Thread 150117655

football is back edition

>>150117655 (OP)
When does the ncaa starts?

>>150117792
football in a few weeks. basketball in november

bet365 offering outrageous value today with ohtani 1+ hit super boosted to +100.
espn has the under 0.5 if you want it.

going to make a small bet on a dog today. reds beat the cubs and sweep the series. andrew abbott is a monster, 4-0 on the road, with a 2.28 era and a .91 whip. the cubs arent batting very well right now. cubs hvent been swept in a 3 game series at home so far this season. a lot of dogs pulling off early upsets so far today. reds @ 2.15

>>150118931
Great gonna save some money for that
Damn horses bankrupted me

>>150119917
be careful the first few weeks. lots of unbalanced matchups. superior teams just want to get through without injury. inferior teams may be satisfied with a TD or 2.

of course the iceland league game is the slurper

Zverev to beat Khachanov @1.4

Tauson to beat Osaka @2.35

this mariners game tonight has trap written all over it. yes, on paper the mariners should easily win. they have acquired players at the deadline to go on a deep playoff run. george kirby is in good form right now, 2.61 era and 0.92 whip in his past 7 starts, only giving up 28 hits and 12 earned runs in 41.1 innings, while jonathan cannon has posted a 5.88 era and 1.51 whip over a slightly smaller 33.2 inning sample size for the white sox. but a few things to consider here, the mariners have only played 1 other game this season as 1.37 (-270) or lower favorites, and lost. since the all star game, the mariners have the worst batting average in the majors and 4th lowest ops, conversely, the white sox have the 4th highest batting average, 4th most runs scored, and 3rd highest ops in that same span. in the white sox past 10 games, they were the books dog in all 10, and ended winning in 5. the mariners as the books favorite, in all situations, are only 41-39, and at home, are only 21-20 at home. if we are going by the books odds, the implied probability of the mariners winning should be closer to 50%, not 73% probability like the moneyline implies here. the marines moneyline is an absolutely brutal bet here to make, even if they win you ate like 20% probability for no reason at all.

Mboko breaks Rybakina serving for the match to stay in it in the third set. Live odds for Mboko were like @12 a while ago. Now they're @2.2

>>150123552
And then she gets broken herself anyway. Great stuff.

>>150123666
Breaks back again super quickly to bring it to a deciding tiebreak. Will shut up now until the match is actually over for good.

damn victoria mboko what an upset my + game spread saved too

>>150123705
Thought you were doing live coverage of the match

>>150102380
>>150103697
Knew Mboko would beat Rybakina before the match was even confirmed to happen and called the correct odds in advance as well. Been preaching for days about this. Great comeback in the third set. Thought it was pretty much over after she took a medical timeout and got broken shortly afterwards. Rybakina's tendency to fall apart after a strong first set in later stages of tournaments is ridiculous. Also hope somebody took Mboko to win Montreal before it was too late >>150079554

Obviously she hasn't actually won it yet but @8 odds are easily hedged since she won't be a big underdog in the final regardless of who she ends up facing there. My fear is that Mboko has truly run out of energy now. The medical timeout plus a long match when she isn't used to making deep runs at bigger tournaments yet means she might just fall over in the final. Not much time to recover until the final gets played either. Might end up taking Tauson in the final if she hopefully beats Osaka.

>>150115347
won
won
won
lost
lost but didn't bet on

Have barely bet on Zverev all year because he's been playing like shit at every other tournament. Thought it was time for him to find some footing because I imagined he was gaining some confidence back with new coaching but that was just my imagination. Khachanov has also usually been a comfortable match up for him. Big fade target for the US Open.

>>150121937
Some terrible last minute bets on both Zverev and Tauson.

>>150123365
way too much analysis for a regular season baseball game. all that matters is starting pitchers and recent performance.

UFC Vegas 110: Dolizde vs Hernandez

Had a crappy card last week with a couple good reads that still lost. Gotta bounce back on this abomination of a card.

>Brundage -160 vs McConico
Never expected to bet Brundage as a favorite, but McConico is not UFC level. He's getting this fight as a thank you for facing Ruziboev on short notice. Brundage should put him away. IMO this line will get steamed to -300 or shorter by fight night. Bet it now.

>Stoliarenko by SUB +600
Only way she wins is by submission. Take this instead of the +330 moneyline. She probably gets TKO'd but at this number it's worth a gamble. She has the better ground game.

>Edwards-Cachoeira under 2.5 rounds +260
Six of Cachoeira's last 8 fights ended under 2.5 rounds. She fights like the Zombie Girl nickname implies. Caution to the wind and kill or be killed. Edwards is not a finisher, but she has really improved in her UFC run and found finishes the last two times out.

>Medic vs Urbina over 1.5 rounds +120
Market is fading Urbina because of his inactivity. Lots of guys come back with ring rust and take a while to get going. I could see this one going the distance.

>Smith vs Kazama fight to start round 2 NO +120
Kazama is terrible. I don't see him surviving more than a couple minutes against a younger, more athletic fighter. Smith ITD bets are juiced so just take the fight to end quick.

>Cerqueira to win by KO +800
This guy is terrible. His only win condition is a KO. I doubt it happens but I'm not laying the juice with all of Walker's KO props and unders.

>CLD by KO +180 vs Anders
Anders is washed. He's been badly hurt/dropped multiple times recently. Ancient Chris Weidman had him on the ropes. CLD is not known for finishing, I just don't see Anders surviving 15 minutes against the younger, faster, better fighter. CLD has a high ceiling and needs to stop fighting like a bitch.

1/2

>>150124509
I thought about taking it, but stayed away because of how comfortably Khachanov handled Michelson, who had been playing well until then.

>>150125154

>Fili +200 vs C-Rod
Fili's chin worries me a bit, he's been in some wars. Still, I like his length and better striking. He'll need to stay off his back to have a chance. At even money I'd take C-Rod, at 3-1 payout I'm taking Fili. C-Rod is too inconsistent to be -240 against an experienced, longer fighter.

>Lucindo vs Hill under 2.5 rounds +450
Value play. Gotta do it at this number. The over is listed at -720 on DK. Injuries and fluke subs/flash KO's happen.

>Matsumoto+CLD+Smith parlay -128
Don't see any of them losing

>Matsumoto+CLD+Edwards all over 2.5 rounds parlay +199
Betting this as a hedge in case this card is boring

>Erceg by sub +185
Don't like this number much, but it's the most likely outcome IMO. Ode can't grapple. If Erceg gets him down it's probably a quick sub. Club n sub is possible too.

>Dolidze by DEC +1100
People are sleeping on Dolidze. He has an excellent MMA skillset. Dude outgrappled Hermansson and has outstruck a lot of good strikers. I like him to take the first two rounds then do just enough in one of the championship rounds to get a win. Don't see Fluffy submitting him. Also taking over 3.5 rounds -130. 5-round fights go the distance at a high clip.

2/2

>>150125154
>>150125235
What's your prediction on ddp khamzat?

>>150125306
Khamzat finishes him quick. DDP can't stop a takedown.

cincinnati
joint 1.36
cirstea 2.50
danilovic 1.90 (50% chance)
stearns 1.60
sramkova 2.10
uchijima 2.50 is still temporarily on my do not bet on list but it's a possibility
kartal 1.30

roehampton
klugman 1.30
xu 1.40

>>150125685
since there's 9 of them i'm going to experiment and put them in combination 3 leg multis and see what happens

anyone gonna put anything on venus this time

>>150126764
I was eyeing her to win a set but don't like the odds enough.

I think I have to take Zarazua to beat Putintseva @2.1 even though the odds aren't that high. Putintseva simply has been this terrible. Watch her play her best tennis in months now.

>>150127861
Also on Osuigwe to beat Maria @2.3

doubling down on a bet almost always loses for me but i had to yolo that win to save my night

risking a golf top finish arb this weekend. very nervous. almost like real gambling

$2.35 on my tennis bets, see if i wake up to a profit. i doubt it.

Niggas really think chiefs finna hit that O 11.5 with that gauntlet

>>150128549
12 is about right. will beat giants jags and colts. probably 4-2 in the division. 3-3 against eagles ravens lions skins bills cowboys gets them to 12. i have a hard time seeing 13 and the week 18 game against the raiders could be meaningless so under 11.5 is the play but its not going to be comfortable

Took Viking FK @ +105

>>150128603
12 is the logical conclusion, which is why it's a trap. Mahomes will be punished for opposing the 18 game schedule, normie cattle have been groomed into wanting to see him refballed into early retirement, and he clearly cares more about his family than football now. Mahomes will put up 4,000 and 30 buddies, but ref-induced 9-8 no offs is the script for KC.

If you want free money, find a book that let's you take Pat for comeback player of the year

Who do you guys follow? And where did you get your wins?

anyone like BTTS+O2.5 in PAOK-Wolfsberger?

Going to watch some horses IRL today. Wish me luck.

>>150130859
good luck

>>150125685
Nice call with Cirstea. Vekic keeps being a favourite in these matchups for some reason.

>>150128976
damn, lost every bet today.

i cant watch sports i have an open bet on the volatility is too much how do people enjoy this

anyone betting NFL preseason???

Ito keeps winning match after match and has plus odds for most of them. Keep thinking she must run out of energy but she keeps playing and winning. I know the moment I decide to actually bet on Ito she will lose for sure.

DC free money in soccer.

over 5.5 runs + mariners moneyline @ 1.86

shane smith not a very good pitcher. this will be his second start since returning from the 15 day dl with a sprained ankle. 25 earned runs, 25 hits in his past 6 starts (22.1 innings) and hes given up a home run in his past 5 starts. he has started 1 game against the mariners earlier this season in chicago, 5.0IP, 3ER, 2H, 2W, and a no decision, the mariners went on to win the game. logan gilbert is a decent pitcher, mid rotation guy for the mariners. 12 earned runs, 25 hits in his past 6 starts (32.2 innings). but the more important thing here is that the whitesox are batting well enough to at least push across a couple runs. just need them to score 2, maybe even 3, and the mariners should be able to out hit them. its a much nicer day today in the pacific northwest than yesterday. sunny day with clear skies, they already had 14 runs and 5 homeruns yesterday on a cool overcast evening, today is a much warmer clear day, they should be able to generate some offense again.

>>150131679
Id go Ravens tonight

>>150132046
>over 5.5 runs + mariners moneyline @ 1.86
bet365 won't let me parlay it

>>150132175
nevermind, i got it to go

I talked before about levels for players: bettors.
Fish
Goose
Diletante
Pro
Savant

And i wanna just explain how a savant plays. And a pro player. We're only gonna focus on the categories that are net positive.
A pro player has anything above sea level, say 300 euros profit so far.
But 10.000 € is where the savant stands with his bankroll.
And affors to put 200 on prematch. With early payout on mls. The fortune telling prematch
and then rebacks of 200 on the goal up to 1k. 10% a special stake. 1.000 €
So 200 prematch, up to 1000 reback on : the goal. But who to score? Your team at 1.30? No. Here is the trick. ANYONE to score. take both. Take both on FCSB to score AND TO CONCEIDE. @1.16
At 200€
Reback 200 @1.25, 200@1.33 , 200 @1.40, 200 @1.60
On OVER 1.5 GOALS TOTAL
And one red dot appears. From either side!
That's the beauty of it.
And it works every time 95% of the time. IF you're on the right games.
You basically bet late in the game. First half doesn't matter. First half can end with their 1 min of extra time. Second half is where it's at. You know that bet: which half has more goals. It's always second half. So late goals. You chase 1 more goal always, but you can also try overs pregame. Say 5+ @16
And chase live one more, or 2 more. Say crvena zvezda 0-1 novi pazar . Over 1.5 is @1.03, you try over 2.5 @1.22;
And wait two red dots.
Pro players are always in guerilla mode. All ins, and so on, invested in games. Savants don't care, it's all mechanical. And winning 9/10 games constantly. With losing bets no strategy works. There will be losses, but that's like at most 10% of your bankroll bro. A special stake.
Bet small and med until a special stake arrives. Bet anything, one more goal in second half. Begin the reback at 1.16
The best feeling in the world is having the lesser team scoring the 85th min puskas award nominee to secure your over 2.5 ;)

>>150127861
Zarazua won 2-1 despite losing the first set. Insane how bad Putintseva has been lately. Might just have to bet against her in every first round she plays for the next few tournaments.

Cincinnati picks for tomorrow:

Bellucci to beat Dzumhur @1.6

Lamens to beat Kudermetova @3.7

Gracheva to beat Volynets @1.8

Bronzetti to beat Zhu @2.3

I'll also follow the aussie on Sramkova.

>>150133553
One more last minute addition for today: Marozsan to beat Smith @1.55 also in Cincinnati.

Match should start very soon but I'm not sure when exactly due to the rain delay.

mariners blew it

PHEW might lay off baseball for a day or two been pressing my luck to its maximum

>>150133715
only if u took the runline

this is a potential meme bet that is very situational, and you might only have like 3 seconds to place it before the lines are closed. lets say theres is a guy pitching who doesnt walk many people. havent figured out an exact way to quantify this, but possibly looking at a pitcher who is around or under 2bb/9innings, or maybe in the top 20 of least walked batters. when it gets to a full count, 3-2, next pitch result strike/foul @ 1.86, the guy either fights to stay alive, or gets struck out, an ace isnt going to walk the dude here 55% of the time like the odds are implying. its a very situational bet, but there is value here compared to the actual statistics.

>>150128515
any 2 win might have potential me thinks. the 5 legger is going to lose.

Mboko is actually winning the final. Feel like an idiot not taking her to beat Osaka for these odds but I was worried about the potential injury. Got the future at least. Think I might have to take more tournament futures if I notice a player is overperforming.

>>150127880
Osuigwe is fucking terrible.

>>150135073
she blew my 5 leg but i'm not ready to put her on my list yet

>>150135212
Don't bet too frequently on her either. Obviously can't really be mad at an underdog losing but this was pathetic. Maria didn't even do anything.

>>150134912
By the way, Mboko plays Shnaider on Saturday in Cincinnati. Based on the Montreal performances I expect Shnaider to win this. Will keep an eye on the line movement and hopefully some money comes in on Mboko. There's also a chance of a withdrawal so don't want to go for it yet.

very odd line movement in this cruz azul v colorado rapids game. the moneyline odds for colorado rapids to win has gone back up from 2.10 to 2.25 despite the fact they are winning, while cruz azul or tie dropped from 1.66 to 1.53 even though they are losing and more time has past. cruz azul was a very heavy favorite before the game started @ 1.30 despite this game being dead rubber since neither team would have been able to advance even if they won.

My ravies won. I am fully locked in for da nfl season i VILL be a millionaire after it

im actually really tempted to take the patriots over 8.5 wins @ 2.00. they have the easiest schedule imaginable.

should win:
panthers
saints
browns
jets*2
giants

winnable:
raiders
steelers
falcons
dolphins @ home

difficult:
bengals
bucs
dolphins on the road

no chance:
bills*2
chiefs
ravens

that is 6 games against the leagues dumpster fires. they should win those. i get it you, cant just assume they win the games they are supposed to win and lose the games they are supposed to lose, but realistically speaking, they have like 4 games that are against a really good opponent, and then 13 other games against teams around their level to get to 9 wins. in other years the commanders and 49ers were able to take advantage of a very easy schedule, and have a mid tier unproven quarterback carry them to a 12+ win season. this could easily be the patriots and drake mayes year here.

Do not bet anything on Ashton jeanty other than him to fail. See what his under 1k yards is and bet that

>>150134860
2 are gonna payout at least

>ravens -4.5 cash
>Bengals +9.5 cash
>take all my gains and bet on seahawks -3.5
Im getting too old for thisytsp8

some cincinnati picks
do singles i'm just testing

Fiziev heems oliveira ez

this lost but i guess i'm the loser for following it with $5 but my next bet won $8 so happy days

don't even know why i'm betting greyhounds it's usually one i don't go near

>fall asleep
>horse i had my eye on wins with longshot odds
>didn't bet
Fuck.

>>150133654
Marozsan won 2-1 by the way. No clue why he wasn't a bigger favourite but I guess the scoreline actually was somewhat close.

>>150138081
Really like Sabalenka @1.4 and I wanted to take Kartal too but the line is so steamed it scares me. Don't even get what Garcia is doing here. She retired at RG and suddenly plays Cincinnati.

>>150139199
that's what i thought. i had to google it when i saw her, said something like "garcia retired at rg but will play a few more tournaments after that" so one of those "i'm not really retiring i'm just playing less retirements".

>>150139322
"i'm not really retiring i'm just playing less" retirements.*

>>150139322
Or just changed her mind because she isn't even that old yet. Kartal has a tendency to kind of choke in matches she should comfortably win so I'm staying away even though this should be a straight forward 2-0.

>>150139370
see what happens. it's part of my testing of combination multis.
now, danilovic smoked boulter and she's 2.70~ to beat raducanu. i'm going to wait until it's closer to match start but i might take that.

Johor DT - Selangor over 5.5 @5.00

>>150139528
Didn't really follow the match but not sure how much you can really read into beating current Boulter. Normally love fading Raducanu but I don't know if this is the right spot.

Kind of want to take Starodubtseva to beat Jeanjean @1.7 but it feels like a trap.

muller 2.15 vs. brooksby
walton 1.8 vs. navone
agut 1.55 vs. altmaier

I could honestly read programs and watch horse racing without betting. It's just that fun.

Redskins ml today
Change my mind

>>150142028
Betting on preseason seems like a bad idea.

>>150142028
most regular season starters probably wont even play a single snap in week 1 pre season

>>150142091
They seem to be invested at least yesterday games
>>150142136
I know thats why patriots starters are bad enough imagine their subs

Terrible summer for me boys 2023 and 2024 was lit now its terrible

>>150142251
Me too the jew are getting real greedy
I lost almost 100 dollars just this week

Literally going all in on #3 Harper City at Woodbine. I don't care.

>>150142623
It is quite literally without exaggeration over.

Anyta maxx wynn

Patiently counting down the days until my PayPal receives my next deposit money.

fenty a/king d

If the chiefs and eagles are both looking dominant week 1 they are going back to the superbowl

Falcons browns pats tonight

>>150133553
Adding one more for tonight: Krejcikova to beat Parks @1.4

>>150135723
By the way Mboko and also Osaka have both withdrawn from Cincinnati. Pretty much as expected. Sad because I would wanted to fade both of them.

kyle hendricks over 2.5 strikeouts @ 1.60

this seems like quite a generously low line. kyle hendricks has recorded 4 or more strikeouts in 8 of his last 9 road starts against AL central opponents (going back to last season). he faced the tigers back in may, in anaheim, went 7.1 innings, allowed 4 hits, 1 ER, 0BB, and 3K, and he got the W. kyle hendricks hasnt recorded a loss to a team with a winning record once this season. since the all star break, the tigers have the highest k% against righties in general, and at home. now skubal is a very very good pitcher putting up some of the best number of his career, but the moneyline here seems like a bit of a trap. the tigers are 0-10 against the angels following a loss, and the tigers have failed to cover the runline in each of their last 7 games against AL teams following a loss. the tigers do not bounce back well. conversely, the angels are one of the better teams as the books dog. the angels have won 7 of their last 8 games as the underdog following a home loss, and mike trout has hit a homerun against the tigers in 3 straight games. im not saying to bet on the angels here, but the tigers moneyline here is not as sure as the implied probability is making it out to be.

>>150145637
sorry an AL team with a winning record. the only team with a winning record he has lost to this year is the mets.

heres your meme stat of the day: the phillies have lost 10 straight in arlington, but are the slight favorite today against the rangers. the texas rangers are one of the better teams when playing at home, while the phillies are only .500 (28-28) on the road. this could be a game to go with the dog, but this also looks like a potential pitching duel.
under 7.5 runs @ 1.86, but maybe you have the guts to go with the dog @ 2.10

>>150145637
kyle hendricks strikes out the side in order, doesnt get any easier than that. bet already cashed out by the middle of the first.

>>150145637
tigers finished. they were a 1.35 favorite that are on the verge of not only losing but being badly out played. if you were insane enough to bet on the angels when they were down 3-1 you could have had them around 7.00 odds. thank god i didnt trust that line. what a screw job.

>>150125685
finally all resulted
won
won
won
won
won
lost
lost

won
lost

Betted 1 dollar on the 4th quarter for the falcons and the game is now running while the players are praying cause a rb hit another player in the head

W T F (i btw i betted on the redskins and was trying to recover my money with this one)

>>150147859

I needed the Lions to score a rushing TD, so naturally they throw the ball on the 1-yard line the drive before the Lions defensive player died. If that's not an omen for how bad this season is going to be for me, I don't know what is.

>>150147896
I fucking done with this jewish tricks
Yesterday the seahawks literally choose to pass the ball on the 4th and 1 in the 4th quarter with 4 minutes left, if they had at least kicked the ball they would've won.

>just one more bet before bed
always loses
at least the first bet of today made most of it back

>>150147859
Why didnt you bet the browns lol they have a full flight of qbs who want to make the roster against the Panthers. Go for the saints against the chargers, youre betting on player desperation in the preseason. Who actually wants to be on a team and who's coasting getting ready for the real season or the tank

>>150148296
I would but instead of the commanders but i got afraid for 2 reasons
1 the browns was awful last year
2 and the biggest was because i looked at a prediction bet site and they picked the panthers and the commanders

>>150148431
You dont know ball yet you put money on it lol why would you ever pick commies or Panthers here literally negative reasons to

>>150148499
I didn't pick the panthers cause they were also awful ,actually i thought it was too much of a wildcard for me to bet on after considering the above.

>>150148563
>i thought it was too much of a wildcard
And im saying it was set in stone lol do you understand

>>150148638
If you say so

>>150133553
>>150144817
3 wins and 2 losses in total. Bronzetti, Gracheva and Krejcikova all won 2-1. Lamens was completely hopeless and Bellucci kept it close despite being awful on serve but couldn't win either tiebreak. Sramkova won as well so thanks for that >>150147736


Picks for tomorrow:

Machac to beat Mannarino @1.5

Ito to win the first set against Pavlyuchenkova @2.3

Maria to beat Kostyuk @3.8

Normally don't bet on Maria, especially not on hard courts. But Kostyuk was dealing with a bad wrist injury in the match against Rybakina a few days ago and was forced to retire. Doubt it's been enough time to fully heal so surprised this match is even happening. Was expecting a withdrawal.

Currently 3/4 in memeseason det game got cancelled cause someone got heemed.
Tomorrow
Giants over bills
Vikes over tex
Rams over boys
Steelers over jags
Titans over bucs
Chiefs over cards
Jets over pack
Broncos over niners

Giants are free

kartal lost, she's going on my list. this'll payout even if sabalenka somehow loses.

loss/profit/loss on my combo tests, i think these could work for me.

>>150149150
Called the Kartal choke. Starting to think it might be better to take the first set with her most of the time. Did the same at Wimbledon. So many matches where she starts out strong and then loses control of the match in the second set.

>>150149198
Any picks for tomorrow? Im making a heil mary parley, any bets are welcome.

>>150149302
i'm going for danilovic 3.00 but it entirely depends on which raducanu shows up
to boost your odds slightly you could add
swiatek 1.05
keys 1.15
rybakina 1.06
others to consider
alexandrova 1.30
mertens 1.20
samsonova 1.40

also my jovic got in as a lucky loser and won at 1.60 but i was asleep for it

>>150149302
Dolidze by sub +1100
Stoliarenko by sub +730
Cerquiera by KO +800
Cachoeira by KO +1000

One of those will hit

Next week Aaron Pico is making his UFC debut after a disappointing Bellator career fighting cans. Inexplicably favored over an undefeated top 10 guy. I'm not telling you to bet the farm on Lerone Murphy +120, but get him before the market is aware and the line flips next week.

i was nervous as fuck waiting for the results

but it paid off beating my previous record of $311

won by about a length. nice clean win.

>promo restricted on MGM
>travel to different state
>no restriction
fuck you MGM. fuck you right in the ass

>>150155074
withdraw the 200 already you stupid kangaroo.

fucking belgian slurper

Insane how Ito keeps winning as an underdog over and over again. Might judt have to take her in every match until she loses.

>>150156133
200 is not enough to get drunk

took new zeland -5.5 vs taiwan fiba asia. saudi arabia -11.5 vs india was easy.

Casper Ruud is such a fucking bitch.

>>150157996
Genuinely stop betting on Ruud on hard courts unless they're super slow. He will always let you down.

thank you psv ht/ft

>>150148673
1 win and 2 losses. Ito didn't just win the first set but the whole match 2-1. Maria was absolutely atrocious. Obviously it was a longshot but I thought she would at least put up a fight. Laughable showing. Think I'm done with Maria on hard courts from now on. Speaking of being done with a player, this is also like the 5th time in a row Machac shits the bed when I bet on him. Think I need to reevaluate my opinion of him because he keeps underperforming as a favourite. Seems to constantly struggle with match fitness. Definitely staying away from Machac for the time being as well.

Good giants

>>150159054
Adding 2 more losses for the day:

Fonseca to beat Davidovich-Fokina @2.1

Sabalenka to beat Vondrousova @1.4

Also done betting Fonseca for the time being. That's like 3 people in one day which is probably a big overreaction but I keep thinking it's a good idea to give them another chance. Also need to stop trying to fade Davidovich-Fokina so badly. I still think he's not actually that good or consistent but he keeps winning.

>>150161395
Wasn't even trying to reverse jinx it because I genuinely thought the match had to be over at 4-0 with two breaks. Now it's 4-3 and Fonseca is on serve. Would be an insane comeback.

ADF's bitch ass retired lmao

>>150161689
Davidovich-Fokina got broken again at 4-4 and immediately retired before he even lost the second set. This would have been one of the craziest comebacks of the year for sure if they had played it out. Fonseca's live odds were like @25 when he was down 4-0 in the second set. Taking back what I said about Fonseca after this comeback but I'm still going to be careful about taking him as a favourite. Knew I was justified in trying to fade Davidovich-Fokina so much recently.

>>150161810
Crazy how quickly he retired. Basically the second he got broken he gave up.

>>150161874
Some dude turned $50 into $600, sniped Fonseca at +1100. Lucky fucker.

>>150161899
All retirements are pushes for me. But I have to say, haven't been this happy about a push in a while.

rams are winning the nfc

>>150163773
Anyone but squirts or dem boys.

>Ctrl+F Dildo
>no results
For shame.

>>150159581
Sabalenka won 2-0. First set was decently close but still never lost serve. Pretty generous odds. Vondrousova is not that consistent on hard courts and this is Sabalenka's best surface. 2 wins, 2 losses and a push in total for today. Could have been a lot worse. Picks for tomorrow coming in later.

>>150149379
danilovic lost
win
win
win
win
win
lost

both multis lost money but in my head some return is better than a full loss

cincinnati
svitolina 1.30
ostapenko 1.40
yastremska 1.30
noskova 1.50

risky
paolini 1.70
sramkova 2.30

very risky
bronzetti 3.70
wang 4.50

>>150163807
boys arent doing shit eagles rams again for nfc chip

Fade every fucking pasta monkey who is not Sinner in Tennis.

Okay chiefs. OKAY CHIEFS OKAYYYYYYYYYYYYYYU FUCK

>>150164027
maybe i was overestimating sabs but 1.40 felt way too generous. i'd have put her at 1.20.

>>150165089
Maybe not 1.2 but like close to 1.3 would have been more accurate I think. Vondrousova has given Sabalenka trouble in the past but not on hard courts.

>Tigers one leg hook me for second time this week
>Changed Steelers +5.5 to 49ers +7.5 for some reason and the 49ers have allowed 19 straight points and are losing by 11
>Have Vlad homerun but Blake Snell turned into Nolan Ryan (also changed Dodgers ML to the over at the last second)

I fucked myself over good tonight.

>>150148706
Almost made it with this too bad the titans decided to give up on the 4th quarter
Now im going to take a long break hopefully never to return to this vice

Piece of fucking shit team. Fuck you chiefs.

>>150164027
Picks for tomorrow:

Comesana to beat Darderi @1.7

Popyrin to beat Landaluce @1.3

McNally to beat Kessler @1.85

Sramkova to beat Linette @2.3

Jovic to win a set against Noskova @1.5

absolutely brutal call. second yellow on a nothing collision not even close to the ball. the fix is in. live bet the san jose earthquakes to win this game because they have the referee on their side.

>>150166841
bullshit penalty on the whitecaps now. guy just fell over wasnt even touched. the fix is completely in. hope you placed the bet.

>>150166841
thanks for the tip

kashiwa reysol @ 1.60
shonan bellmare currently winless in 8 straight league matches. they have the second leakiest defense in the j league, with 37 goals conceded in 24 matches, and 23 goals conceded in 12 away matches, giving them the highest average goals conceded on the road in the j league. with goals also coming at a premium, only scoring 20 goals in 24 matches, they are currently tied for 3rd least goals scored in the j league this season. shonan bellmare is currently in a three way tie for worst goal differential in the league at -17. if this wasnt bad enough, shonan bellmare's top choice goalkeeper, Naoto Kamifukumoto, was recently hurt with an achilles injury and will be unavailable for this match. kashiwa reysol is having quite a fairy tale run right now. so high in the table they might be having a bit of a nosebleed as they say. but im going to keep rolling with the hot hand here, and trust reysol to put away a struggling dog.

>>150166653
Adding Sevastova to beat Krueger @2.1 and Tjen to beat Marcinko @1.85 in the Landisville final.

saints phins tonight

>>150173429
>4th & Goal?
>RUN. IT. UP. THE. MIDDLE.
KWAB

Might be going crazy but can't shake the impression that Blockx will beat Nakashima. Too scared to go for it now but maybe if some other stuff ends up winning beforehand I'll take it.

Popyrin was struggling but thankfully still wins a really close first set in a tiebreak. Had to save 7 break points to even get there. Assuming he doesnt choke this away now he would play Rublev in the next round. Looks like a good spot to fade him. Rublev has been shaky himself lately but would definitely expect him to win in this encounter. Hopefully his odds won't be too low since Popyrin did well in Toronto and beat him twice in a row last year.

>Tigers hook me yesterday
>Guardians today
>Salvador Perez going 0-4 on his MLB debut anniversary just piles it on after Kerry Carpenter goes yard

I'd say hurry up NFL but it's also my worst sport.

>>150176351
You think Ugo can steal a set from Ben Shelton?

>>150178333
Not too impressed with his hard court game. Like the idea of fading someone who just won a tournament but don't think this is the right time. Think Shelton wins a close first set that looks winnable for Ugo Carabelli and then dominates in the second one. In the round afterwards he would play Bautista-Agut which might be a good spot to fade him. Think fatigue will catch up by then.

Khamzat is sick

Medvedev on the verge of losing to Walton. Swear I was eyeing it all day but talked myself out of it thinking I can't fade him all the time. Ridiculous how much he has fallen off even on hard courts. Runs out of steam and the service games are a struggle when he's not acing. Especially the second serves.

>>150179339
Lost 6-1 in the third set. Just gives up when he doesn't feel like playing anymore. Going to fade him every single time now if I feel like he might lose. Going to do it 3 times in a row at the USO and he will win all 3 matches comfortably so prepare for that.

>>150173868
Not going for Blockx anyway because with how everything went today he's going to lose in a quick 2-0 anyway.

>>150166653
>>150169387
2 wins, 4 losses and a push. Some dumb picks I regret in retrospect like McNally who was bound to run out of energy with all the court time in recent weeks. Only things that worked were Popyrin and Jovic to win a set. Jovic even won the whole match 2-0. Seemed like Noskova was struggling with the heat. Should be 3 wins because Darderi retired down a set and a break. Would have obviously lost 2-0. But that doesn't change that some of the other picks were pretty bad.

>>150180389
Picks for tomorrow:

Diallo to win a set against Sinner @5.7

Sabalenka to beat Raducanu @1.3

Ito to beat Keys @4.4

Realistically someone like Keys is the end of the road for Ito but I have to take this.

>>150180494
I have an idea. Do the opposite of everything the german anon posts.

>>150180719
Go ahead and fade everything I post. Fully admit I had a bad day today and it definitely wasn't the first bad day but if you pay attention I've also been sharing some actually good stuff lately as well.

>>150180719
Its still random he can win one day and lose the other
Not like the ncaaf guy last year that one was cursed he even stopped posting

>>150180956
>>150180996
Sorry. Its been a rough day for betting. I'm not upset at you.

>>150164813
still playing but probably a loss
void
won
lost (but as per my rules i bet on jovic so i won)

won
lost

won
lost

cincinnati:
sabalenka 1.30

slight risk:
rybakina 1.40
tauson 1.60

risky:
joint 2.30

might be nearing my stopping point for cincinnati

Off topic but what are your thoughts on Polymarket?

>>150182638
vig too highs0rxv

>>150182992
Vig?

don't like using phones but the app lets you see bets

>>150182638
What's your vig?

>>150167874
Thanks. Any baseball?

>>150183677
>>150183523

>>150183578
>10 Legs
>5 legs
>7 legs
>10 legs
Thats why you never win.

>>150183950
>implying i made $3250 worth of multis

bookie gave me $25 bonus cash for website issues, what shall i blow it on instead of making a bit of moolah?

>>150184627
judge 2+ HR

y'know 25 grand on 8 legs just seems needlessly complicated

more legs than two centipedes fucking

bonus lost but my cash monies won putting me at a new high of $363.75

$360 now i put more on sabalenka

Luckily Sabalenka is usually clutch in tiebreaks. That was a sweat.

some of these odds for baseball today are quite sketch. paddack has actually pitched twice against the whitesox this season already, and lost both games. first game of the season he was touched up pretty heavily, 9ER in 3.1 IP, and gave up 3HR. since the all star break the whitesox are top 3 in ops and wrc+ at home against right handed pitching. this is basically the complete opposite to their season average where they are bottom 3 in those stats. the tigers on the other hand are struggling quite a bit since all star break. this one might not be easy sailing for the tigers. yankees struggling quite a bit too, and the twins reactivated byron buxton off the dl today, probably a harder game for them to win than the moneyline is implying.

>>150190245
way too close but a win is a win

Stop betting on my horse.

going to parlay brewers + cardinals @ 2.27
two home favorites against dumpster fires you just know one of these guys are going to lay a huge egg here.

Rangers turn to sell me tonight. And of course it was fucking Eovaldi of all people.

>>150192303
phew rockies bullpen collapse saves me

patience is winning

>>150182595
sabalenka won (barely)
rybakina won (questionable at times)
waiting on tauson to play
joint lost

think i might be done with cincinnati now. 23 wins, 8 losses.

pafos fc is currently on course for their first ever champions league appearance and remain the only debutants left in the qualifying rounds. they are currently unbeaten in 7 straight matches across all competitions including pre season friendlies, and if you included matches from the end of last season, they are currently unbeaten in 13 straight. the ukrainian league has already started, and dynamo kiev played on friday, picking up a 1-5 away result against one of the leagues minnows. pafos did not play a match between the 2 legs. dynamo kiev is in a difficult spot because of the war. they havent transferred in or signed new players in 2+ seasons now, and the last few players they have signed were players from other clubs in the ukrainian league. to me, this line is set off a coefficient or elo ranking of the teams past performances, where dynamo kiev was once a team that could make it and even win a couple games in the group stage, but are nowhere near that level anymore, and pafos is in uncharted waters. the last year dynamo kiev made it to the actual group stage of the tournament was in 21/22. one thing to note here, this game will be taking place in Alphamega Stadium, limassol's homeground about 60km away, as pafos' stadium is too small for champions league matches. dynamo kiev is 1D 2L all time when playing in cyprus.

pafos fc or draw @ 1.66

apart from jovic 2.15 as per my rules

i bet on tsitsipas

>Rangers come back to win but Giants ruin it anyway
>Get Chisholm HR but hooked by Hunter Goodman
>Get Ben Rice HR but hooked by Riley Greene

I can push this streak to 50 straight losses if I try hard enough

me? few small wins, every dollar counts. tennis bets are covered. good night, good night.

>>150180494
Sabalenka won but Ito and Diallo predictably lost 2-0. Really need to start recognizing when a less experienced player is obviously starting to run out of steam. Did the same mistake with Holmgren at Wimbledon. But the Diallo bet was worth it for these odds. He should have won the second set. Had a set point on serve in the tiebreak but had to choke it of course.

>>150198046
Picks for today:

Rublev to beat Popyrin @1.5

Brooksby to win a set against Khachanov @1.6

Bautista-Agut to win a set against Shelton @2.3

Linette to win a set against Pegula @2.4

cant lose

13 wins 3 losses today. losses came near the end but i managed to recover with my last.

>>150198461
Give them nothing, but take from them EVERYTHING

>>150198078
grim. i wonder if people start out by losing a lot then improve slightly or the opposite

They introduced the "big stakes" category on superbet and one dude went several thousand euros on FC Bacau : double chance, handis, and to score 1 goal , against Poli Iasi, who relegated this year and seemed to have changed most of their squad. But Bacau however just promoted from the 3rd division.
Game is played in second division, starting in 25 mins

mariners moneyline @ 1.64

mariners have had 72 ABs against kremer before and have a .292 average, 7 HR, 15 RBIs
orioles have had 61 ABs against kirby before and have a .262 average, 3 HR, 4RBIs

george kirby is in good form, having pitched at least 6 innings in his past 4 starts, picking up the win and the quality start in the last 3. kremer has given up 6+ hits in each of his last 3 starts, giving up more earned runs in his last outing than kirby has in his last 3. although kremer got the no decision in 3 of the games, the orioles have lost the last 4 games that kremer started.

now baltimore does play in a pitcher friendly park, so there is a bit of risk betting against them at home, a small bet, not going all in on this.

brewers vs pirates - a run in the first inning - no @ 1.45

usually when its this low combined with a low over/under, its a very high chance. both teams aces on the mound, who both have over 1 strikeout/IP and a whip below 1.00. this game looks to be a pitchers duel between two of the leagues best.

>>150204455
these two pitchers did face each other earlier in the season, and it was a fairly close game at the start, but the game was in pitsburgh instead of milwaukee.

peralta 4.1 IP, 5H, 2R, 1ER, 3BB, 3K, 1HR
skenes 6.0 IP, 4H, 1R, 1ER, 2 BB, 8K, 0HR

no run was scored in the first inning, but after the starting pitchers were taken out of the game, both bullpens gave up 8 runs.

Baseball fucking sucks jfc

kinda feel like keys 2.20 should beat current rybakina

>>150206348
I agree. Probably my main bet for tomorrow but haven't fully decided on anything yet.

>>150206753
my bookies bet tracker has like 80% of bets on keys including a $500 one so i'm just gonna take it

always the solo ride that fucks up my no run in an inning bet. even gayer way to lose than a pitcher giving up a few hits and scoring a run to a few base hits.

I only bet instore at the counter in person now after the bullshit betting sites have put me through. Anyone else?

>>150207089
elaborate

>>150204292
wasn't easy but came through

>>150197035
Top

>>150206017
>betting on a sport where there's more RNG than skill
lol lmao

>>150207257
On?

>>150207257
I'm trans and they are all anti trans

>>150207437
the bullpoop bookies have put you through

Underdogs saved me last week. Too bad Cerqueira couldn't get the KO +800, had Walker in bad shape round 3.

Saturday's card is SICK and I'm really looking forward to it. Even the fights I don't want to bet.

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev Saturday 8/16

>Battle -175 vs Ruziboev
Battle is a legit top 15 fighter IMO. He's a bit small for 185 but struggled so much to make 170 it's a good move up. Ruziboev is very tall but has a shorter reach. I don't see Ruziboev handling Battle's pressure well. He starts fast then gets held against the cage and loses a decision.

>Hernandez +240 vs Hooper
I don't believe in Hooper. People talking about him like he's a world beater. His UFC wins are against cans and formerly good, currently old fighters. Hernandez is faster, twitchier, and has a much better stand up game than Chase. Alex is fucked if he gets taken down in the 3rd, but I think he gets Chase out of there in the first 2 rounds.

>Klose +125 vs Barboza
Old man fight. Both guys have durability questions. Klose knows he can't stand and trade with Barboza, I expect him to close distance and clinch/cage hug his way to a boring W. Barboza has always struggled with pressure, he can't fight off his back foot and he gets stuck against the cage too much. Also taking over 2.5 rounds -166.

>Green vs Ferreira over 1.5 rounds -215
Old man fight, take the overs. Also taking fight goes the distance whenever the line comes out, should be around +150

>Andrade +115 vs Godinez
Loopy has awful fight IQ. She makes terrible decisions like choosing to stand and trade when she has a massive wrestling advantage. Andrade hits harder than anyone Loopy has faced. I like Andrade to do damage and win by KO/DEC. Loopy has several losses as a favorite in UFC. Add another.

1/2

>>150207461
If you win too much they will close your account or find reasons to demand all kinds of id and proof which is a pain in the arse to provide. There's many cases of this happening. I've read about it happening to other anons in the threads.

>>150207576
you have to verify your identity here before you can bet but it's all automatic and i had no problems

>>150207486

>MVP -195 vs Cannonier
If I priced this line I'd have MVP -300. This is a horrible matchup for Qanonnier. Rewatch Cannonier's title fight vs Izzy and try to justify betting him. Perfect matchup for MVP, uses his length and speed advantage to a frustrating 30-27 win

>Murphy +145 vs Pico
Feels like a bear trap. I'll still step in it. Undefeated UFC contender who has beaten legit opponents vs a career Bellator can crusher whose best win is someone you've never heard of. Pico has skills, someday he could be a great UFC fighter but this is too much too soon for a guy who has never faced a good opponent. Murphy avoids damage and wins 30-27 or finds a counter shot to put Pico away. Pico has been a bit chinny at 145.

>Chimaev vs Du Plessis FDNGD -360
Worth its own bet. I'm putting as much on this as the rest of the card combined. -360 is a 78% probability, this is a 90% finish IMO. I'm making a hedge with over 1.5 rounds -182, possible middle.

>Chimaev ITD -137
ML is -250. I don't see enough equity in a decision to justify paying the extra price. Khamzat wins inside 2 rounds or he gets finished in the 3rd/4th.

Will keep an eye on props as the week progresses and prob post a few more bets.

>>150207576
>>150207610
I've been limited in certain sports/smaller leagues. I wasn't even betting a lot. Shit is annoying. Only once at a retail sportsbook did they have to call the traders to get approval for a $500 bet on some obscure shit

i'm banned from bet365 which is supposed to end on october 1st but i read once they ban you they don't care and generally won't give your account back after your time is served

>>150207610
A few years back bet365 locked my account and either wanted to see my ID and credit card in person, in the uk, or to be sent a letter from my bank which they straight out wouldn't do for me. I was up I think 30 or 40% on my original stake when they did that.

They can pull this shit on you at any time.

I've had another account on unibet get locked for even getting up 50% on my original stake.

You never hear about this shit happening to someone who's losing and shoveling cash in regularly to top up. I was grinding my bankroll and they hate that shit. They want you doing longshot parlay dumbfuck shit.

>>150207731
Were you up when they did it?

>>150207911
i was down $30 which is what perplexes me. i don't think i was ever profitable on 365, i only had my account for like a month.

>>150207946
I've read stories from other anons of them being even more dickish and arbitrary with rules when you want to get paid out too. I'm pretty sure it's part of the business model at this point.

2 relatively big bets today pushing me over $400

they both came 1st but let's not be risky

Horse betting is madness, I don't know how you do it

>>150208660
i've only been doing horses for 6 months but watching races and looking at forms everyday and so on is starting to get me into a good rhythm of what to bet on and what to avoid. greyhounds are chaotic as fuck but i've also been having a decent run at those.

>>150208728
I've tried to track form but never got anything more than a show bet to hit. Horses are just weird, some get spooked by wet turf, big crowds, having the wrong horse next to them... I like horses but I would never seriously bet on them again. Going to the track is fun though.

>>150208873
my nearest track is about a 35 min drive away but it's a classy one that has clothing regulations and i don't own a suit or some shit like that

swiatek/sabalenka/keys multi for 2.50

any odds lower than 1.40, you are really playing with fire. its a fake sense of security because with these odds you dont just need the heavy favorite to win, you need them to be in complete control from the immediate start of the game, and for the dog to never even have a foot in the game. its not enough for just the heavy favorite to win, you need them to completely wipe the floor with the underdog. as soon as the underdog is able to just hang around for a bit, the odds start moving heavily against the favorite. if this was tennis for example, 1.12 odds for sabalenka to win, if she doesnt immediately break maneiro, and takes a 2-0 lead right out of the gate, the odds will move heavily against sabalenka, even though shes likely to still win in straight sets. you have to stop yourself from thinking that these coffin odds are an easy way out because in some ways this will be an even more stressful bet than just betting on a slight underdog to pull off an upset.

brewers @ 1.50
this one has regression to the mean written all over it, but im going to keep rolling with the hot hand, and say the brewers make it 11 straight wins.

austin gomber is an absolutely god awful pitcher, but the cardinals bats are hard to trust. they have been shut out by the rockies twice this season. i would consider 2 game parlay of cardinals + brewers, but cardinals bats arent reliable, even against shitty pitching. brewers + cardinals @ 2.18 if you are feeling bold.

>>150209751
BASED

>>150209288
Good post

made it to $458
lost $8
put $50 on something now
if it loses i'll withdraw the remaining 400 and take a break

we continue

>>150210101
What website is it anon?

>>150210242
i use ladbrokes for all my degenerate needs

>Red Sox on Saturday
>Guardians on Sunday
>Giants on Monday
>Rangers on Tuesday

I'm feeling like it'll be the Phillies to break my heart today.

>>150198059
Rublev won a close 2-1 and Linette won the first set against Pegula. Match isn't actually finished yet due to rain delays but that doesn't matter for the bet obviously. But Brooksby was a miserable failure. Been getting burned too much trying to fade Khachanov lately. Underestimated his current form and stamina. I still think he's going to run out of energy but at this point I'm not going to bet against him anymore until potentially the US Open. Still waiting on the Shelton match by the way since that got moved due to the rain. The extra day of rest probably helps Shelton unfortunately.

Not sure how much the rain is going to affect today's schedule but still locking in my picks anyway:

Comesana to win a set against Rublev @2

Keys to beat Rybakina @2.2

Khamzat gets Xposed this weekend
>who has khamzat actually fought
>usman on two weeks notice wins 2 out of 3 rounds but lol 10-8 meme first round
>almost heemed by burns
>sepsis jaw Whittaker who's completely washed and just kwabbed to that shitter rdr

Craiova won 3-0 at home and for tomorrow's return leg Superbet boosted odds on them to qualify from 1.04 to... 2.00 ; users are able to wager from 50 ron to a max stake of 250. I'm able to wager 250. It's good to see i've managed to hold my account on the VIP status

brewers with the big 4th inning and the early payout. cardinals should hold on to this lead. should have trusted gomber would have been trash and made a bigger bet on the parlay.

>>150214751
rockies refuse to go away quietly

San Antonio vs. Manta FC in the Ecuadorian Cup is an obvious fixed match btw. Line moved from -.5 to +1 over night. San Antonio is a bad team a division below Manta FC who barely scores goal but are now big favorites out of nowhere

>>150215896
What is the fix supposed to be?

>>150216210
San Antonio to win

>>150215896
>>150216384
Bet on penalty ? Red card?.
>>150213799
You can easily do arbritage with that

>>150216773
They're up 3 goals. I have 250 to win 500. I could put 50 on trnava to advance @10, but i feel like it's a bad move, i'm losing value, and i should just take the 'risk'

in his pre game press conference earlier today, dodgers manager dave roberts said the game plan was for shohei ohtani to pitch 4 innings today. in his last outing he also pitched 4 innings, looked solid, but they still gave him the hook after 4 innings, didnt even bother giving him a chance in the 5th, even though he only threw 54 pitches. today there is an over under line for ohtani pitcher outs set at 14.5 @ 1.76, so the book seems to believe its somewhat likely he actually pitches 5 full innings, despite dave roberts comments in the pre game press conference. this one might be worth a small bet here to say he doesnt last 5 full innings. this is an important game for the dodgers who are losing ground to the padres, and they dont have the luxury of giving him a longer leash for a rehab if its a tight game.

ohtani under 14.5 pitcher outs @ 2.00

>>150219140
also the dodgers moneyline is a very risky bet to make today. dodgers are 0-5 against the angels this season, and max muncy was taken out of the lineup because of some sort of muscle tightness or something. taking them as 1.48 favorites here is setting yourself up for a hose job.

>>150209176
won/won/lost
time to withdraw and take a break

Does the leaf analyzing have a page to follow for bets?

>>150211104
Shelton of course ended up winning 2-0 despite Bautista-Agut having 8 break points. But he couldn't convert any of them. Really do think the rain did end up helping Shelton. Seemed to have more energy again. Keys fell apart after winning a close first set and Comesana lost in a quick 2-0. Think I started out well with Cincinnati but the past few days have been rough. Only thing I really like for today is Krejcikova to beat Paolini @2.1 and if that doesn't work I think I'll wait until US Open qualification.

>>150224264
One thing I have to mention. Khachanov did of course end up running out of energy as I was talking about but it had to be in a match where I didn't fade him. Retired against Zverev. I need to be more patient with my reads.

du plessis @2.8 is crazy

if shedeur sanders gets the starting job hes rookie of the year theyve set up his narrative perfectly

nanners +200 over the shit raiders

>>150211943
>>150225297
Can you elaborate?

Falcons lions Broncos eagles niners this weekend

>>150224264
Of course Krejcikova isn't in a condition to play but still refuses to retire. Laughable showing. This truly confirms to me that I need to stop with Cincinatti now. Going to focus on the upcoming US Open.

>>150213799
OF COURSE

>>150207486
>>150207626
Going full degen on this card and adding more props. Green-Ferreira fight got canceled.

>Battle vs Ruziboev ends by DEC +120
IMO this is a 60% decision, odds imply 45%.

>Hooper vs Hernandez fight does not start round 3 +105
Kill or be killed approach for Hernandez

>Meerschaert vs Oleksiejzcuk fight goes distance +250
Contrarian play. Everyone expects a GM3 sub or a Olek KO. Each guy has a clear path to a finish, I think Olek avoids takedowns and boxes his way to a decision most likely.

>MVP by KO +350
Cannonier's chin is not what it used to be. MVP finds his chin with a cross or a head kick.

>Khamzat by sub round 1 +330
Best chance of victory

>DDP by sub round 4 +4500
Small play with these astronomical odds. Similar to DDP vs Izzy if it gets to this point Khamzat will have taken damage and be exhausted. He might give up the neck to get out of there.

>Asakura + Prates + Chimaev ML parlay +157
I like all three matchups.

phillies +0 after 5 innings @ 1.55

luzardo pitching quite well recently, 3 straight quality starts, also has a much better record on the road that at home. brad lord for the nationals is more of a reliever who they sometimes give starts to. nationals have the second worst record at home in the major leagues, and have the league worst ops and wrc+ against lefties since the all star break. phillies bats are exactly on fire right now, so im not expecting this one to be an early payout, but the phillies should have an advantage in all aspects of the game here.

>>150207486
>>150207626
Don't know shit about ufc, but seems like everyone in the bookie's chat agrees on michael page and prates to win

intriguing pitching match up between two struggling pitchers at a very hitter friendly ball park.

last 7 games:
rodriguez: 36.1IP, 6.19 ERA, 25ER, 50H, 18BB, 1.87WHIP
blalock: 36.1IP, 7.43 ERA, 30ER, 48H, 12BB, 1.65WHIP

since the all star break the rockies have been batting quite well. in the top 10 of many batting metrics when playing at coors field. combined with blalock who really struggles at coors field, an 11.76 ERA and a 2.18 WHIP in 4 starts (very small sample size) but he is a pitcher who relies on breaking balls and the high altitude is not friendly to these types of pitchers. arizona is batting quite well right now, especially in the month of august. this one could be quite a high scoring game. i dont really like to take the over when its in double digits but it looks like these two pitchers are going to struggle.

diamondbacks vs rockies over 12.5 runs @ 1.71

>Took Kerry Carpenter instead of Riley Greene
>Phillies offense getting worked over by the Nationals
>Mets being the Mets

It never gets better lol

whats the catch? how do they rig it against liverpool?

>>150234502
also hypothetical situation, correct my math if im wrong

i bet $100 on liverpool to win superboosted @ 2.00
i also bet $50 on bournemouth or draw @ 3.50

100 * 2.00 = 200.00 - 100(initial wager) - 50(losing bet) = $50
50 * 3.50 = 175.00 - 50(initial wager) - 100(losing bet) = $25

i literally cant lose with this bet, liverpool wins i win $50, and if they dont win i win $25? this seems like im off.

>>150234611
the maximum bet you can make is $20, but you can still do it. $20 on the superboosted liverpool moneyline and $10 on bournemouth or draw.

liverpool wins you win $10, they dont take all 3 points you win $5. you cant lose. i dont know when they started giving money away.

>>150234502
probably no catch. it's their "a lot of super boosts have lost so let's give them a winner to gain back their confidence" super boost

>>150225967
chimaev is one of the best first round fighters in the sport, but he has struggled with everyone he couldn't finish in 1
his last fight ended in the first only because whittaker had a pre-existing jaw issue which made him tap. the two fights before went to decision because chimaev runs out of ideas when he can't take you down

>>150234502
Maybe hedge at a different bookie. They'd sometimes void the promotion if you guarantee profit.

>>150234502
Likely has very low limits

this is the bet

>>150234502
>>150234689
>>150234741
they literally want players to win superboosts. its a marketing write off and they dont get to write anything off if the house doesnt lose.

Not betting on Cincinnati anymore but Zverev looks like he should be a bigger favourite against Shelton. He usually matches up well against left-handers. Let's see how badly Zverev loses now that I said this.

jacob misirowski over 3.5 strikeouts @ 1.58

this seems a little sus to me, he has struckout at least 4 batters in 6 of his 7 starts this season. now cincinnati over the course of the entire season is 6th in the majors in k% against righties at home, but since the all star break, and in the month of august, they havent been striking out as much, and rank 25th in the league in k%, so he will have his work cut out for him. misirowski was only announced as the starter this morning and is coming back from a leg injury. but this guy has absolutely nasty stuff when he is on and can carve up the best teams in the league. over 100mph fastball and a slider that can touch 100. the brewers have won 12 straight, and are on the cusp of tying a franchise record 13 straight wins today. they have also won something crazy like 28 out of their past 32 games or something like that.

Anyone use Draftkings? They're shit has been fucked up the last couple days and I have no clue how they haven't noticed. Basically if you pick Asian Handicap +1 and the opponent scores then they are allowing you to cash out for basically the same amount you bet. I did it last night on the Bolivar game and just kept cashing out and redoing Asian Handicap +1 until I won.

Just happened again in Yaracuyanos vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela. Bet Yaracuyanos +1 then UCV scores and I cashed out for $5 less than I bet ($325) and just re-did Asian Handicap and now I basically got a free bet.

>>150245798
Abuse it as much as you can before they pattern flag it

>>150245815
Trying. I have $500 on this Venezuela game rn. I notice it with +1 specifically but I need to check others

>>150245655
guy is absolutely dealing right now. i would even consider a live bet of over 4.5 strikeouts @ 1.71. he has struckout at least 5 batters in 6 of his 7 starts this season.

>>150245875
Here is proof btw, Bet $500 in two bets. UCV scores. I cash out and just reapply the bet for Asian handicap +1 then win $400 for free lel. I tried to test it on Union Santa Fe vs. Cordoba on a +.5 Asian handicap but they just covered anyways so I just won

>>150246957
How long have you been doing this? Out of all the Draftkings users you're the only one to notice this?

>>150247013
Hopefully so be quiet. I noticed it last night. I basically just laddered up a +1 Asian handicap. I had +1. Bolivar scores. I cashed out. They score again I cashed out and got a free win.

This is only the second game. I'm testing a couple games rn to see if it happens for different Asian handicaps but both games so far have been +1.

>>150246957
>>150247031
Holy shit its real. Pls be quiet about this. Just happened Again. Detroit City +.5. NCFC scores and I get a cashout worth $295 on a a $300 bet.

>>150247073
That's crazy. Did a recent update screw something up? Sounds like you should throw your whole bankroll on it but hard to know how quick they're to fix this I guess.

>>150247111
I'm trying. I have $1.5k on that Detroit City game rn. Its fucked up though because I put most of my bankroll in my investment app and I can't move money until banks open on Monday. Its the worst timing. Going to see how much I can get out of it tonight on what I have at hand. Exploits don't come up often especially on big sportsbooks. Gonna pull an all nighter if I need to.

>>150247138
Would definitely stay up all night and squeeze as much as possible out of this. Maybe experiment with a few more handicap options as well with smaller stakes too. Don't forget to withdraw most of the money too if you think they have noticed that something is wrong.

>>150245496
Complete domination by Zverev. Shelton had no energy left. Odds were way too close for this kind of matchup. Zverev loves facing left-handers that play right into his backhand. Of course I was too stupid to bet on it.

New development. I just cashed out a guaranteed losing bet for decent percentage profit. Wish it wasn't just a test bet

>>150247649
Are these games you wanted to bet on anyway or is it just random stuff you see live?

>>150247747
Originally it was shit I wanted to bet on but I'm just testing some stuff out and hitting every soccer Asian Handicap. Detroit City just scored so I just made $1k from a single game off this glitch unless something crazy happens

Lel another one of the expirements scored. Notice the cash out went down. Its inverted but stuck around a certain amount. I'm now up $4k from the glitch tonight unless Washington scores 2 goals

>>150248159
If Washington Spirit scored another goal now you would get like 786 as a cashout, right?

>>150248193
Probably. It seems to be stuck around what I bet but its also inverted. If Washington scores the cashout goes up a little.

They definitely nerfed it. Any new bet above anything besides a couple dollars has no cash out. Well that was fun. I have a bunch of money out now on random ass bets but I'm sure some of them will still hit

>>150248386
Its definitely not fixed if you can get a cash out. $1.2k and then we score and its down to $900

>>150248426
nta but make sure you withdraw everything and lookup the clawback policy before making signifigant deposit

>>150248524
I'm about to in like 5 mins once the next couple games end

Just got a cashout it might not be over. Still took out come money just in case

>Chiefs to cover instead of taking the over

Big yikes of the day

Based rob the jews blind

This is the one they gave me a cashout for. Best case scenario I win $500 because they just win worst case scenario I finally figure out if its patched

I’m just feeling upsets this UFC I guess…
I really like Elliot because he’s a red neck versus a gook, actually knows about dirty fighting and takedowns.
Cannonier just punchers chance to an upset
Neal has more big fight experience
Murphy has gaudy fight stats and undefeated record somehow an underdog
DuPlessis I think is the goated fighter ever, nobody else has ever been this much of a contract killer I cannot put money on a wrestlefucking Arab ever I will risk the dog on general principles.

>>150249027
I've found that the best strat in UFC is think like a normal person then fade it.

Yeah they stopped giving cashouts. Thanks Draftkings for paying for my entire 2 week vacation to Japan and Taiwan in October and more

>>150249658
How much did you make?

>>150245496
Wish i saw this in time

Its still working on some games btw. I one upped this australian game. These fellas need 5 goals to cover now lol.

>>150250515
>>150250762
At $6k rn. I've been betting some basketball shit to try to trick the algorithm and been hitting desu. Had one miss but simply winning.

Just put $1.1k on Moreland City with zero research. The cashout looks actually competent so I might be fucked. Pray 4 me

>>150251226
I still got the glitch btw. South Hobart just scored and the cashout dropped $70 on a $900 bet.

I present to you me cashing out a $1k+ bet for a $12 profit after the opponents scored lol.

Just won $800 on a riskless bet lol

I now have a $1.5k profit bet where I can cash out immeditately if it goes wrong lmao. The line is retarded anyways though. Its requires Hobart to score 8 goals to cover lmao.

>>150251501
This is my other bet btw. We have like $3k profits worth of riskless bets lmao

>>150251508
Don't count your chickens until you can withdraw. Aaaand maybe you shouldn't have posted here until it's over

>>150251226
>>150251630
I wouldn't but here's me betting on Moreland 3 scores ago and notice I'm still in the money., The site is fucked. I'm also about to win $5k+ but I won't post it until the game is over

>>150251630
>>150251654
ACTUALLY. This is the most aggregious glitch left. I just withdrew $1k on a bet that was a gauruntee'd push.

Currently I have over 10 thousand dollars worthr of riskless bets on Australian soccer games. It takes an incredibly intentive data scientist in the north american time zone to stopme.

>>150251679
Biggest heist seen in these threads

>>150251728
Its actually really retarded that on a major American sportsbook I am doing such activities

>>150251701
>>Boss you gotta take a look at this

>>150251728
I'm also probably going to make $5k on this one game lmao

>>150251793
Seriously thou, how do you maximize the gains but still flying under the radar? I'm worried they might cancel your wins and call it an error or some shit

>>150251793
Erm just discovered another game I forgot about. I hope they do this for me lol.

>>150251819
I discovered it yesterday, I'm going full maximalist tonight and will pull as much money as possible tonight. I banked $3k already. Draftkings is a full American operation so best case scenario they don't log on unti Monday

>>150251819
Notice Dandegong scored 2 quick goals and I got a free cash out lmao. I actually made profit. Hoping to rape this site tomorrow

>>150251866
Cashed out for $5k and made this $2.5k riskless bet lmao. I wanted to go to NYC tomorrow but unfortunately I need to stay up all night and milk this shit.

>>150251836
>>150251866
Don't plan any sleep. And hey, hope you brought some lube :)

>>150251887
I will not. Discovering an exploit on a demonic American sportsbook should be a national holiday

it doesnt work on 365. i tried the +0.5 live asian handicap on casuarina fc, and then darwin hearts scored shortly after but the bet was a loss.

looks like good odds for man city tomorrow. haaland feasts on them. 2 hat tricks and 8 goals in 5 games against them. doubt pep is washed. city @ 1.53, maybe even city -1 @ 1.85

>>150252178
by them i mean wolverhampton

Please let us know if you get to keep this money or if they come after you.

Too bad my country doesnt have draft kangz
Only bet666 and the like

Your gonna go to jail anon

>>150253466
Why? Using a glitch on a bet site its not a crime
The worst they can do its give back his original stake and ban his account

>>150252806
I pulled out $8k usd so far and as of 7:39 am est I'm not banned.i ended up getting drunk and falling asleep so that is the best case scenario. Idk if the glitch is still active but I won a lot of my bets. I'll resume in like a 2 hours once I fix my hangover. I should probably resume but my head hurts

>>150253565
>why?
Because I'm reporting the glitch to customer service. I'll be rewarded. Sorry anon. It's not personal.

>>150253882
>I'll be rewarded
yea theyll thank you for being a good goyim

>>150253880
>i ended up getting drunk and falling asleep
You fucking retard
>>150253882
Kek
>I'll be rewarded
Lol

>>150253882
They will you give you free spin in the roulette!

daphnee mpetshi perricard 10.00

>>150253882
Hope that this is a joke and nobody here is actually this pathetic.

>>150254152
Is Masarova injured or something?

>>150254547
just going with me gut. 99.97% a loss.

>>150253880
There's another thing that can go wrong. You put your entire bankroll on one game, the other team scores, but this time the glitch doesn't work

>>150254635
Yeah towards the end they weren't offering cash outs on some games so I already know to be careful

>>150255298
>In order to adjust any inaccuracy in the Authorized Account Holder's balance following amounts credited due to an Error, DraftKings reserves the right to take any necessary action, without prior notice and within reasonable limits, to adjust the Authorized Account Holder's balance through the reversal, amendment or cancellation, of any subsequent transaction on the Authorized Account Holder's account.
hopefully they would notify you and not just steal your deposits until they get it all back

how do books that dont offer unders balance their prop markets?

Going for Krunic to beat Wang @3.2 in Cleveland and Siskova to beat Jeanjean @3 in Monterry.

Just made another $400 on a cash out. Where I bet +2 and my team was down 3 goals lel. Bet $700 and they let me cash out $1.1k. Turns out on long odds you can just make money when your team loses or wins.

>>150256294
is it draftkings???

>>150255536
Even then I'd just switch books. They can't make unauthorized withdrawals from my bank. Im trying to not get too greedy and pull some money. Im up like $12k now. This is wild. They are US based so I'm hoping they have a small crew over the weekend

>>150256294
>>150256354
That's insane. Hope for you this stays the whole weekend. Maybe throw in some unrelated bullshit bets too but not sure how much that would really do in this situation.

>>150256463
>throw in some unrelated bullshit bets too
Yy that's smart. Bunch of 8-leg accas

>>150256463
>>150256513
Already have been betting along with these like my normal way. I kind of fucked up and bet on some Uzbekistan game 3 times without realizing and they sent the bet for review but I think that's all automated.

I also lost $1.2k on a last minute rb liepzig goal so that helps my case

>>150253880
>>150256294
lol based cyberpunk bettor.

It's King's Plate day. I'm putting my money on #1 Mansetti.

put a live bet on cottbus/hannover for O5 1H corners. 1H finished with exactly 5 corners but they did not push the bet, they recorded it as a loss. does this seem right to anyone else? my bets always push when you land on the whole number.

Dillon Gabriel going to just drag his nuts on the Eagles D for all 4 quarters I guess. Cool.

>>150234502
cuck365 is a cheating faggot company thankful that they banned because i tore them a new asshole just wish i could rob more of them and abuse their employees

nice barca + city parlay already paid out before half time

I love Miss Demanding.

HARRY SCORE SAM GOLS

Anybody looked at Mallorca vs Barcelona?

Mallorca are down to 9 and the odds of Barcelona to win this half (no goals yet) is 3/10 with 25 mins to play. Weird.

I love Corsia Veloce.

>>150260580
i have a small bet on barca -4.25 but i reckon is rigged the other way around since they varred one goal and barca aren't scoring vs a team with 2 reds game is obviously rigged

>>150260638
Yeah it's weird how the score is so low. I can't watch it so not sure if they're just playing tiki-taka to kill time.

>>150260670
Shameless bums known for nothing but rigging riggatoni games nothing surprising honestly at least i won my big bet for them to score first

>>150258029
This doesn't sound like it makes sense. Are you absolutely certain you went with over 5 and not over 5.5 instead?

This Barcelona game is insane. They've had a two man advantage for 50 mins and not scored.

>>150260915
they didnt even take a shot on target in the second half for a good 30 minutes. i cant watch the game and i cant be bothered to find a stream, im assuming they were just pointlessly passing it around. i bet on barca to have more shots on target and the shots on target were only 2-1 for barca until the 75th minute.

fuck newcastle and aston villa. I hope their player buses catch on fire and no one makes it out alive

last minute goal for barcelona

>>150261151
The Red Bull Salzburg game was horrible, RB were lucky to get anything.

>>150258029
over 5 means more than 5 in soccer unless it specificially states otherwise.
dont bet soccer

tennisbros, alcaraz at 1.53 - why?

oh fuck off benfica cant even get a fucking single shot on target against these shitters

>>150261151
I know that feel
https://youtu.be/j0lSpNtjPM8?si=PDBaD7OXj0uRNWlM

>>150261932
Zverev has a good h2h record with him and Alcaraz has often struggled on faster hard courts in the recent past. He's good at making Alcaraz try too hard to end the point thus getting points from unforced errors. That being said Zverev has also been really shaky most of the year and I wouldn't read too much into him winning against a gassed Khachanov and Shelton.

sinner vs whoever in the final is a lock, i just hope the odds are not too low

>>150262282
Zverev to win a set is a good bet though

>>150262534
He would be a 1.4 favourite against Alcaraz and a roughly 1.2 favourite against Zverev I'd say.

>>150257752
By God, he actually did it. I love Mansetti.

>>150263472
even 1.2 would be tempting

brewers to set a franchise record 14th straight win today @ 1.80

since the all star game, the brewers lead the majors in all three slash line stats .305/.368/.499. their 173 runs in their past 25 games is 19 more runs than the next closest team, and is almost an average of 7 runs per game. doesnt matter what pitcher they are facing or what situation they are in, they find a way to win. they roughed up some of the best pitchers in the league and came back from a 7 run deficit during this run. reds are fairly middle of the pack in most stats, but in the month of august are 2nd lowest slugging and 3rd lowest wrc, bottom 5 in extra base hits and homers. they are going to have to somehow out hit a team that is absolutely on fire because they arent really going deep.

>>150257190
Here's how things are going by the way. I have like 10 of these $2.5k+ bets out right now. I'll probably be in six figures tonight. I'm just going to run it up.

I genuinely don't think they have recourse to take money thats already in my bank account. Going to up the bets to $5k each if I get 2 or more 3 days I'll be a millionaire lmao. Worse case scenario I guess I get a lawyer

>>150265042
Whoops wrong bet. Those were much humbler times.

Live betting tennis cashout strategy is like daytrading.

Live bet the miners at +750

Niners were free money

>>150265064
Don't think it matters but you didn't properly hide the ID at the bottom.

>>150265950
It doesn't at all. I have no clue why I hid it lol.

>that clear robbery in the ufc for silva
Thats why i stopped betting

sinner tomorrow is free money

>>150267648
monday for those in a different time zone

>>150265042
they will take it to court if its enough to pay for the lawyers

My King's Plate winnings were so great I'm afraid to bet again.

holy fuck thank god for saving my brewers bet today must be my lucky day lmao

>>150268237
There's nothing to pursue. I read TOS. I'm not engaging in any deliberate rigging. I am being offered a cash out and I'm using it.

>>150254088
5 free spins.

>>150262534
>>150263472
1.40 against Alcaraz? Wth

>>150249027
Oh well considering I got odds and bet equally I made money on these picks, I was proud of that Elliott call won by exactly takedowns too not decision. I think Cannonier got mad robbed. Murphy I am happy that I saw that. Since I only went 50% and it went right, wrong, right, wrong, I should quit while I am ahead and pull out Duplessis but damn man he is one of my favorite fighters dude. shit

>>150249086
desu I did do that with the Murphy play like he is still undefeated and has better stats this man is still the BAMF.

>>150265064
Man what the fuck I see this sick glitch from anon but all my money is into other places...:(

>>150277522
worst fight ive ever seen lol. the moment someone can stop khamzats takedown hes done though, dricus hit him one time in the 5th and he crumpled. i want pissed off paulo to heem him or fluffy

kashiwa reysol @ 1.85

>>150277522
Stupid faggot, you know it was a good bet.

>>150272086
Seeing @1.55 for Sinner right now. Guess @1.4 was an exaggeration. But if Alcaraz had struggled more with Zverev I could see the odds being a little lower.

>>150255842
Two miserable losses. This is the second time now Krunic has a lead in the first set before collapsing and giving up in the second set. Great stuff.

Have to go for more guaranteed losses today before the USO qualification matches start:

Kartal to win the first set against Sierra @1.5

Zakharova to beat Birrell @2.3

>>150280447
You betting?

>>150281434
No, I stopped betting on anything in Cincinnati after the past few days. Didn't even go for Zverev against Shelton even though I was certain he would win. I think Sinner wins here but the odds aren't tempting enough.

bet $20 on united v arsenal btts - yes superboost @ 2.75
bet $20 on united v arsenal btts - no @ 2.20

both teams score = you win $15
both teams dont score = you win $4

>>150283845
thats some superboost.
my bookie offers btts @1.65

Cunha shot on target at 50-60 mins odds at @9
Cunha already has 3 sot

>>150283845
Have you ever done this before?
Think your bet will be voided

took overs in manu v arsenal 3+ 4+ 5+ 6+ pyramidal, and i foresee the same for the rapid fcsb derby

>>150279419
Shut the fuck up

god damn both these teams

i've hit two 4+ games on european games this week and now i see overs everywhere

HOWEVER

River Plate @1.63 v Godoy Cruz
At home always taking them

Internacional v Flamengo @1.85
Significant rotation for the hosts, meanwhile flamengo with all the starters. Would've been away win regardless imo

>>150291433
River rotation, still letting it run

Porto is good this year, looks rejuvenated. 1.55 at gil vicente, score prediction: an old school 0-2 . For tomorrow's bet ;)

>>150291516
Is a good bet, because godoy cruz also had a mid-week match in brasil. So either they are tired, or gonna rotate like river.

>>150291670
Yep. And flamengo, you taking it?

>>150291777
no, I expect a close match, low on goals. They are having 3 matches against each other in 2 weeks.

that was fast 1goal for river

Wonder what happened with glitchanon. He's been quiet for some time

>>150291959
Bro...
(jk)
Btw i got high the other day and tried to hit the jackpot with arrascaeta to score 2 goals @10. He had 2 shots, hasn't scored any

>>150292157
But i'm clean now, i'm good, ok?

>>150291993
This is celebration theme for river win
https://youtu.be/ztPrhxGUUjY?si=CIeGbJ7L9zFuF4tY

>>150211943
>>150235512
>>150225297
lol

They taught us in bet school. Customize your bettor profile. For example i got this one for goal scored
https://youtu.be/4ZcAldLITWA?si=jJZgPsOCMWO6CGrT

this U23 canada vs texas longhorns under 23 female basketball is stressing. i know that texas gonna win but by how much

If river doesn't win i'm planning to recover by x1.10 on the aviator

>>150281352
Can't believe I managed to share 2 winners. Zakharova won 2-1. Made a comeback after throwing the first set. Kartal won the first set 6-4 but then started struggling and lost 2-1. This kind of shit is exactly why I went with the first set instead of the ML with Kartal. Crazy how many times she completely drops her level after the first set.

Going with one more thing for tonight: Svrcina to beat Tirante @2.2 in the Cancun Challenger.

Also eyeing a whole bunch of stuff for tomorrow but I'll post later once I have properly looked into everything.

Felt like crap i woke up the family's butler at 6am on a sunday and said we're rooting against the arab scum, and then for 30 minutes we watched him maul dricus du plessis. He did like the black guy's spinning elbow from the fight before.

>>150128603
The chiefs will be 3rd or even 4th in the division this year. Broncos are headed to the super bowl.

Chiefs will not even make the playoffs. Screen cap this

>>150292435
just need river not to concede a goal 2H

>>150292710
The chiefs week 1 game will tell if this is true. I think the same but then chargers lt got knocked for the season

Btw fun story with the butler. I was trying to bet league of legends and he asked "what are you watching, cartoons?" and i told him i never played the game but i'm trying to listen what the casters are saying so i know who has a better draft. And couple hours later i told him i did win my bet on the cartoons, but that i lost it an hour later on something else. Which was a lie, but he was happy cause people want to hear you lose

>>150292157
I was so wrong.

>>150292710
>faith in MUHFUGEN BIX NOOD
lol lmao

>>150285604
in both super boosted games ive seen that created an arbitrage betting opportunity for the same game they didnt void the bet or anything, they paid out the winning bet that covered the loss, and they just gave me free money.

another thing that ive noticed, and this is very situational and requires you to somewhat understand baseball, i dont think the books have spotters at korean baseball games. i have seen three games in the past like 2 months where:
there are two outs
theres at least 1 guy on base
the batter gets a base hit to drive home at least one run
but then there's some sort of baserunning problem and the fielding team gets the third out on the base paths
the books just immediately locks the lines between innings in asian baseball games
but when the game resumes after the commercial break, the book and the line hasnt adjusted to the extra run.
you can usually even see the discrepancy between the streams scoreboard and what the book thinks the score is
i made this bet after the guy scored and the batting team was now fielding and two of the other teams batters were out before they fixed the scoreline. you could see it was 4-0 in the streams scoreboard but the book only thought it was 3-0.

>>150294872
you shouldnt hedge on the same book. sign up for all the books to max promos and get best odds

Svrcina is about to deliver one of the worst chokes I have seen in years. Wins the first set 6-4 and is up 4-0 in the second one. Looks like an easy 2-0. Suddenly he starts losing every fucking game as if he forgot how to play. Let's Tirante win 5 games in a row. Probably on the verge of losing the set and then the match afterwards too. Tirante had live odds higher than @20 when it was 4-0. Can't make this shit up.

>>150292099
Im still here i had a trip to a different state and couldn't gamble. Pulled out six figures already no sign from the book.

Also looked into it and because they're cashouts they arent actually incorrectly settled bets. They were offered to me and I took them so the book cant even void them. They're only option would be to file something called an "obvious error" report with the gaming commission which let's them zero out bets and void them but they have no right to money transferred and since they paid out id just get negative balance on the site. Legitimate dream scenario until I have to figure out taxes. Not to mention it's technically illegal for sportsbook to "loan money" so I'm legally entitled to any win off the money I've accumulated

>>150296340
Yes if you withdrew your gains its gg
Bookies cant do shit after that only seethe and limit your account

>>150296198
Loses the second set 7-5. A throw so bad it makes you think there's fixing involved but knowing Svrcina it's just otherworldly choking. If he does lose this third set as well to lose the match he's getting perma blacklisted. Don't usually bother much with blacklisting anymore but this performance deserves it.

>>150296428
Im expecting a ban tomorrow even just based on my winnings. They might not even look too much into the other stuff. I lost like $20k on wnba today so hopefully that buys me time. It actually seems like they just leave the entire thing unmonitored on the weekend.

>>150296505
The exploit still works? 6 figures is insane. Congrats on one of the best bookie robberies. Usually when I hear about these glitches and exploits it's small time stuff that gets fixed really quickly or only really works for one specific match.

>>150296543
Somehow no. Im thinking it just shows up normal on their end. I think it helps a lot of times im still losing money on the cash outs. Only limiting factor is American books have such a shitty selection of soccer games.

>>150292513
While this third set is playing out here are my next picks:

Harris to beat Trotter @2.3

Tararudee to beat Marino @2.25

Fett to beat Garland @2.3

Kovacevic to beat Misolic @1.7 in Winston-Salem

Zhu to beat Jacquemot @1.65 in Cleveland

Tuesday looks a bit more interesting for the US Open qualification matches but I'll see how these ones go first before deciding on anything.

>>150296592
But showing up normal on their end means they haven't actually fixed it yet?

>>150296340
stop fucking talking

>>150296478
Thankfully Svcrina did not also choke away the third set. Ended up winning 6-4. Was a double break to make it 3-0. Gave back to breaks over the next few games to make it 4-4 just to break again and finally serve it out to end it. Truly abysmal showing from both sides and one of the worst almost-chokes I've seen in a long while. Guess this was the right bet after all. Was wondering why Tirante is this much of a favourite on hard court. Surely Svrcina will also be relieved to know that on top of winning the final he also narrowly escaped being blacklisted.

korneeva 2.00

>>150296340
they can put you on a list that bans you from all books.
they can also sue you to get the money back, if its worth the legal fees and bad press

>>150296340
https://youtu.be/HHtMjmT0DsI?si=Uap4-MrtNlt_vDZn
Your story is similar to this

Florida under 7.5 @ -115
Auburn under 7.5 @ +150
Oklahoma under 6.5 @ +180
Missouri over 7.5 @ +120 (free money)
South Carolina over 7.5 @ +140 (even freer money)
Tennessee under 8.5 @ -145 (lmfao)
Texas over 9.5 @ -180 (wins week 1)
Alabama over 9.5 @ -120
Kentucky under 4.5 @ -110
LSU under 8.5 @ +125
Ole Miss under 8.5 @ -110 (kek no qb)
Texas AtM over 8.5 @ +150
Georgia over 9.5 @ -180

Are we feeling Leeds v Everton over 3 goals @4.00

>>150301570
>>150301570
>>150301570