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7/13/2025, 3:10:16 PM
7/12/2025, 8:49:58 AM
>>530911489
Satan -> D.Shift, your outs are Astaroth and Silent Rider. The D.Shift would make the deck have 14 cards in it. You then draw 5.
In total out of a 14 card deck that you draw 5 from, the odds of you not drawing Astaroth or Storm is 23.07%, giving you a 76.93% chance to win outright which is higher than his current winrate, making it the right play.
That being said, he also has a draw card, there's an 87.41% chance he draws an out or the draw card, a delta of 10.48% from winning outright. Now there's only a 41.67% chance he gets the Storm from the draw two, so that means the actual boost is only +4.37% for a grand total of 81.3% chance to win.
I'm not even factoring in the double Purgatory draw, or getting Sagelight on the redraw, sacc'ing the kuon to avoid splash and dodging Cereberus lethal.
Sword main btw
Satan -> D.Shift, your outs are Astaroth and Silent Rider. The D.Shift would make the deck have 14 cards in it. You then draw 5.
In total out of a 14 card deck that you draw 5 from, the odds of you not drawing Astaroth or Storm is 23.07%, giving you a 76.93% chance to win outright which is higher than his current winrate, making it the right play.
That being said, he also has a draw card, there's an 87.41% chance he draws an out or the draw card, a delta of 10.48% from winning outright. Now there's only a 41.67% chance he gets the Storm from the draw two, so that means the actual boost is only +4.37% for a grand total of 81.3% chance to win.
I'm not even factoring in the double Purgatory draw, or getting Sagelight on the redraw, sacc'ing the kuon to avoid splash and dodging Cereberus lethal.
Sword main btw
7/11/2025, 11:12:17 PM
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