>>64480256
You keep pushing this narrative. I don't understand your logic.
>well they're disappearing from the stockpile and their alleged refurbishment rate exceeds their appearance at the front
We'll start with the obvious, ALLEGED refurbishment rate. Russia has so far lied about every single production rate they've talked about. Secondly, they're taking increasingly decrepit, poorly stored, cannibalized, and outright stolen from hulks and doing whatever they can to return them to service. This most likely includes turning four or five hulks into one usable tank depending on how trashed they are. Third, we've seen constant video evidence of armor being thrown in piecemeal multiple times a week for months now. If you're building a "strategic reserve" you don't take shit straight from the factory and toss it randomly at a basically frozen front.
And let's, for the sake of argument, assume I'm 100% incorrect. What happens when they send an armored column to Pokrovsk? When the Ukranians release their stock of anti-tank weapons against it? Even assuming they manage to capture Pokrovsk what next? They couldn't make their armored fists work in 2022 when they had complete superiority in every capacity: AFVs, artillery, transport, professional soldiers. They now have everything Ukraine has been holding onto directed at these tanks which represent many months if not years of refurbishment. They now lack the logistics train to supply them. They lack the air forces to cover them. They lack the artillery to support them. Even if they did capture the sixth dimensional hyperfortress Ukraine just falls back to the twin cities behind them and russia spends another couple years trying to grind them down only now they've lost another several hundred to a thousand irreplacable tanks while digging deeper into the rust heap.
There is no reserve that will be used. Russia is scraping the barrel for any form of armor.
