Anonymous
ID: AZ5JyKuU
7/25/2025, 6:40:14 PM No.511335905
From Steven Donziger:
>A few weeks ago, I posted an article on my Substack using peer-reviewed data from a major medical journal to calculate that at least 306,000 people in Gaza have been killed since Israel started attacking the territory in October 2023. I just updated the analysis to this week. The new death count (as of July 21): 434,000 people killed, or 20.7% of Gaza’s entire pre-conflict population. This is the rough equivalent of 70 million people killed in the United States or everybody living in the 28 least populous states.
>To be clear, this is a rough estimate. It is based on extrapolating from a model used by The Lancet, a prestigious British medical journal. (Details are in my new Substack article.) I’ve carefully examined the model and I believe it holds up well. It accounts for both “direct” deaths (at the hands of Israel’s military) and “indirect” deaths (caused by lack of food, water, access to medicines and disease). The official death toll from the Gaza Ministry of Health — which now stands at roughly 60,000 — does not account for indirect deaths which are by far the largest number of deaths occurring. (It also misses many deaths caused by the Israeli military.)
>A few weeks ago, I posted an article on my Substack using peer-reviewed data from a major medical journal to calculate that at least 306,000 people in Gaza have been killed since Israel started attacking the territory in October 2023. I just updated the analysis to this week. The new death count (as of July 21): 434,000 people killed, or 20.7% of Gaza’s entire pre-conflict population. This is the rough equivalent of 70 million people killed in the United States or everybody living in the 28 least populous states.
>To be clear, this is a rough estimate. It is based on extrapolating from a model used by The Lancet, a prestigious British medical journal. (Details are in my new Substack article.) I’ve carefully examined the model and I believe it holds up well. It accounts for both “direct” deaths (at the hands of Israel’s military) and “indirect” deaths (caused by lack of food, water, access to medicines and disease). The official death toll from the Gaza Ministry of Health — which now stands at roughly 60,000 — does not account for indirect deaths which are by far the largest number of deaths occurring. (It also misses many deaths caused by the Israeli military.)
Replies:
