize sports gambling instead of sticking with the reliable old bookie system
>that way the government will be able to tax the shit out of our winnings!!!
>omg what a great idea!!!

la galaxy v vancouver whitecaps btts yes @ 1.60
the past 6 h2h between these two sides has seen both teams score, and the whitecaps have scored in their past 6 visits to la galaxy. la galaxy are quite terrible this year however, only 1 win all season, but they are the books favorite in this game. whitecaps +0 at plus money could be a good bet, but in games like this where the team favors some bottom table shitter over the a team near the top of the table, they are usually right about possession. the whitecaps are 2W2L in games where they had less possession than the other team.

>>149604985
lol, lmao even

>>149609023
>>149604985
Galaxy had only won 1 match in MLS out of their 20. Now when you think its a good to bet against them they win 3-0. That's why over 2.5 is always better bet

doyers got blown out 18-1 good spot to back them on the -1.5 at +145

betting is always profitable if you have enough money

>baptiste sucks
my parlay was going to lose anyway

>>149613704
no shit. who bets against andreeva when it's fuckin' baptiste.

Can't deposit into bet365 anymore, they no longer accept what I was using (forget what it was called), my bank doesn't allow my credit card to be used, and they don't accept prepaid cards. What a run

>>149613768
i dont know who these people are
the germ said shed win a set.

>>149613816
RIP
i need to use 4 debit cards to work around my banks restrictions. its fucking lame.

>>149613816
i also can't deposit into bet365 coz they banned me

>>149613704
>>149613768
I think I saw some inconsistency and general shakiness in her recent grass play but this was probably not the spot to try and fade her. Not like I expected Baptiste to be particularly good but she was atrocious. Can't get every underdog pick right.

>>149614271
Holmgren choked hard

>>149618579
Holmgren doing his best to keep it close but not clutch enough in some key points. That second set tiebreak was very winnable. Only hope is that De Minaur relaxes a bit now because he has a comfortable lead.

>>149602183
Everything shat the bed except for the Tauson bet. The match went exactly as I predicted. Rybakina's level fell off a cliff after the first set. Baptiste and Collins were atrocious and Holmgren didn't have enough left in the tank even if he kept it somewhat close in the first 2 sets. Was due for a day like this with all these underdogs. Probably not going for much tomorrow.

>>149620248
Not trying to force anything and trying to calm down with too many picks at once so only going for one thing tomorrow: Pavlyuchenkova to win the first set against Kartal @2

Germans are fucking trash. Your country is good at fucking nothing. You are losers, you lost everything. If nobody would buy German cars you would be as poor as Romania.
You couldn't score one fucking goal against the frog eaters embarrassing.
France owns you and is better than you at everything

what the fuck is dortmans problem?

>>149602073
Land of the free innit

went all in on sinner and novax winning in under 18.5 games and now im winning again

>>149625249
>the flag
>the post

>>149627835
What you want me to add Americans and USA too in the same category bitch?
Imagine having a revolution to be in a worse shape and worse situation than you would have been a colony of UK.
Fucking fat loser ugly americans

>>149627988
Lmao you are so mad
lose it all again?

>>149628031
No I am sitting on some much fucking money betting against your retarded low IQ brain and shit picks on baseball bitch.
Retarded americans like you have given me so much fucking money so thanks retarded loser Americans. Your retarded dumb orange low IQ kike puppet president enriched me on stocks too. So thanks USA and Americans. I am grateful for you losing at everything you deserve being owned by China

>>149628374
sure thing, you dumb brown third worlder

If you want to make money always bet against USA and Americans. If you see a pick or parley by an American always bet against him. You will always make money. Stocks too always bet against USA

>>149628467
Calls me third world and brown but his country looks like this
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=EWnQFLNTaIk
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nOP4m1z9IUw
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=jVflUshi0uI
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=VuUIGbz8EK0&pp=ygUXa2Vuc2luZ3RvbiBwaGlsYWRlbHBoaWE%3D

Look at this retarded low iq fat ugly american. You are the worst gambler in human history. Like I said always bet against americans you will win. They are retarded low iq fat and ugly. Loser country and loser people. And >>149627835
>>149628031
has the audacity to even talk. You are the worst and most retarded gambler ever. I always bet against you and I always won lol.

absolutely mind broken lol

>>149613187
KWAB

>>149631596
Mommy call you stupid again?

>>149631785
Did your mommy say you are broke fat ugly loser who needs to get out of her basement? And who losses all his money and has shit picks? Yea she did

maybe sierra 2.40? certainly not confident enough to put anything big on it

just a small gamble you dont have to follow, its quite risky.
f1 head to head:
george russell vs lewis hamilton
george russell @ 3.00

the ferraris optimal conditions are tracks with medium to higher speed corners, it struggles to heat its tires effectively for lower speed tracks. the mercedes biggest issue this weekend so far has been with tires overheating in medium to high speed corners, as their car is much more suited for lower speed tracks. so tomorrows race at silverstone should favor the ferrari right? the temperature has dramatically dropped over night, qualifying took place under clear skies and 24C conditions, it is expected to be around 16C at the start of the race tomorrow, overcast for most of the race with a low chance of rain. this temperature drop helps out the mercedes more than the ferrari. the ferrari has a very narrow temperature window, it needs a really warm day with clear skies. i trust mercedes pit strategy more than ferraris in a race with the possibility rain. ferrari clown pit stop always a possibility too.

>no balance because poor
>watch the horsies for fun
>picked 13 out of 15 winners
sigh

Braves
Angels under
Mets

i VILL be going nuclear this nfl season i hope youre ready

>>149623449
Pavlyuchenkova won 2-0 so that's a win. Was a pretty close call. Kartal should have probably won the first set. Was even leaning Kartal first Reason I went with Pavlyuchenkova ultimately is Kartal lacks experience in these big matches and tends to underperform compared to earlier rounds. Think tomorrow's matches look a bit more interesting odds wise. Trying not to go overboard with the number of picks again.

>>149635337
Lol

hulk podium

Haven't been online for a week. Eventually signed a new contract with tipzone. From now on i'll be posting at this adress
https://hunchmagazine.blogspot.com/

lol rip anyone who had tigers guardians under 7

>>149651125

I had Tigers -1.5 and Riley Greene HR. I don't even know what to say really outside of I hope I didn't use all my luck for the day on that one inning.

>>149651201

Nevermind, I just saw that the Twins are fucking me over.

>>149647874
De Minaur to win a set against Djokovic @1.7

Tauson to win a set against Swiatek @1.8

Which radio broadcast gives the best odds for sport betting, besides VSIN?

andrianjafitrimo 5.20

had jacob lopez at over 5.5 strikeouts and the guy ended up striking out 6 batters in a row. thank you jacob lopez.

white sox
angels
padres

this is the bet

>>149660884
nope

Very dominant first set win by De Minaur. Quick 6-1 with Djokovic kind of giving up halfway through the set. Ridiculous odds for a single set win. Djokovic looked awful with several double faults. He's probably going to raise his level for the rest of the match but that doesn't matter now that De Minaur already got his set.

>>149661154
you dont know. your only being contrarian

>>149661740
am i correct to say Djokovic is usually a mess in middle rounds? real threat if he survives to quarters?

im promo restricted on MGM because I won too much. they only turned off the daily free games so maybe its only a cooldown.
anyway, you beat their playthrough by going all with the slot bonus. eventually you hit a 10x - 100x because thats how slots work. then stake the mininum until you convert. I was pulling $20-50 a week for several months. not surprised they cut me off but im still sad about it.
on the bright side i wrenched $10 from ceasars daily game today. beating those cheapskate faggots is better than sex, probably.

help me with my next futures parlay, /bet/
lets make it a 6 legger.
MLB (no NYY or ATL)
NCAAF
NFL (no DET)
NCAAB
NBA
FIFA World Cup

>>149662292
I wouldn't call it a mess but he's definitely prone to dropping sets to lesser players especially earlier on in the match when he's still trying to find his match rhythm and knows it's probably better to conserve his energy for the next sets rather than try to force a comeback when he's already down. Of course he's also more prone to being threatened by more players nowadays due to struggling with age and match fitness. The most important factor today seems to be the wind. Realistically De Minaur still loses this but I wouldn't rule out the upset if he can extend the rallies becaude Djokovic really doesn't like these conditions.

Fucking outrageous, bet365 only handles 3 friendlies for today... What bookies handle more friendlies than that stupid site?

>>149652648
Second time in a short while I've been burned really badly trying to fade Swiatek on grass. Still don't fully believe these showings are sustainable for a longer time but for now I guess I have to stop betting against her. Tauson started out somehwat promising and then lost complete control of everything. At least I got the Pegula call in the Bad Homburg final right. A win and a loss, could have been worse. Feeling stupid about not giving Dimitrov to win a set a try with how ridiculously lopsided the odds are for Sinner at this point. He was due for a set loss against a player who actually does well on the surface. Always these hindsights that make you reach for other bets.

>>149666400
i wasted 2.50 fliff dollars on your picks today. cant wait for the next batch :^)

>>149667612
Don't worry, I have plenty of underwhelming losses in store for the rest of the week.

>>149666400
Don't really like anything for tomorrow's Wimbledon matches. Leaning towards Pavlyuchenkova to win a set against Anismiova since she's been a real money maker all tournament but this is probably the end of the road for her given Anisimova's form. The odds aren't quite high enough for me to actually go for it. Also have a suspicion that Fritz - Khachanov is going to be a fairly close match but have no real bet angle here either. Khachanov's play has been very shaky so far but I think he matches up well stylistically with Fritz.

Instead I'm going to waste my money on some Challenger clay tournaments that have started this week. Don't tail these if you don't want to lose money:

Uchijima to beat Chirico @1.55 in Bastad

Burillo Escorihuela to beat Cocciaretto @6 also in Bastad

Fita Boluda to beat Masarova @4 in Contrexeville

Doubt Cocciaretto has mentally recovered from that throw against Bencic on Saturday quite yet. That plus the sudden surface change with very little time to prepare makes me think she's in a prime spot for an early loss. Obviously it's still quite the longshot given the skill difference but I really don't expect to see her best tennis here.

I've been juggling 3 names to use for a 2-leg HR play (just a $5 one), so I'm just going to put all 3 names here so they can be thread cursed to not hit a HR and I won't have any regrets about not pairing the right ones. Hunter Goodman, Bobby Witt, Ketel Marte.

>>149668707
i like it
used up all my dk points for this

grant 1.60

>>149668631
i'd be mildly surprised if uchijima lost

Guys I took the moneyline on the Angels, on a scale of 1 to 10 how FUCKED am i

>>149662404
>im promo restricted on MGM because I won too much
god casinos and sportsbooks are such faggots. they steal so much fucking money and the second they have to give some of it back they're on high alert.

>Ended up with Witt/Goodman
>Witt HR
>Goodman 0-4

Don't do it Marte. Do not.

>>149670650
You have won bigly

>>149670723
i'm praying you're right, thank you anon

>>149670723
YOU LIED TO ME ANON, THE ANGELS ARE GETTING CLOBBERED ALREADY

>>149670862
probably should've bet on the other team then desu

>>149670868
fuck it dewd, i lost it all dewd, fuck my life man. it's gone, it's all fucking gone dewd

>>149670897
post $1 slip

slightly tempted on siegemund 11.00 but sabs will just use her sheer power to overwhelm her

did he suicide? can probably cash out the angels rn for a profit

>>149671188
FUCK. i cashed out and put what was left on the dbacks.
i think god might actually hate me

>>149671199
whoops...........................

Will anon win Bigly tonight or will he Kwab? Find out on this episode of /bet/

angels won did they not

Angels won lol

the dbacks won did they not? he never said his winnings or losses after that debacle

>deposit $200
>make a $1 bet

btts on chelsea vs the mexican team

ez

>>149673257
chelsea to win

ive got no bets to do.. not confident in picking anything related to chelsea -flum or psg- real madrid.
wtf do i do now... wait for the premier league to start back up?

>>149674847
ufc

>>149674847
chelsea dc is free money, honestly.
slip unrelated

>>149670328
>>149670350
>both lost
whew. made it back but jesus.

>>149675418
>amerimutt
>gives his opinion on footie

>>149676985
if -700 isnt a safe bet theres no point in betting soccer at all

>>149676985
even the VAR gods are on my side. easy chelsea win for sure now

Iga and Andreeva both to win 2-1 in sets tomorrow. 16/1. It will happen.

>>149668631
Predictable 3 out of 3 losses. Even Uchijima shat the bed. What really pisses me off is that Burillo Escorihuela was the right call for these odds. Lost a pretty close 2-1 which she probably would have won if she hadn't wasted her chance to win the first set. Was definitely on the right track and Cocciaretto looked pretty shaky as I predicted but ultimately it wasn't enough. Not much to say about the other two matches.

Don't really like anything for tomorrow's Wimbledon matches either. Always pretty slim pickings in these second weeks of slams. Not going for any Challenger stuff either. Lepchenko to beat Sherif @4 looks pretty tempting but I already know it's just going to fail in some close sets anyway.

>>149682776
You think any upsets can happen with Sinner or Djokovic?

cubs

>>149682866
Djokovic? Not really. But Sinner is interesting because I realistically wouldn't predict an upset here either but he is dealing with an elbow injury and cancelled outdoors practice for today. I assume it can't be anything too serious because he was still hitting indoors and his team has made no hints at a withdrawal but it could definitely be a factor since it was already hindering him in the Dimitrov match. At the end of the day I still expect him to win because I don't think he's the kind of player who would try really badly to play through a bad injury. If it's that bad he would withdraw or retire after a set. Shelton to win a set is definitely an angle but the odds have been dropping all day and will probably continue to drop.

>>149682959
Ok, i've read in the superbet chat people praising Cobolli, and saying Sinner is hurt and should've lost to Dimitrov. Haven't watched any games.
>I still expect him to win
>If it's that bad he would withdraw or retire after a set.
So Sinner wins, and if he is losing he retires ... and the bet gets voided. Sounds tempting for these odds. Thanks

Btw, amongst the unending streak of incomprehensible losses i've had for the past 8 days, i've also lost on reddit's favourite "unconventional" tennis player: Bublik, the "clown", the "circus" man, playing against a literal homosexual: Munar, the bum gladiator. Woke up from my agonizing sleep at 2-1 for Bublshit ,with a break up, serving for the match. He lost serve, he lost the tiebreak, he lost the 3rd set.
S

Btw, amongst the unending streak of incomprehensible losses i've had for the past 8 days, i've also lost on reddit's favourite "unconventional" tennis player: Bublik, the "clown", the "circus" man, playing against a literal homosexual: Munar, the bum gladiator. Woke up from my agonizing sleep at 2-1 for Bublshit ,with a break up, serving for the match. He lost serve, he lost the tiebreak, he lost the 5th set.
S

royals +0 after 5 innings @ 1.74
blue jays +0 after 5 innings @ 1.55

han shi 4.00 could be some value but this might finally be korneevas turn to win a match so i'll avoid
from what i hear siegemund 11.00 was pretty close to a win but she choked

>Mets
>Cubs
>Astros

Triple yikes

Psg wins right

>>149685009
The metties aint out yet

>total profit after betting through $50 is $1.40
jej at least i haven't lost money but it's been a failure so far

update staked a total of $73 now and my profit is now $3
absolutely stonking...

>$100~ staked
>$4.40 profit
grim today is not my day

>>149685070
Yes

>>149687260
go all in on shelton. feel the thrill of real gambling

>>149689704
i'm up to $7.67 atm with a $1 bet pending, earlier i looked at shelton to win a set and even that felt iffy desu. i shan't ruin my day.

golf and racing matchups markets are weird. odds and vigs vary wildly between books and events

>>149689733
smart. the sinner injury is lies

legit impossible to find a good play for madrid psg.
too many factors and even if ytou were to say "lets bet on over goals" they have courtouis and donnaruma.

>>149690369
1x is good but I have bet on PSG win

korneeva won putting todays total at $9.14

lost my $9.14
as i do
but
sprung back now at $11.25

aiava 1.50 while i sleep

>>149682541
its not happening

>>149682541
Fuck

sinner looking strong af

Fuck betting on luckswing lotto, what a stupid fucking “sport”

phillies offense is ass

>>149691453
course she lost
at least shelton didn't take a set so i was right there

Loving this turner and schwarber only two guys whiffing in an 11 hit blow out going on right now despite all the metrics in their favor. Shit is so random sometimes.

>>149693613
I actually think Sinner is going to win the tournament now. A lot of people in the past few days seem to have been talking about an easy third win in a row for Alcaraz. This coupled with the injury scare, which really didn't seem to hinder him much at all against Shelton, makes me think he's being underestimated as the potential winner. I suspected he would be ready to play if he didn't withdraw. Usually don't ever bother with future odds at all but I'm throwing a bit on Sinner to win Wimbledon @3.25 because I wanted to bet on him to beat Djokvic anyway and I would likely bet on him against Alcaraz in the final. Since the combined odds would likely be not much higher than 3.3 anyway I'm going with the future odds since there is also a very small chance Alcaraz might lose to Fritz even if I really don't see that happening at all.

>>149700837
one of these days im going to start tracking my /bet/ reverse jinx posts

>>149702353
Unrelated but my score predictions for tomorrow's matches are Sabalenka beats Anismiova 2-0 and Bencic beats Swiatek 2-1. Let's see how wrong I am with both of these. Not betting on anything here. Just posting it here to look back at it. I suspect that Sabalenka will play a much cleaner match than in the previous rounds. I've seen it so many times before where the favourite plays shaky match after shaky match. Struggling with way inferior players up to the point where it looks like an early exit. But still goes through. Then finally faces a player where nobody would really be too surprised about an upset. In this case Animisova, who actually has a good record against her. Then the favourite just wins in a convincing 2-0 and it's like all the shaky matches before never happened because making it through these matches is a burden off of the mind. On the other hand I predict the Bencic upset here because Swiatek's game has looked ridiculously dominant for her grass standards against basically anyone but randomly McNally for one set. Too dominant in fact even up to the point where I would say she hasn't been challenged enough. Bencic is a player who I think can frustrate Swiatek with some slower plays taking the pace out of her game and making her overreach with some forehands. Swiatek in general seems to have been pretty impatient in the last year or so. Trying to end rallies quickly and trying to force winners especially on the forehand wing. I could be on the completely wrong track with both matches but that's why I'm not betting anything. Just want to look back on this drivel once the matches have finished.

Going with Bronzetti to beat Ruzic @1.8 and Riera to beat Gracheva @3 for actual bets tomorrow. I already know both of them will shit the bed so you should fade these if you want to make some money.

>>149702517
this garbage goes off buy turner can't get a single with 15 hits.

recovered aiava + profit. 1.50 felt generous for a top 4.

>>149702612
i'm most likely gonna stay away from the tenny until the next tournies start in 4ish days (i won't have balance by then anyway lel)

>>149702739
if it makes you feel any better i gave $9 of it back with a hedge after the 6th. honestly didnt think they had anymore juice today.

>>149702917
Been staying away too for the most part. Hate second weeks of slams for betting. So hard to find anything good outside of some smaller Challenger/ITF stuff.

>>149702353
for me the final is a coin flip, i'd rather only bet on sinner against djokovic because i'm sure he'll win that

>>149702966
I just its funny that a back comparison of similar players with similar ba who aren't cold, on a 7 of last 10 hit avg, in games with that number of total hits is like 99% but then any other random crap you picked for philly worked. Sunday I actually had a single bet on a under homerun on Austin Hayes in Zack Wheelers 9 inning 1 hitter too.

>>149703477
Based on these future odds you can tell that Sinner would be an underdog in the final against Alcaraz. If you really think it is a coinflip then you should bet him @2.2 or whatever his odds in the final would be. He will definitely be at plus odds.

>>149702353
>>149703477
Are we 100% on sinner beating djokovic?

>>149703631
i am. hes seeking blood after kwabbing last tourney

>>149703598
good point, yeah i definitely will but because i'm not sure about the final i think it's better to do it separately

anastasia abbagnato 6.50 to beat katie swan is tempting me

>>149703495
thats a bad beat but why did you even bet it? had to be -800 or longer.

>>149703631
i expected his odds to be lower than 1.45
it's a very tough matchup for djokovic because sinner does a lot of things he does but better

>>149703631
There are no 100% calls in a slam semi final against Djokovic. It's not like we're predicting Sinner to beat Martinez. But I am fairly confident after Djokovic's matches against De Minaur and now Cobolli. Djokovic is still good enough on grass to comfortably handle the vast majority of the tour but I don't think he will be able to hang in the longer rallies with Sinner. He was already struggling in rallies with De Minaur but won because De Minaur's serve was too exploitable. If Sinner serves like he did against Shelton it will be a different story. Still a little iffy about the elbow because I do think it could be a bigger problem against someone with a much more dangerous return game which Shelton obviously doesn't have in comparison to Djokovic. But @1.5 are some great odds for Sinner to win. No doubt they would be a bit lower if not for the Dimitrov match.

bet through and withdrew my $200 giving me $12.89 to build with

>>149703794
>i expected his odds to be lower than 1.45
>>149703797
>@1.5 are some great odds for Sinner to win
Everyone is betting on him, it'll probably drop to 1.35 by tomorrow

>>149703842
Yes, money seems to be coming in. I already see @1.4 in some places. I actually hate when a line gets steamed like that. Probably just being paranoid but when too many people have the same idea in these big matches that's usually not a good sign. Another reason I like the future bet to win Wimbledon better because if he does lose to Djokovic at least the bet wasn't wasted on these lower odds.

>>149703832
nice.

>>149703706
I'd say wait for Swan to potentially win this match and then fade her the next round but not like I have some great insights into Swan's performances in Don Benito.

>>149703899
it's smart to look at it like that - focus on not losing a lot rather than going for the sure win
it's hard for me to resist when i'm confident about the outcome and the odds aren't crazy low like 1.1-1.2

>>149703899
im not going to bet it but i may try to arb it with hopes of a retirement. sinner injury isnt completely made up. might not have 5 long sets in him.

>>149703949
the bookie i'm currently using doesn't even have the match so that decided for me

>>149703969
Classic. Love when you finally find a good match in some smaller tournament and then it turns out it's not even being offered. Then the player you wanted to take of course ends up winning. Or the odds are so ridiculously juiced on both sides you wonder how anybody can even bet on it. Maybe I'm just hallucinating but I swear I've seen odds of like @1.6 for the favourite and @2 for the underdog in some ITF events.

>>149704037
happened to me the other week, xu 4.50 vs parks, i thought this is a very easy winner but my bookie didn't have it. xu won of course.

>>149703958
That's an interesting point. Maybe Shelton just didn't push Sinner enough in the return games for the elbow to be an issue? I still don't really see him retiring this late in the tournament if he shows up to play in the first place but I get the idea.

>>149704067
That always hurts. Parks is so shit. No idea how she ever beats anybody outside of indoor hard courts.

>Elly already sold me hard
>Astros selling me
>Cubs offense/Kyle Tucker selling me

The lucky breaks from last weekend might have used up all my luck for the rest of the month. It was a good 3-day run (by my standards).

>>149595025 (OP)
caesars has katie taylor at +180
several books have serrano at -180
could be some free money if you keep an eye on it

win

mcilroy to win the scottish open

What's the worst bookies you've ever used, I'd probably say Livescore since they restricted my account for no reason.

sinner
iga
$5 whole dollarydoos on it

>>149705080
MGM has serrano at -160
free money you dumbass mother fuckers.

>>149710461
explain like im a mutt

>>149702612
Hilarious predictions. Sabalenka played like shit all tournament and obviously loses 2-1. Swiatek wins in another dominant 2-0. The exact opposite outcomes of my 2 predictions. The actual 2 Challenger bets of course both failed miserably. Especially Bronzetti was terrible. Not like there's much left but I'm done for the rest of the week. Insane how you could fade literally all 4 things in that post for good odds. It's like I'm doing this on purpose. During these losing streaks I sometimes wonder if I should place a bet, immediately cancel it and then bet the opposite outcome.

Luckswing action anybody? Romanianon?

>>149714419
Oilers under
Stankees
Rangers

the mariners +0 after 5 innings @ 1.74. woo is one of only 9 major league pitchers with a whip under 1.00. he has only gone over 1.00 whip in 1 of his 17 starts this season. tied for 3 in the bigs with 13 quality starts this season, woo has pitched at least 6 innings in every one of his starts this season. hes currently on a 12 inning shutout streak, striking out 17 batters during that time. he has a 2-0 record and hasnt allowed a run across 11 innings during his career when pitching at yankee stadium. marcus stroman can be an elite pitcher, and he definitely has elite stuff, but this will be his third start after spending more than 2 months on the DL with a knee issue. since returning to the lineup, manager aaron boone has commented that stroman is more like the 6th man in the 5 man rotation. yankees also made lineup changes from last night, giancarlo stanton and paul goldschmidt will not be starting tonight. this looks like woo has the edge over stroman, just need the mariners to score a few runs.

lost my profits on a 1.16
try again next time lel

have a feeling the rays win tonight, but not enough to bet on it. buehler is ass.

>>149711641
its too late. lines have moved. but heres how it works
$100 on taylor at +180 pays $280
$176 on serrano at -160 pays $286
>bet $276
>return $280 or $286
>$4 or $6 dollars profit
usually you need boosts to make it work but sometimes a book is desperate and youll get it for free. its too rare to spend time searching for it but i stumble on one every 1 or 2 months

mariners ahead after 5 wish i made that rays bet but oh well.

>>149710182
Alcaraz as well.

>Miles Mikolas and Michael Soroka turning into Cy Young candidate pitchers when I have the over
>Also have two players from that game to hit a HR
>This singular game is going to ruin the first leg on all 3 bets

I should have centered everything around the Rangers/Angels laser show that is happening later.

woke up to a $50 casino sweepstakes win. going to be a bad day at the books

sinner is going to win it all.

We fucked the bookies raw today. >1.45 against washed djokobitch

sinner is due for a win against alcaraz

>>149728934
you guys were talking about that recently, how if a team beats another too many times in a row you should bet on the other one

>>149727063
Yes

>>149702353
good call on the sinner futures. barely a dog against alcaraz

>>149729100
See Sinner@2.1 so pretty much what I predicted. Normally I wouldn't bother with future this late into a tournament but the odds for Sinner to win were higher than at the start of it so it made sense to me. Even more ridiculous were the odds before the Shelton match. Think I saw it around @4.5 or so. Even as an individual bet Sinner to beat Alcaraz looks good for these odds. I assume some money will be coming in on Sinner after how he dismantled Djokovic.

swiatek @1.4 vs. anismova
i've been winning too much recently so either this one or the sinner bet will bite me in the ass

chase burns over 6.5 strikeouts @ 1.66

rockies have the highest k% and second highest total strikeouts verses right handed pitching on the road. also the lowest bb% in the bigs, and second lowest batting average and second worst ops against righties on the road. the rockies tend to swing quite aggressively and arent patient at the plate. chase burns is a young pitcher but fairly touted prospect. guy has a fastball that can touch 100, and slider that gets them swinging. he has averaged over one strikeout per inning pitched so far this year in the bigs, and also had over 1k/ip in the minors. this guy does for sure has the stuff to strikeout a side in order.

>>149731575
dont bet baseball this weekend. 20-24 guys on every team are focused on tee times

6 strikeouts through 3 innings bro is fucking carving the rockies up

>>149731639

For me, it was the Cubs offense and the Reds offense that took the weekend off. FFS.

iwaki sc vs v varen nagasaki both teams to score - yes @ 1.60
sagan tosu +0 @ 1.60

ufc bets?

>you have bet $5 this session
>2 hours later
>you have bet $30 this session
PLEASE I JUST NEED ONE HIT.

>>149737413
$100 on a 1.30
done
simple
easy

Tour de France stage 8 winner

> Biniyam Girmay 11/1

Won the sprinter jersey last year and 3 stages in sprints. Today will be a chaotic and slightly uphill sprint which suits him as a smaller lighter sprinter. He's already finished 2nd on a stage this year but this suits him more.

It is a risky bet but 11/1 odds are insane considering he's basically guaranteed to get top 3. A few euro/dollar/pound would be a good bet to just forget about and it might come through. I'd say his chance of winning today is around 40%. I say again, he won 3 stages last year and a 2nd on stage 1, insane odds 11/1.

>>149737413
Cardinals to beat Braves @ 1.77 looks good

Thoughts?

>>149741395
BOOKIES LOVE HIM

>>149737174
I've been mid AF this year but here you go Bulgariabro

UFC Lewis vs Teixiera...starts in 6 hours

>Curtis -305 vs Griffin
Parlay piece, making a 2 unit ML bet too. This is a bad matchup for Griffin. Curtis is a better, more polished striker and very durable. Fight will take place on the feet, Griffin isn't holding Curtis down. Most likely Curtis by decision, but a TKO possible too.

>Matthews -105 vs Njokuani
Had bad luck betting on Matthews in the past, but I like this matchup. Chidi gets taken down and controlled most the fight. Matthews decision or GnP TKO

>Moura + Kline ITD + Petrino parlay
Don't often make parlays but love this one. All three should maul their opponents. Odds may differ by book, should pay +150 range

>Kattar +115 vs Garcia
Kattar has been fighting the best in the division for years. Garcia is a can crusher with questionable durability. Garcia is badly overvalued because he's on a 5-fight KO streak. IMO Kattar should be -200 here due to his ridiculous chin. Kattar survives being hurt early and wins by DEC or late KO. Also sprinkling Kattar by KO rounds 2/3 +500

>Landwehr +200 vs Charriere
I think Nate is washed, but Charriere has poor fight IQ and not much heart. Charriere wins by finish or loses by decision. Similar to Kattar, Nate survives an early blitz and gets his hand raised at home like he did against Onama.

>Petrino vs Lane fight ends round 1 +130
Lane has one of the worst chins in UFC and Petrino's isn't great either. IMO 60% chance this ends round 1 while odds imply 44%

>Tokkos +158 vs Tafa
Quite a few have called Tokkos the least skilled fighter in UFC. I think he's still much more skilled than Tafa lol. Tafa has heeming power and literally nothing else. Can't wrestle, can't grapple, no BJJ game. Tokkos is better than him everywhere except cardio. This line is ridiculous.

1/2

>>149743776
Curtis is way too timid to take him at those odds. Mental midget that can easily drop a decision if Griffin just spars at range and leans on him.
I also have no faith in Kattar been through the grinder and multiple bad injuries but a sprinkle on plus odds is a good call regardless. Garcia is a generic action fighter Kattar wouldve gobbled up and probably still can honestly but Garcia laying it on him isn't unlikely.

>>149743776

>Kline ITD -115
She's a -1500 favorite against a fighter with a terrible ground game. I don't think Martinez can survive 15 minutes. Kline is nasty on the ground and only getting better. TKO/SUB finish inside 2 rounds

>Ramirez +700 vs Davis
Value play. Mike Davis being -1200 at this point in his career is absurd. He's had a ton of health issues and IMO doesn't want to fight anymore, it's just a job for him. Ramirez will be at a skill & athleticism disadvantage, he'll have to rely on durability and heart to drag Davis into deep water and get a decision win.

>Walker +170 vs Nzechukwu
Grappler vs striker, give me the grappler. Walker is good at avoiding damage and fighting on his terms. Nifty submission game too. I like Walker by DEC/SUB.

>Bonfim -5.5 -185 vs Wonderboy
Might be Thompson's last fight. Getting a much younger, hungrier opponent with a more dangerous skillset. Wonderboy does not have the durability he once had. Bonfim by finish is most likely but I'll take -5.5 in case he wins every round and coasts to a decision.

>Lewis +255 vs Teixeira
Line is disrespectful to Lewis, who has been super profitable as a UFC underdog. If you think Lewis is washed, bet Teixeira by sub +750. He's a BJJ black belt. Hasn't shown grappling in UFC yet, wouldn't be surprised to see him grapple and go for a neck. I'm taking Lewis to get the upset against an unproven opponent.

2/2

>>149743870
Agree to disagree brother. Curtis is a terrible matchup for Griffin. Bookies have it right. Chiesa outstruck Griffin lol

>>149744070
Chiesa is a pressure fighter with grappling. Curtis just stands there looking to counter and is moving back down a weight class. He's not a trustworthy spot.

>>149744124
Then it's a great spot to bet Griffin at +260
Bookies get -200 range favorites wrong a lot, they very rarely get -300 or shorter wrong

>>149730863
Wish i did more than 20€

>>149744346
>they very rarely get -300 or shorter wrong
Happens literally all the time

Rosario Central to win @2
Di Maria's Debut at home.

>>149744643
if 1/5 is all the time i guess you're right lol
good luck profiting hitting 20% of your +230 bets

>>149746602
Don't dissapoint me, chico

I saw your post at the 70th min, only took over 0.5 @2.35 . Di Magia scoring, poetry

>Mariners/Tigers NRFI
>Tigers ML

Cannot wait for the all-star break. Four days off from this shit.

>>149747490
>>149747584
did it work for you?

>draw's goal @90+5'

>>149747979
I'm sorry bro. Damn this is so harsh. It worked yeah, i took 1 goal

That Kline knockout was 6 seconds after the halfway mark of the 3rd round right?
I had under 2.5 rounds :(

>>149743776
the matthews line moved and now hes the books dog at +100 just so you know

Got a good bet finally
Over 50.5 for titans broncos today in nrl.
Lots of factors lining up perfectly for this one to have a lot of points.
Personally I’m betting 60+@$3.45

>>149743776
>>149744027
Cheers UFCbro

>ancient pacquiao is fighting a 6 foot champ
Lmao
Put barrios and usyk on a parlay

there is an arbitrage betting opportunity on the last fight between lewis and texeira. bet365 super boosted the fight to end in the first round @ 2.50 odds, and if you bet on the fight to last longer than 1 round its also @ 2.50

bet $10 on both and you win $5 either way.

>>149741395
>all won
Well Port still in play but I think its safe to say this was a based post.

>>149743776
finally winning picks on /bet/

UFChads eating GOOD

>>149744643
lol retard

>>149744643
everyone laugh at this stupid smarmy faggot

germanybro we riding alcaraz tomorrow?

2ez

>>149756766
germ has been on sinner since the quarters

>>149754704
i saw that and forgot to do it because i was depressed about my casino losses

>>149755602
you jinxed yourself

So we're all on sinner today

>>149758974
Alcaraz. $5000. It's free money. Again.

>>149756766
Yes, I've put a future on Sinner to win Wimbledon after his match with Shelton where it didn't seem like the elbow is affecting him that much.

>>149743776
>>149744027
8-4 with five plus money winners. Best card in a while

its over. sinner is cooked

>>149762692
Yea he sucks

>>149762714
should i cash out?

>>149762891
Absolutely never cash out a losing tennis bet. Especially one that is barely losing to begin with. It was the first set in a bo5. Sinner is already up a break in the second. Still very winnable.

looking good sinner bros

>>149763067
Not quite over yet but sure hope you weren't dumb enough to cash out after a single set.

>Had Michael Busch HR
>Saw that everyone else had a Michael Busch HR
>lol nah
>Remove it
>Busch hits a lead-off HR

Haha...haha

Good job sinner

Chelsea vs psg who win

NOOOOOOOOOOOOO i cashed out after the 1st set for 1/3 of the stake

>>149766553
You must be kidding. One of the worst cashouts of all time.

>>149758998
Lol >free money posting never fails to lose

>>149766826
Heh you know me. Anyway, congrats germany. Based call, most of the times you're right on big games. Now go ahead, piss everything away with 3 underdogs on the challenger kek

>>149766553
lol, lmao even

Colombia bro, i'm taking River Plate @1.62

>>149766854
Ok but pacquiao is getting heemed this weekend

>>149767314
thats the "logical" outcome, but IDK, maybe I'll bet live.
Got double opportunity on Boca @ 1.62

>>149768903
You're a boca fan, aren't you?

>>149769092
not at all. I'am the "sympathy for underdogs" kind of guy: chacarita, gimnasia , independiente. But I don't really give a fuck.

>>149767179
Thanks, I'm still baffled by the odds for Sinner to win just because of that elbow scare even when he showed it wasn't anything major. He genuinely had lower odds before the tournament started. Alcaraz was being treated as the inevitable winner way too much.

>>149766854
Classic, this post genuinely made me more confident that Sinner will win.

>>149768403
I wish I bet more on Chelsea kek
Should I cashout now just in case?

>>149758584
Yea lol

>>149770521
To celebrate the Sinner win I really am going to piss away the winnings on some smaller matches tomorrow. A whole bunch of stuff is starting tomorrow so easy to go overboard but these 3 caught my eye and don't seem too far-fetched so I'm going with them:

Fett to beat Erjavec @2.35

Burillo Escorihuela to beat Rustic @1.65

Rouvroy to beat Craciun @1.5


Might post some general thoughts on Wimbledon and the upcoming hard court tournaments in North America in a while if I can be bothered.

>>149775142
Still collecting some thoughts if anybody even cares. Will probably post some takeaways from this tournament, specifically who is on my short term fade list right now. Bublik would be an obvious example. Highly doubt he is going to put in much effort into the next few tournaments after having beaten Sinner and winning Halle. That's a career highlight for him and he's going to mentally relax now. Already happened at Wimbledon where he lost in the first round to Munar. He won't be as favoured on hard courts but depending on the matchup he might still be a 1.3 or so favourite in a lot of early matches so there will probably be some good fade spots.

akugue 3.75

day before the mlb all star game, the deadest day in pro sports. looks like ill have to gamble on cricket or the wnba to get my fix.

>>149781206
Home run derby

harness racing is the most boring thing in existence

>>149779536
dropped to below 3.00 now depending on your bookie, not worth it now.

>>149781206
wnba and MLS are run by morons. today should be packed with their best matchups. MLS has nothing. wnba has the fever playing at 8 tomr.

>>149783397
Do you think there's any real chance Watson loses to Voloshchuk tomorrow? @8.5 seems pretty high.

>>149784460
u asking means no

>>149784460
i have extreme doubts

Who we got for the home run derby?
I know who not to bet on
>oneil cruz and jazz chisholm
too streaky
>cal raleigh
his dad is pitching instead of a regular BP pitcher
>byron buxton
too small

>>149784645
olsen but its a bad bet

>>149784579
>>149784597
Alright. I won't go for it but I'll keep an eye on it.

>>149784645
>>149784692
I’m thinking a 0.25u on each
>olson
>rooker
>wood

Just bet on usyk by stoppage
2.3 multiplier

>>149775142
the freeest of money
got this bonus bet arbing sinner alcaraz.

>>149775142
3 out 3 wins. Haven't had that in a while. Fett won 2-0 after almost choking away the first set. The other two won 2-1. No idea why so much money started coming in on Ruztic. Think I saw Burillo Escohuerila @2.3 shortly before the match started.

>>149786578
Nice. Fett keeps getting long odds against totally beatable and inconsistent opponents. I don't quite get it. She sucks, especially on serve, but she can hang in the return games against a lot of lesser players.

>>149775142
3 out 3 wins. Haven't had that in a while. Fett won 2-0 after almost choking away the first set. The other two won 2-1. No idea why so much money started coming in on Ristic. Think I saw Burillo Escorihuela @2.3 shortly before the match started.

>>149786578
Nice. Fett keeps getting long odds against totally beatable and inconsistent opponents. I don't quite get it. She sucks on serve but she can hang in the return games against a lot of lesser players.

>>149785181
you can almost cover everything if you shop around for bo0sts and promos
epsn is doing a $25 no sweat on the winner.
fanduel is giving $1 bonus for every HR
MGM has a 20% boost ($20)
Caesars has a 30% boost ($5)
i dont feel like doing all that math to squeeze a couple bucks but i'll take picrel for a free $1.50 and a 3 foot chance to double dip.

>>149787861
damn. that parlay would have been nutz. i need to stop being a pussy with bonus bets

>>149767314
Cheers, and bet on Bahia tomorrow @1.8. America let go their few good players

Tonight's homerun derby is taking place at Truist Park. For this stadium, the fence on the right field is 16 ft high and the fence on the left field is 6 ft high. So eliminate all left handed hitters. Now look into the right handed hitters who trend towards left field home runs. Your best bets in these parameters are
>Cal Raleigh +280
>Brent Rooker +900
I'm putting a half unit on both.

>>149789358
i believe you are putting too much wieght on wall height. right field is closer and derby winners hit popups

gtfi


>>149789411

>>149789514
I'm aware of the dimensions. Power hitters are better at exploiting lower walls though. If we were talking just a normal game, then sure. But look at the longest HRs in Truist Park history, the all go left.

>Truist Park’s home run park factor for 2023–2025 is 88 (100 is league average), indicating it’s slightly pitcher-friendly, but it ranks fifth in total home runs (899) from 2020–2024, suggesting favorable conditions for power hitters. Left-handed power is slightly suppressed (98), while right-handed power is closer to average (101).

>>149789358
Cal is a switch hitter and will bat from both sides tonight. Terrible value tbqh

>>149784645
I’m on Wood. Kid has a ton of natural power

>>149789650
this isnt a real game with pitchers throwing 100mph heaters or biting breaking balls. cal raleighs dad is practically going to be gently lobbing it underhand for his sons batting practice.

longest home run distance over 479.5 feet superboosted from 1.86 to 2.50.

aaron judge has hit homers over 500 feet in the home run derby. with the meme bats and guys swinging faster and faster, some big hitter will pretty much hit it right out of truist park.

>>149787861
Picks for Tuesday:

Radivojevic to beat Palicova @1.6

Burillo Escorihuela to beat Parrizas-Diaz @3.4

Serban to beat Korpatsch @3

everyone who makes the all star team should participate in the derby. make it rounds of 10 swings, top half advances. would take up just as much tv time.

>>149791920
nice second dinger of the derby already blasted 480+ feet.

>>149791931
beating against korpatsch might be a mistake in this instance

>>149793026
Why? I get that it's a home tournament on clay but I'm fading her for these odds. Won't even regret it if Serban loses in a quick 2-0.

(-105) Denver Broncos O9.5 wins this regular season

>>149793198
just something about that psychotic lass, she never gives up and me thinks in this instance she's an easy win. i mean, hope i'm wrong so you get paid.

bookie hasn't got it atm but if it does valdmannova 2.50

>>149793329
Alright, I thought you had something more concrete but I get it. Just think her recent purple patch is starting to wear off and I've seen Korpatch enter some nasty losing streaks where it looks like she has completely forgotten how to play before. Definitely wouldn't bother with Serban for lower odds but this seems a bit too wide for me.

>>149793261
would be quicker to bet them to cover week 1 and chase until youre up

herrero is temping at 7.00, jones just won a tournament and she has a very fragile body.

>>149793508
futures is my strategy to quit gambling, and delay the gratification

>>149793806
betting season wins will accomplish that. good luck

my picks. sadly didn't have balance at the time to get akugue at the good odds.

>>149791743
Suck it

>didn't even come 4th
that's gotta hurt the ol balance

>>149795984
but that's okay quick recovery and a profit

>>149795033
it was terrible value. he got lucky as fuck to survive the first round. He also batted lefty 90% of the time so your analysis was bullshit lol

christ took all day of shit bets but finally covered my tennis bets so whatever happens there is okay

with a dollar profit :-)

akugue's probably a loser wouldn't have bet on her if i knew her knee was bandaged

>>149793329
>>149793440
who is on the court ahead of them?

>>149798441
You can normally find the order of play on the tournament's website. It's usually released the day before: https://hamburg-open.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/Spielplan_1507_final.pdf

As you can see they're scheduled to play on the main court after Boisson - Grabher has finished.

TASTY ODDS ON INTER D'ESCALDES OR DRAW @3
- MARTIN

Parrizas-Diaz was down 1-4 in the third set before retiring. Haven't had a retirement push an obviously winning bet like this in a while. If Burillo Escorihuela has odds higher than like @2.3 against Waltert in the next match I'll take her to win that too.

too scared. i cashed out akugue for a slight profit when she took the 3rd to a tiebreak.

right decision, tiebreak immediately went 0-5 and ended up losing 3-7

>>149798798
>>149798839
Think you had the right idea with these odds. Line got pretty steamed. By the way Voloshchuk won the first set 6-4 against Watson. I swear Watson is the kind of player who should never be this huge of a favourite against anybody. Odds even rose to @9 and I think @10 in some places for Voloshchuk.

>>149799081
Watson actually retired. Guess I don't need to be upset about not going for it. Definitely would have been the right call otherwise.
>>149784460

>>149798613
2-0 serban incoming

>>149799837
2-1 serban incoming

>>149800232
Purely an odds play but should have know this would be a quick 2-0 loss for Serban. As I said I don't regret it. I'm still much more upset at Parrizas-Diaz dragging out the match just to retire this late into the third set.

>>149801805
Odds plays are bads plays youre playing odds not whats actually in front of yiu

>>149801805
>>149802013
purely a germanon read. barely even know the rules or tennis. he was overdue for some losses

all star game tie is around +600
feels short. maybe worth a cheeky unit or 5

Prachino underdog this week for ufc
Usyk and barrios boxing parlay pieces
Ige, oliveira, poirier ufc

>>149802333
how bad does Pacquiao need the money? seems silly for him to show up at 46 not to win

>>149802436
Hes broke and it makes total sense. Take barrios decision cause it's fraudulent

>>149802468
so youre expecting it will go like paul tyson but theyll be a little less obvious about it?

>>149802478
Yes its a paycheck fight for pacquiao and a omg u beat le legend win for barrios. Just look at pacquiao in his last fights he'd get heemed by anyone serious

>>149794312
won
lost (cashed out for a profit)
lost
won
lost
won
>>149793423
valdmannova 2.50 won but couldn't bet on

>78'
>0-0
Soccer is a fucking meme.

>>149791931
Radivojevic won 2-1 so that's a win, a push and a loss in total. Already talked about the other two matches.


Picks for Wednesday:

De Jong to beat Kopriva @2

Tomova to beat Maria @1.95

I'm also locking in Burillo Escorihuela to beat Waltert @3.2 on Tuesday since I doubt the odds are going to get much better than this.

>>149803710
You were completely right about Korpatsch. Good call.

>>149803710
should actually be won lost lost lost won won, bookie moved things around

>>149804491
By the way, some bookies don't actually seem to offer it since it is a kind of exhibition match, but Bronzetti to beat Vekic in the Hopman Cup looks good to me. Bronzetti should have odds of around @2.7 to @2.8 from what I can see. Sadly can't go for it myself.

>>149789261
Think it was the right call. Thoughts on Palmeiras and/or Flamengo tonight?

>7 win streak
finally some fuckin luck

>>149804703
i'd definitely take bronzetti but likewise my bookie doesn't have it

>>149808973
Time to up the stakes

>>149809168
8th won, barely. top 4, came 4th. whew.
able to withdraw my $200 again leaving me with $15.17 profit this time

not seeing much with tennis might have to wait until they all come back from their after wimbledon holiday

caesars voided my ML bet on the AL. interesting

>>149804491
Both De Jong and Tomova won 2-0 so both picks worked perfectly. Some insane line movement on the Tomova match. Maria's habit of spamming slices only really works well on grass. I've been eyeing this all day and I've decided to add Cirstea to beat Gracheva @2.1 in Iasi.

>>149812182
Forgot to mention that due to rain all the remaining Iasi matches got moved to tomorrow. There's a chance that it will rain tomorrow too.

>>149810504
cheap fucks regraded. its the correct result but clown show operations. how did they not have it set up right in advance? there was almost nothing else to bet on last night

>>149809040
Bronzetti is wiping the floor with Vekic in the deciding tiebreak. If you ask me they should play a proper third set but not like this matters. Always the shit you can't take. Hope anybody else was able to go for Bronzetti at least.

>>149813812
Final tiebreak ended 10-1. Hilarious score and ridiculous odds for Bronzetti.

Lost $500 in winnings because Osijek and Kiev decided to stop playing in the 85th minute and it was voided. Super epic stuff

>>149813996
What happened?

>>149814130
i lost $20 betting on champions league meme qualification games yesterday. all malmo had to do was see out a 3-0 lead, but the other team scored in the last minute of stoppage time to push it over 3.5. ill just wait until ufc anon posts some fights and slam down like $100 on 1.22 odds or something like that to win it back.

>>149814130
Dynamo Kiev were tackling too hard and started arguing and the ref just ended it. I'm not even kidding. So dumb

>>149814211
If the ref really just blew the whistle too early he should get in trouble with UEFA for that. That's absurd. That's some shit that you only really hear about in some African bush leagues. Might even be able to complain to support about this void. I'd be fuming as well.

>>149814279
It's a friendly so I guess you can do whatever. There weren't even cards either. You'd think he can just give reds and let them play 5 more minutes

>>149814310
I thought it was an official match. Friendly makes more sense then. Still dumb but probably less ground to argue it shouldn't have been voided.

>>149814194
>slam down like $100 on 1.22 odds or something like that to win it back.
Club America @1.32

>>149813996
Had 200€ on over 2.5 in "primorje" - dinamo zagreb friendly. Was 1-1 and the ref gave 2 minutes extra time. Blew the whistle 30 seconds early

>>149807394
Im so mad at this, odds went down to 1.5 prematch, they couldn't win against a bunch of kids.
>palmeiras
shitty odds
>flamengo
Im not sure about it, I don't know anything about santos this season. I don't want surprises.

Poirier is sick hes probably getting heemed

>>149814488
River Plate youth team @1.61 against the worst team in the league. In 15 minutes

What the actual f*ck

It's the opening game of clausura. And in apertura river finished top of the league while platense were dead last with 8:25 goal difference. At home. 1.61. you gotta be kidding

>>149812182
Still waiting on Burillo Escorihuela and Cirstea tomorrow. Hopefully it won't be as rainy as it was today.


Other picks for tomorrow:

Borges to beat Misolic @1.7

Etcheverry to beat Cazaux @1.45

Radivojevic to beat Oktiabreva @1.75

Hruncakova to beat Valentova @4.8

Never in doubt

Going to be doing an experiment where I solely bet on big line movements. If the line move suggest a result I bet it. I will be doing $50 a bet until I go broke

Currently have:

Bolivar v Palestino U2.5 (+145)
Palmeiras -1.5 (+125)
Texoma FC W or Tie (-115)
Internacional Santa Maria ML (+105)
Ava Alta FC ML (+220)
Curico Unido +.5 (-110)
Forward Madison O2.5 (-120)
Portland Hearts of Pine v Greenville 1H U1 (-115)
Haley Giavara ML (+270)
Portland Hearts of Pine ML (+135)

>>149816024
Sounds like a trap for square betters. Platense will win

>>149817421
Portland 1H cashed (1-0) +$67.5

Split it up on:

Hartford Athletic ML (+110)
Forward Madison (+105)

...

>>149817831
this happens a lot.
Except when you need a last minute goal. Then it never happens.

>>149817421
I fucked this up. A lot of these didn't actually have line movement and I was using a fucky site. Only the last 6 actually did. Experiment to be restarted.


The tennis bet hit though at +270 very easily. I'm thinking this may be a good target.

I'm seeing a lot of movement and action on Chase Ferguson vs. Hikaru Shiraishi. Its another +270 so I think this will be a very good test.

>>149818307
Especially in South America

>>149817530
Pelicans +8.5 (-110)
Yannick Kelm (+350)

UFC 318 Saturday 7/19

Best card in a while last week, let's keep it going.

>Ferreira-McVey fight ends round 1 +110
McVey was supposed to get a favorable UFC debut fight against Dumas, who literally couldn't fight because he had an ankle monitor lol. UFC is hanging McVey out to dry with one of the most dangerous middleweights. Ferreira isn't the most skilled but he comes forward and hits as hard as anyone in the division. I'd be very surprised if this fight gets past round 1. 90% Ferreira KO, I'll just take fight ends round 1 for insurance in case McVey is better than expected and finds a finish.

>Spann vs Brzeski over 1.5 rounds +140
Spann is maybe the most overrated fighter in UFC. He's usually a favorite and he usually disappoints. Most likely he wins a decision in a low volume, slow paced fight. Brzeski has minimal power and coming off consecutive KO losses I expect him to fight defensively.

>Crute by SUB +160 vs Prachnio
Crute has a clear path to victory - take Prachnio down and choke him out. Prachnio has some of the worst grappling/BJJ in the division.

>Dulatov round 1 EV vs Fugitt
Fugitt keeps drawing brutal opponents. Dulatov fights 110% as long as the fight lasts. He'll take Fugitt's head off inside 3 minutes. Also betting "either fighter wins first 3 minutes" at +220

>Valentin +400 vs Gautier
You could argue this is the same as Dulatov vs Fugitt, but I think Valentin has more skills to stay alive. Gautier is like a smaller Ngannou, all power and no technique. Wouldn't be surprised to see Valentin go grappling-heavy and win minutes in a boring decision after Gautier tires himself out swinging for the fences.

>Vettori +168 vs Allen
Don't get this line. IMO Vettori is a horrible matchup for Allen. Really good TDD and grappling defense, iron chin, and high pace/volume. If Allen can't get his offensive grappling going, he can't win. Vettori will jab and move and cage hug Allen to a decision win. I'd have Vettori as a favorite.

1/2

>>149819197

>Zellhuber inside distance -115 vs Johnson
Johnson is washed. He's been starched multiple times, is near 40, and is fighting a much younger fighter with a granite chin. Zellhuber either heems Johnson or club n sub. I don't see Johnson surviving 15 minutes against Zellhuber.

>Pitbull +175 vs Ige
Everyone is writing Pitbull off, I'm willing to give him another chance. He couldn't have fought worse against Yair and needs a win or he'll be seen as a fraud. I like Pitbull to get his grappling & wrestling going to win minutes vs Ige and get his hand raised in a worst fight of the night type of decision

>Holland vs D-Rod under 2.5 -170
Everyone expects Holland ITD, I'll take the under in case D-Rod lands a bomb like he did to Ponzi. Holland quits when shit is going bad so I don't like having my money on him. D-Rod has a really good jab, if he keeps it standing and peppers Holland's nose enough Holland might look for a way out.

>Costa +205 vs Kopylov
Kopylov is a can crusher. He got absolutely dominated by Fluffy on the mat, I think Costa mixes in some grappling and takedowns and controls this fight to an easy win. Costa's best days are behind him, but he needs a win to keep his job. Costa isn't stupid, he won't fight at kickboxing range against the kickboxing specialist with a torpedo left kick.

>Poirier ITD +265 vs Holloway
Holloway's chin ain't what it used to be. I think Poirier does damage for 2-3 rounds then lands a flurry to put Max away, or possibly a club & sub. No fighter who has lost legs 1-2 of a trilogy has ever won leg 3. Poirier gets the rare happy ending in MMA then unretires in 6 months for a title shot where Ilia destroys him.

Tried to x my last breadcrumbs to move to a bigger city and hopefully find a job, but lost everything. gg's gambling sucks kek

>>149819487
What was the bet?

korpatsch injured herself so i wouldn't bother betting on her in her next tournament unless some time has passed (against her though...)

>>149819558
That smile is contagious. Yesterday the funny thing was the guys in the superbet chat were cursing her cause she was limping to end the match but wouldn't retire so the bets would get voided.

>>149819591
yeah as i said earlier that girl doesn't give up. my bookie pays out the winner and voids the loser if the retirement is after the 1st set.

If you guys like taking odds in the range of 1.34, in league of legends FlyQuest should win this elimination match against FURIA. They're the best american team atm and went toe to toe with the asian teams, meanwhile brazilian league used to be far behind, and even when they merged the two regions together the brazilians didn't win a single match or sth

>>149819556
Linfield vs Shelbourne o2.5 ht, disallowed goal because of ghost contact foul apparently kek. Other one was womens euro retard bet

>>149819639
Fuck

>>149814488
Guess you were right. I lost on both btw

>>149819662
Ye, wasted 5 years of my life and threw everything away lel. Urging all you niggas to stop while you still can, I bet I sound like a faggot but I promise it's not worth it, just from the time sink alone. anyway hf & best of luck

>>149819715
So you actually put thousands of euros on it. I'm really sorry with the disallowed goal, iktf. In my honest opinion it was a bad bet. Actually not bad. Horrendous. First half goals, not to mention teams you know nothing about. It's not betting what you did, it's gambling, like slots. But you are right about wasting time and our life on this shit. Always engaged with a game. And to be honest, even if you'd play "correctly" , with the human psychology, chasing losses etc, i think the end result will be the same for everyone: losing it all.
BUT to prolong this 'death' playing optimal would look sth like this:
Skendija v FCSB to advance @1.30
It's 1.30 over 2 legs, 2 weeks, 2k . -> +600
It's the start of the season, many teams play to qualify, give their 100% , there's gonna be many spots in the next month. This is one of it. I know everything about this team, i know what they aim, the odds seem good. This is betting
Betting, not gambling. Speaking of which, the romanian gov was thinking to increase the tax on withdrawls on "games of luck" from 3% to 10%, cause gambling is bad regardless, okay?. What does betting on a market, with an edge, on FCSB to advance, have to do with degenerate slots gamblers? Thankfully they only raised it to 4%

>>149793590
right idea, wrong match - jones lost the next to a 3.20

>>149821235
I was guinely considering Udvardy based on your post but I didn't like how much she was struggling with Rouvroy. Always hard to find the right spot to fade a recent tournament winner.

5€ on Armirail to win the stage in Tour de France @9

>>149824876
it's already at @50 kek
but fun bet so it's ok

>>149816155
Absolutely brutal day. Only thing that worked was Cirstea. Everything else shat the bed. Really, really mad at Borges in particular. Haven't seen such a disgusting meltdown in a minute. He was dominating for almost 2 entire sets. Looked like a comfortable 2-0 win the whole time. The live odds for Misolic were @30 or so at 5-2 in the second set. He gets broken and lets it go to 5-5. Had a huge chance to break at 6-5 but lets Misolic win 3 break points in a row to bring it to a tiebreak. Then of course loses the tiebreak and the third set. Revolting bullshit. Swear these mindblowing chokes only happen to players you pick.

There's some stuff tomorrow I think looks interesting like Kym to beat Cazaux or Cristian to beat Udvardy but after the disaster today I'll just stick with these 2 I like the most:


Comesana to beat Bublik @2.3

Semenistaja to beat Grant @1.7

Bruh Montreal Alouettes just fumbled in the endzone out of nowhere and won me $250. Its like god coming down and blessing me. I can't exagerrate how random it was

This is the line movement Olympics parlay lmao. Communicaciones were +6.5 and moved to even and this Chinese bitch was +300 and moved to +165. It will pay out if this cunt ever resumes the game

>>149830279
>5-2 in the second set
Can't you cashout these? When i put 1k on djokovic at 1.28 and it gives me 1260/1280 i cashout, i don't wait for the comeback or a retirement to void my bet. >>149798797 >>149799157
In league of legends you build an advantage and you snowball it, so when you're winning you know you have 95% chance to win. In football, if you're leading, you can waste time and the clock runs out, with the help of the ref. (>>149813996 kek)
But in tennis your player has to close the game, and win the last ball. And all it takes is a break for the opponent to get back into the game. Heard Borges was a disgusting chokejob. Not lecturing you or anything. You had 2 retirements where your players were winning, sometimes if you watch the games live, as you do, if you're really fast you can tell when they're going to retire and you cashout before the bookie blocks it. Or for 1 unit bets i get not cashing out, but as i said for big bets usually i'm not leaving anything to chance. Each sport is different. Even for football if i put 100 @1.60 and then i reback my team to score say for 1000 @1.25 , and my team took the lead in 83', and i have 152/160 : cashout the win, not waiting to get equalized in 90+3. It's not ev+, but it helps for the morale and the future bets cause as we used to say at the uni "every bet matters, even the ones you don't make"

not much for me either. only thing i'm mildly confident in is yastremska 1.40.

i'd happily risk a valdmannova 5.00 but again my bookie doesn't have it

>>149819265
>Holloway's chin ain't what it used to be. I think Poirier does damage for 2-3 rounds then lands a flurry to put Max away, or possibly a club & sub. No fighter who has lost legs 1-2 of a trilogy has ever won leg 3. Poirier gets the rare happy ending in MMA then unretires in 6 months for a title shot where Ilia destroys him.
based take

>>149834353
she got flogged. saved by the bookie.

>>149834121
I kind of see your point and I've had similar thoughts before but I have several problems with cashing out. The first one is that you're often leaving too much money on the table. The example you're giving with getting 152 out of a potential 160 winnings isn't really true. Even with huge leads and little time left you're often getting scammed out of double digit sums. The match basically has to be over with 40 to love on the last service game up a break for the cashout to be minimally different to the actual sum you would get. The second problem I'd have a hard time making it a reasonable habit. I'd probably consider cashing out in every other match where a player I picked has a lead. I'm really good at psyching myself out thinking every player ever can still choke this regardless of how dominant the match and the score has been. So I'd start leaving money on the table in all sorts of matches and that adds up quickly with a larger volume of bets.

Finally in tennis there are all sorts of players that make it hard to predict if a retirement is really going to happen. They play through injury for whatever reason like prize money or just dumb "pride" or they take like 3 medical timeouts and are still totally fine and potentially even win the match. Then there are the kind of players who seem completely physically fine and decide to retire out of nowhere. I've seen all of that shit happen before. Someone like Parrizas-Diaz was probably going to retire given she was already struggling physically and took a medical timeout in the second set. But what about someone like Korda who genuinely had an arm injury and still played out 3 whole sets at the AO against Machac? What about players like Yastremska or Starodubtseva who take several medical timeouts but still play on anyway? So many factors to consider that I'd rather not try to constantly predict if a retirement really is going to happen.

>>149836843
Ok, you are right. Bookies rob you big time with cashout.
This game >>149815965 i cashed out at 152/161 when they scored in 89' .
I've bet on Zverev to beat Djokovic at the australian open. When i saw djoko was going to retire i managed to quickly cashout fractions of a second before the bookie blocked the game. Don't remember how much
And Musetti when he was up 1-0 i took Alcaraz @1.50 . Then out of nowhere Museshit took a medical and i thought goddamn it they're gonna void. Then he continued and i cashed out 1400/1500. Then he actually retired. Those were the examples in my post. But overall i must've lost more with cashing out than letting everything run, yeah

Viborg v FC Copenhagen @1.61
Pardubice v Plzen @1.37
Dinamo Moscow @1.59 v Baltika
Univ. Craiova @1.50 v FC Arges

My 1 unit bets for today. As always, possibly some rebacks: prematch after the lineups, or LIVE on them to score

>>149819197
>>149819265
costa is an anxious trainwreck whos on amphetamines during the promos hes getting heemed

pitbull is a washed bellator fraud who got asked a length question gave a one word answer in sunglasses indoors cause hes drugged out and is going to get heemed by ige

the poirier fight is really weird to me. poiriers been sick this whole week and looks like hes just getting the better of it, hes in a mason checkerboard hat, everyones sucking his dick and everyones betting on him while holloway gets booed and looks like he doesnt want to be there. but the lines still +135 poirier. somethings really fishy here and it feels like everyones being sleight of handed

yea poiriers sick af

Copenhaga could've scored multiple times and instead conceided on a made-up penalty. Besides they play with Moukoko up front who is losing LITERALLY every ball

>>149841586
And got a yellow card for a stupid foul and now he's gonna get sent off unless he's being subbed asap

>>149837422
>made Dinamo my biggest bet

Boca Juniors @1.82 v Union Sante Fe

Lokomotiv M. @1.69 v Sochi
Spartak M. @1.48 v Dyn. Machakhala
Jablonec v Sparta P. @1.97
Petrolul v FCSB @1.95

Instituto v River Plate @2.05

>>149843583
>Instituto to win against River
idk bout this one vampirebro

>>149843613
No no, i put the odds next to the team i'm betting on

>>149843467
Tailing.

1 unit each. Throwing shit at the wall. I don't have a clear picture for any of these. If i do live, i'll obviously reback. With the russian games it's a problem cause i don't have a live stream, but the way i know them makes Spartak the most confident bet. Then, i see no reason why Lokomotiv wouldn't beat these guys at home, the same applies for Boca: if they don't win here at home, then when? Sparta Prague i imagine are looking to bounce back from last season against a team whose number they had before, and if it's a coin toss i'm chosing the away win. For River i accidently saw some news people are waiting 1 and a half hour to buy tickets, and half of them are river fans, so with a sold out stadium and a river in form i'm taking them to win. While for FCSB, confirmed rotation but not too much, and home team is mediocre to piss poor so again, for these odds i'm definetly throwing 1 unit. All games have high odds, let's see what sticks

>>149843705
Tbh was expecting YOU to post the pick :)

Back like we never motherfucking left

>>149843854
Welcome back bro. I saw you destroying the arrogant american couple weeks ago

>>149844024
Yes it was well deserved.
It's not the first time I destroy arrogant americans and they deserve it but thanks

>>149844111
Checked

>>149830279
Semenistaja won 2-0 but Comesana got destroyed. Could have been worse. Gstaad is pretty fast for clay standards which definitely helps out Bublik.


Picks for tomorrow:

Walton to win a set against Shapovalov @1.75

Boisson to beat Yastremska @2.2

Cristian to beat Begu @1.65

Semenistaja to beat Selekhmeteva @2.1

this game isnt for another 12 hours but ill watch the line over the course of the day.

cerezo osaka +0 @ 1.50 or both teams to score - yes @ 1.66 if you are feeling bold.

shonan bellmare has 1 win in their past 10 league matches, they havent won a game at home in 7 straight matches, scoring only 3 goals during that time. they have also only scored 4 goals in their past 6 matches overall, and only managed to pick up 1 point against the three sides below them in the table during that span. cerezo osaka is currently unbeaten in 9 straight matches at shonan bellmares stadium (6W3D), and enter tomorrows match on 4 straight wins at their stadium. the last time shonan bellmare managed to beat cerezo osaka in their own stadium was a cup game in 2018, the last time in a league game was in 2009 when both teams were in j2. cerezo osaka is playing better with 6W2D2L in their past 10, but are currently winless in 3 straight on the road. cerezo osaka is a high scoring team with a leaky defense. they have only kept 1 clean sheet on the road this season, and are tied for 3rd highest average goals scored on the road, and 3rd highest average goals conceded on the road. they are 1 of 2 teams in the j league that averages 1+ goal scored and 1+ goal conceded both home and away. cerezo osaka is tied for first with 15/23 (65%) of their matches seeing both teams to score. cerezo osaka should be able to take all 3 points here, but there could be a chance the game ends 1-1.

unless she withdraws korpatsch is at prague qualies and may or may not be free money to bet against

also prague
stojanovic 1.30 to beat jana kovackova
rodionova 1.40 to be alena kovackova
they're young tiny teen girls and while talented are most likely gonna get their faces kicked in

to summarize

My friend sent me this, how do I place the same bet, do I just go into a betting shop and show them this? What do the numbers and boxes mean

Boca juniors on the perma blacklist

whew desperately needed this win. saved my day.

>>149851111
>quads
What was the bet?

>>149851147
horsey to place, came 3rd. everything went wrong today. 11 wins / 5 losses.

just need my well crafted tennis multi to lose to really rub it in

>>149851180
Why have they deleted your posts yesterday?

>>149851323
mod got mad at me, maybe i lost it all its janny pay.

losing hope in my multi. historically saturdays have been very good for me but today was shit as.

>Sunday all came down to Cardinals -1.5
>Cardinals win by 1
>Friday all came down to Twins and Rockies scoring 11 runs
>Score 10 runs

Thought the all-star break would make for a nice reset in luck but I guess not. It was still nice not losing money for 4 straight days though lol

>>149847631
rodionova lost, terrible day overall.

>>149853502
>spreads in lotto luckswing
lmao

blue jays @ 2.05

>>149854178
Fuck Rodionova. Terrible, unmotivated shitter who is more concerned with social media posts than tennis.

>>149857171
ML or over?

In 3 days , FREE MONEY on Red Star Belgrade away at Lincoln Red Imps @1.22
Saw Lincoln last year and they looked amateur against Qarabag in a 0-2 defeat, now against Crvena Zvezda it's gonna be 0-4 0-5

LIVE min 40'
1.60 on fcsb to sneak one in

>>149858158
ml blue jays are 15-8 as home underdog, 17-6 ats, and are one of the most profitable home underdogs in the bigs this season.

4 big chances in 4 minutes. Fuck this shit. FCSB deserves to score

Another one. And now after the break they have the big guns in

>>149859640
>>149859781
Nah it will end 0 0.
They are trash.
Too many goals in prior superliga games

>>149860102
>>149859640
>>149859781
Lol
I brought you luck I guess

>>149860102
It was only fair after so many missed chances

>>149859640
Wasn't making this up. Especially the ones in 51' and 55' . Chances with 0.99 xG

>>149860273
Petrolul had some in 1st half too.
But it shows the difference between a big team and a small team. Petrolul is not a playoff team.
Surprised Gigi played with full squad he said he will play the reserves

I thought this game would be GG but nope
Petrolul is too weak

>>149860432
>Petrolul had some in 1st half too
Yep. But in 2nd half was only one team on the pitch

>>149860587
That's how FCSB usually plays. They are shit in 1st half and they are good in 2nd
Not all games of course but most of the time it does

>>149860629
My next game is river plate at 3AM. Going to sleep, baftă

>>149861069
Si tie

was getting a little worried with all those stranded baserunners but blue jays finally wake up in the 6th.

>>149844820
Only thing that won was Boisson. Everything else was a miserable failure. Think it might be time for a short break for the next few days. Heavily leaning De Jong, Boisson and Holmgren to win their respective finals tomorrow but two out of these are probably going to end up losing anyway so better to stay away.

>>149819197
>ferreira-mcvey ends round 1
was about to talk shit after that slow start lol good bet ufcbro

>>149819265
Costa is a can though.

>>149819265
bet365 has super boosted the poirier v holloway fight to go the distance - no to 2.75 (+175) i know it's not the same bet as you but just letting you know since it's part of your bet.

>Athletics/Guardians over 7.5

Well shit, I managed to short myself by a single run 3 days in a row barring a miracle.

>>149868047

Hey, reverse jinx worked. Ha.

>>149843583
I kneel

alright brand new fresh day let's do better
watched an $11,000 bet lose by a nose so that amused me at least

>>149846999
korpatsch lost btw

1 unit bets for today
Pari NN v Krasnodar @1.50
Midtjylland @1.48 v Odense

2 units
GenG @1.58 v Anyone's Legend
Zenit @1.27 v Rostov
Slavia Praga @1.29 v Hradec Kralove

this is why you avoid steeplechase races

No way any of you seriously bet against max holloway right?

nah another shit day. 5 wins 3 losses. balance didn't change.

>>149756706
>>149756726
Oh look. Happened twice again just last night. How is this general so fucking retarded and allergic to money?

>>149837699
>hes in a mason checkerboard hat, everyones sucking his dick and everyones betting on him while holloway gets booed and looks like he doesnt want to be there. but the lines still +135 poirier. somethings really fishy here and it feels like everyones being sleight of handed
It was his retirement fight in his hometown. What is wrong with you retards?

>>149875430
i did but i'm an arb fag so i won $0.00 instead of $9. but i made $20 trusting >>149802520 so it was a good day overall for my blind /bet/ tails
>>149878363
no gloating about dogs without proofs of longterm profit.

>>149878408
he right tho

>>149878846
>>149880956
Or what? Your broke ass will bitch and brag about twenty dollar slips? You got BTFO and need to leave this to people who know their shit instead of just whining.

>>149881638
the only one whining is you

>>149837699
Lol

>>149819197
>>149819265
Not the best, not the worst. Costa and Pitbull coming through as dogs saved the day. Still can’t believe the Holland fight made it past 2.5

>>149881638
i bet on holloway tho

>>149864753
Boisson and Holmgren won 2-0 and De Jong lost 2-1. Would have actually been profitable to go for all 3 since Holmgren had some nice odds @2.5 to win. Still don't get why he keeps being such an underdog against everybody. Super comfortable 2-0 for him. I guess if this keeps up the odds won't really be worth taking anymore soon but maybe it will last for a few more tournaments.

Whole bunch of tournaments are starting next week but nothing looks too interesting to me on Monday so still taking a break.

Wassup rom rom. You still agree with this?

1 month till fucking football hurry the fuck upppppppppppp all in on the chorgers

kyoto sanga +0 @ 1.85

>>149888438
NFL is buttcheeks. Scripted dumb sport
Worse version of Rugby.
Rugby is actually enjoyable to watch not like NFL

0 bets today. dick all to choose from.

The next UFC main event is Whittaker vs De Ridder. I'm taking Whittaker at -150, the man is a former champ and established gatekeeper, meanwhile his opponent is coming off of a win against perhaps THE most overhyped "prospect" of all time in Bo Nickal that quit at the first sign of adversity and stole a lot of his hype and Robert Whittaker just lost to Chimaev which is the reason the betting line is even close at all. This is far too much of a change in level of competition for Reiner to handle.

>>149890172
watch? what is watch?

these odds seem too close

welp someone's happy

>>149890172
Don’t you have an azerbaijani women’s third division soccer match to be losing all your dirt coins and mud pies on?

>>149890172
>Scripted dumb sport
thats why its very easy to bet on

>>149892183
i cant see de ridder winning yea

>>149892538
@1.6 seems way too good of a price for Majchrzak which probably means that Llamas Ruiz will win 2-0.

am i missing something with boulter 2.10 to beat sakkari? sakkari is shit... usually

>>149892984
Find the odds a bit weird too but Boulter has also been pretty shit lately from what I've seen. Think the odds actually flipped because I remember seeing Sakkari with slight plus odds before. Not really sure why money is coming in on Sakkari. Maybe Boulter's Wimbledon showing was just that horrible.

>>149892937
How you know the script?

>>149892830
Nobody bets on that retard. It is like saying
>don't you have NCAA III division to bet on
Fucking salty ragebaiting bitch.
You got owned

>>149893477
cause every team has a storyline and everythings purposefully matched up. now its even better than ever to bet football because theyve got their tv shit down like clockwork

>>149893486
you have been absolutely mindbroken by american superiority

>>149893519
Ok when NFL season starts, I want to see nothing but W picks posted on bet from you.
Can't wait to see you'll americans how good you actually are at NFL betting

>>149893539
Superior in what?
Sucking kike cock?
And being pedos?
Nobody wants to be superior in those
Also >>149628566

>>149893555
> I want to see nothing but W picks posted on bet from you
the flag
the post

Uh oh
the gypsy is spazing out again

>>149893570
>>149893576
You forgot to delete your history before your kike owned president gonna ban it

>>149893610
why is that image saved on your computer?

>>149893610
mindbroken lmfao btw giants beat the commanders week 1

>>149893619
Your president sent it to me.
Maybe he sents me the ones with kids too next time

>>149893630
you sure do spend a lot of time thinking about penises and americans

>>149893630
But it's all a hoax so nothing will come right >>149893619 ?

>>149893676
>>149893610
>American penises
>The title says jewish cock
Hmm I see a pattern and coincidence here

poor thing absolutely craves attention from big strong americans

>>149893698
>Big strong americans
TOPKEK

>>149893698
>Big strong americans

>>149893698
>Big strong americans

NEW
>>149893790
>>149893790

I don’t think the gypsy is going to like the new thread

>>149893800
Hahaha your thread couldn't last 1 hour such pathetic ragebait

Btw that's why you give billions of dollars to Israel?
It means countries with lower valued currencies own you since kikes own you

>>149893800
Get banned too loser

>>149893983
lmao, you cried to the janny because your feelings got hurt

>>149893904
>>149893997
Got any answer for this before you get banned?
I think no one else but you gonna cry when you get banned

>>149894018
>>149894018
>>149894018

>>149894004
announcing a report is against the rules

>>149894058
Ok we both gonna get banned
Still no answer to >>149893904
Did your feelings get hurt too much to even reply or think ?

>>149894058
Also I didn't announce anything but whatever. Your post clearly got deleted for off topic I didn't announce any report but you have too low iq

>>149894066
>you have to reply to my whataboutism!

>>149894136
You started it retard

>>149894145
wrong again

>>149894329
>>149893800
You literally talked about currencies in this thread are you this retarded?

Also wtf I was wrong about that you debunked. Fucking nothing that's what

So I am wrong about this?
>>149893824
>>149893904
How so can you elaborate