racetrack cans edition

got whittaker with a rebuilt jaw this week ez and du plessis to fraud check khamzat the 16th. think canelo loses too.

inb4 gypsy-posting about jews, penises, and how much he seethes about americans

>>149892952
Llamas Ruiz really did end up winning 2-0. Wasn't even close. Bookies knew something was up.

>>149894516
yup, i was thinking about going for majchrzak but the odds were too suspicious

mets +0 after 5 innings @ 1.55
yankees vs blue jays over 7.5 runs @ 1.55

>>149895494
your playing a dangerous game

Interesting plus odds for Rakhimova to beat Kalinskaya in Washington. Don't think Kalinskaya has played a good match in months.

probably another betless day for me, my confidence is shook. shook!

there's no way venus williams will lose to a zoomer right????

>>149900548
serena lost to raducanu if that's any indication

>>149900548
You're joking but the odds are so high I wouldn't even consider Williams to win a set that ridiculous of a bet if you have some spare change burning a hole into your pocket. Stearns has been pretty bad lately. Obviously wouldn't expect anything serious from Williams at the age of 45 with no practice but on the other hand a sprinkle to win the first set @8 doesn't seem that ridiculously dumb if she can beat someone like Kudermetova and win a set against Zheng at the age of 43.

Feel free to laugh at this post once she has lost 6-2 6-1.

>>149894018 (OP)
Nice peaks

>>149894018 (OP)
I'd bury my cock in those fucking titties.

would've been kino

bet365 is doing a $10 safety net on 2 leg MLB sgp. you can parlay no runs in the top and no runs in the bottom of 1st to get the same odds as NRFI straight

is romania here? what do you think of this fcsb match?

>>149904965
They look like the alpha dog. 100% they qualify at home, here maybe try to rebacking them to score @1.50 , if you already have the win...
Say ml @1.7 for 300
To score @1.33 - 1000

mgm lowered its minimum stake from 0.50 to 0.10 like everyone else. odd they would make a change that only benefits stingy casuals.
also now allowing casino bonus to be played through on craps (20%) craps has a dont lose rate of 98.6% so this is a significant concession.
should keep them in mind when odds shopping, might could be desperate and offer some extra nice values

Isn't Cali vs Bahia DNB @1.80 free money or am i missing something

>>149904877
i believe they do that every saturday for mlb games, at least they have been doing it for most saturdays so far.

tigers pirates under 8.5 @ 1.76

UFC Abu Dhabi Saturday 7/26

Fun card. Early start time which is great.

>Blackshear -310 vs Grant
Parlay piece. I'm very high on Blackshear, one of the best grapplers in the division. I like him to sub Grant in the first or second

>Buchecha -290 vs Buday
Buday is terrible, doesn't belong in the UFC IMO. Buchecha making his debut, multiple time world BJJ champ. Not sure about his striking but don't think it will matter. Buday is trash, gets taken down and subbed quick.

>Leal by KO
No line yet, should be around -150. Salikhov is listed at 41 years old and might be closer to 50. Doesn't have the speed or durability to hang with Leal, who is 90% steroid and 10% human.

>Almabaev -115 vs Ochoa
Grappler vs striker, give me the grappler. Ochoa wants a war on the feet, Almabaev won't let him fight that way.

>Leal vs Salikhov FDNGD -220
This will be -500 by fight day. Bet it now while you can. IMO there's a 85% chance this finishes inside distance and odds imply closer to 70%

>Guskov +150 vs Krylov
Love Guskov here. Good power and Krylov's chin is questionable. Really quick turnaround for Krylov after being heemed out cold vs Reyes in April.

>Yan -400 vs McGhee
Another parlay piece. Yan wins easily unless he gets DQ'd or injured. McGhee taking too big a step up. This is either a Yan TKO or a 30-26 type win. McGhee's only chance is an early finish...Yan takes a boxing approach and usually starts a little slow while figuring out distance and timing.

1/2

>>149910462

>Shara Bullet by KO -145 vs Barriault
MAB has no chin left. He'll get heemed stiff, most likely 1st or 2nd round. Shara wins a bonus with a highlight finish.

>Said +110 vs Bryce
Bryce had questionable durability at 145, I don't see him being able to take much damage at 135. Said also has the best guillotine in UFC. I see Said doing damage and either finishing Bryce via strikes, or snatching his neck when Bryce panic shoots for a sub win. Bryce should not be favored over anyone with a pulse.

>RDR +120 vs Whittaker
I've been betting against Whittaker since his first Izzy fight. He beats one-dimensional strikers (except Izzy) and loses to grapplers, losing badly when the grapplers are bigger and stronger than him. DDP and Khamzat destroyed him, I think RDR does the same and wins via sub inside 2 rounds. RDR is a massive middleweight with super slick grappling and BJJ. Whittaker wins a pure standup fight, I just don't see RDR allowing that. If you want to take Whittaker, take him by KO.

2/2

>>149901805
Called it. Williams really did win the first set 6-3. Stearns is beyond atrocious right now. Insane odds.

>>149910887
1.05 odd fav. losing to 11.00 retiree

didn't see that coming

Cocciaretto to beat Noskova @3 looks interesting.

biggest i've seen (it lost)

another (won)

horse scratched, i tailed when it was 2.50

>>149901805
nicht schlecht

Medvedev?
Looking for something to boost my bankroll

>>149916649
i'm not an atp watcher but from what i hear medvedev really shit the bed at wimbledon

also opelka is like 6'9 or something, height isn't everything but he might ass rape meddy.

Anyone betting on women's football?
Germany vs Spain Euro semi-final
Germany is the underdog @5.60 despite H2H showing 3 wins for Germany, 2 draws and 0 wins for Spain.

but med is 4-2 against opelka and taking meds lack of caring this year into account i dunno. opelka was injured earlier too, i think.

probably going to avoid medv
not worth the sweat
I like free money and sure things

>>149916807
navarro to beat sakkari
rybakina to beat mboko (could be iffy)

i like these odds for wild
agut is 37 and not good on clay

>>149916649
Medvedev has looked absolutely terrible on every surface lately. Very unmotivated play by him at times. Hard court is by far his favourite surface so it makes sense to expect more from him here but his serve has completely degraded over the past year or so. Against a servebot player like Opelka that can be dangerous. Opelka has experience facing Medvedev too so he shouldn't really be caught off by his weird playstyle.

If you want something in a similar odds range I think Lehecka to beat Svajda is a better pick. Or even Rublev to beat Tien.

me? feel wrong if i don't put my money where my mouth is

>>149916831
I agree with Navarro and would also add Tauson over Dolehide. But would stay away from Rybakina actually. I even think Mboko's odds look almost tempting enough for an upset if they were a little higher.

>>149916838
I agree but it's hard to trust someone as inconsistent as Seyboth Wild for any given match. If his forehand isn't shanking everything I think he should win.

>>149916930
i just don't think mboko can beat rybakina, even if rybakina is half assing it but i also wouldn't be shocked if mboko somehow wins.

>>149916975
I'm starting to think Rybakina isn't that good on hard courts anymore due to her weird movement. On clay she has more time getting the balls and on grass the rallies actually slow down over time too if the point gets started and lots of players struggle with the lower bounce. The serve really isn't that reliable anymore either. Realistically I still expect her to win but I think Mboko will at least put up a fight.

>>149917284
i wouldn't be surprised if there's a tiebreak or it goes 3 sets but in the end rybakinas experience wins it
will be sad if i lose the bet but i like mboko so idm if she wins

i think i have a pretty good tennis record, it's the horses that fuck me in the ass.

took btts+O2.5 in Brann-Salzburg @ 2.0

>>149917332
> the horses that fuck me in the ass.
sounds painful

Opelka immediately broke Medvedev in his first service game. His serve really is that weak nowadays.

medvedev live bet @1.6 was too tempting

>>149918558
I would have at least waited for him to lose the first set but I think he's going to lose anyway based on these first few games.

Lost $5 betting on horses last night. I was on a roll at the end though.

Crazy how Opelka stopped doing anything in return games after the first set. Still think somebody with a more fleshed out retun game than Opelka is going to give Medvedev trouble. This isn't convincing at all. Especially his second serve looks very exploitable and is prone to double faults.

2/2
thinking about pushing my luck with navarro to close out the day

Hearts 7-0 vs. Dumbarton

>>149915868
Cocciaretto got destroyed by the way. Good reminder to not really trust her to do much on hard courts.

Gotta chuck on Wawrinka after Venus's performance last night right?

>>149921132
Not really comparable. Wawrinka is actually still decent and plays regularly. Can still hang with most of the Challenger players on tour and the odds tend to reflect that. Definitely wouldn't rule out a Wawrinka win here but don't think there's any real value even ignoring the fact that they're already playing.

>>149916745
Fuck's sake.
>bet on a draw
>cashed out at half time and bet on Spain because it was 15 attempts from Spain and 1 post and 0 for Germany
>second half Spain choke
Women are so fucking shit. These fucking whores shouldn't get paid anything.

>>149921659
I'm just thinking of the cosmic energy of the world.

>>149921789
I had Germany +1 1H and Germany to Qualify and I'm fucking owning your stats fag ass right now

>>149922035
So you were too pussy to bet on the 90 mins result before the game? I had the right pick. But I didn't expect "professional" women to be so fucking shit, though.

>>149922120
The line was weird to me +1.5 FT was basically the same odds as +1 HT so it seemed like way more value.

>>149919699
Wanted to still take a break but fuck it, taking Navarro @1.5 too. Let's all watch Sakkari play her best tennis in years now.

I know after Washington Sakkari will go on a big losing streak and I will be too afraid to fade her every single match because of this Navarro match.

the bills are favored to win every game this season so the storyline is going to be how many can they win before kwabbing and you can expect at least 7 straight out of them

>>149923161
Laughable showing. Navarro couldn't produce a single break point in the second set and basically didn't even try in the tiebreak. I swear I knew this would happen the moment I went for it. I'm a dumbass. I also know Sakkari won't play a match like this for a good while. But when I decide to fade her again she will remember how to play like this again. Always the same shit with these players.

Rybakina will effortlessly beat Mboko 6-2 6-2 by the way.

sigh...

>get the early payout
>team blows the huge lead after the early payout
phew

>>149924627
the bills also have one of the easiest schedules of the season. vegas is offering 1.40 odds for the bills to win 11 games, 2.00 odds for the patriots to win 9 games this season, 1.95 odds for the fins to win 8 games, and the jets are complete trash. there is no way the bills dont go at least 5-1 against them, and those 5 wins are already more wins than the jets will get all season. then they get to play teams like the browns, panthers, and saints, that should be 3 more easy wins. 8 easy wins for them right there, that is already more wins than dolphins and jets get all season. i dont see any possible way the bills manage to lose their division. why should i not just smash like $1000 on them to win their division and get a 40% return in 5 months. yea its not great odds, but even in a worse case scenario where josh allen gets like a season ending injury week 1 and mitch trubisky is their starter for an extended period of time, the other teams are just so bad, it would be an accomplishment for them to just finish .500 nevermind contending with the bills. tell me how the bills dont finish first in their division, why am i getting 1.38 odds for this, how is the bills winning the division not close to like 1.20 or so.

>>149925331
vegas seems to think the patriots are on a cusp of a turn around here, and could be this years commanders style team, going from a 4 win team in the cellar of the division to a "contender" overnight. the patriots have one of the easiest schedule of the season, even easier than the bills. they only have like 5 games this season against teams that finished above .500 last year. and they dont play the chiefs or eagles like the bills do. the bills have a tough 4 weeks in the middle of the season where they have to play the buccaneers, texans, steelers, and bengals. the patriots dont have a part of their schedule like that where they will be tested multiple weeks against hungry teams vying for playoff spots. most of the teams they are playing were 4-6 win teams last season. if the patriots new signings manage to play well together, they can easily go on a roll. but even when the commanders did it, they didnt make it to the level of a super bowl contender, in the eagles. even if the patriots did it here, i think they end up in the same sort of situation as the commanders, a wild card team not a division winner. they definitely have spent this offseason, improved in several key positions, but josh allen is just too good.

>>149925639
Commanders are regressing hard this year so fade them and look at pats panthers to make jumps. Fuck the jags

Been putting a lot of bets on Ponce. Its very obvious they will win. I will get paid out

>>149925984
I have +3.5 and moneylines. It will all hit

>>149925984
>>149925997
They are up 1 point rn. I got the Jewish hivemind who sent me the dox that said they'd win.

>>149925984
>>149925997
>>149926121
They won by 5 points lmao. The Jewish hivemind told me and it hit.

I know someone on twitter keeps winning every single fucking time this nigga bets on anything and still wins I feel like a cuck watching it

>>149910497
Do not fucking bet on a guy coming off of a win against a fraudulent prospect against a top 5 established middleweight staple. RDR is levels below Whittaker when it comes to skill level.

Got 2/3 praying these niggas hit the under

>>149926334
Watching the worst version of The Shining praying it hits.

>>149926358
I'm 15 mins in and there's 45 different people in this isolated hotel

>>149925984
>>149925997
They covered btw. They won the moneyline btw

>>149926334
Lol there's like 0 chance I don't hit this already. Nobody has scored and Atlanta is domating.

This shit will 100% be ass. One of the reasons the original shining ruled is because the woman was so hot and unique. She had epic outfits. This version is some ugly blonde bitch I want to beat with a shovel

Based Joy Taylor enjoyer

oh my lucky stars. fucking disastrous 3-4 days. yolo'd the rest of my balance on this.

Made about $300 on Atlanta Dream/Freseros de Iraputo basketball. If things go good and we hit the under its $600. Then some time tomorrow or Friday I will get a $12k deposit. Going to be epic sauce for me personally

>>149926316
I’ll bet how I want to bet. Whittaker struggles with larger, stronger grapplers.

>>149926684
It’s shameful how much makeup and cleavage they had to use to make this bitch look attractive lol. No thanks!

>>149926906
Ok nigger, show slip and I'll match it with a bet on Whittaker

portugalanon, does braga beat the bulgarian farmers tomorrow, or are they playing the b team?

todays tenny multi
gotta get back on that horse. heh.
kristina has dropped to 2.38 tho

>>149926334
>>149926459
you bet on womens basketball so you got what you deserved but I have a feeling the wnba is going to get rocked by a sports betting scandal in the next year or 2. these women have made it clear they believe they are entitled to more money and everyone knows women dont have any sense of ethics so its only a matter of time before someone slips up.
I am increasingly convinced that markets are being rigged to encourage cashouts. too often seeing games with these wild reversals. if its not intentional they suck even more than i thought and theres no predicting suck so you might as well play craps

>>149927953
shucks. try again tomorrow!

Siniakova?

>>149932111
she's in my other multi but i only chose her because i like her more than noskova

>>149929856
I don't think it's that deep. It happens across leagues. There's something with women where all of a sudden there are massive runs. I think it's something to do with their temperament.

blue jays @ 2.10
two teams on opposite form, tigers one of the worst batting teams in the major leagues in the month of july, blue jays coming off a 2-1 series win over the yankees where they put a lot of balls into play to move into top spot in the division. books havent given much respect to the blue jays at all this season. they are one of two teams in the bigs with a winning record both at home and on the road as the books underdog.

took btts+O2.5 in hibernian-midtjylland

>>149934728
jays get no respect when they keep kwabbing teams

>>149934728
who is on the mound for toronto?

I like losing money.

>>149935002
Correction: I like winning small amounts of money on inconsequential wagers.

My horse lost today.

Just betting on line movements is literally free money. I have like 20 more of these out too. Feel like if that's my only bet pattern they're going to ban me before I make any real money though (I'm sure they look for such types of betting patterns and don't even care if you win them)

damn should have gone all in on the blue jays

>>149940144
12% movement in the last hour in favor of Fortaleza. This is basically free money at +250. Colombia is rigged af (as fuck) too