>>17959042
>shitty at campaigning
>watergate
>staglfation
>ass at elections
>exploting weaknesses
You watch too much tv and play video games and thinks thats how politics works
>"But these people on TV who talk about politics for a living said...."
This has been studied extensively going back before WWII
Social scientists know what determines the result of Presidential elections and it is two things, war and the economy
If were not in a big war it is literally one fucking thing, the economy, specifically during the middle of the election year
Economy good = incumbent party wins
Economy middling = this scenario is dangerous for the incumbent but its not a death sentence
Economy bad = incumbent party is gone
>>17954892
This anon came in here and nuked this thread from orbit
All of this shit you said that I quoted is fucking Meet the Press brain bullshit
Reporters arent political scientists, they overstate this nonsense because this bullshit drama is all they have to go on
It was a running joke in 1990 on SNL that no one wanted to run against GHWB because of, among other things, the success of the US military in the PG, then the economy went into the toilet and he lost to Bill Clinton and a third party candidate ran, fucking dropped out of the race and still got like 19 million votes on election day
Its insane how not complicated this is after reviewing the academic literature on the subject
Economy was in freefall in 1932, incumbent Republican gets wiped out
Economy was in freefall in 08, incumbent Republican gets wiped out
Economy was surging in 1984, incumbent Republican wins handily
Economy was doing well and the American people perceived President to be handling the war well in 1944, incumbent Democrat wins
And so on and so forth