Long story short:
>2024 European Parliament election
>"far-right" wins by a landslide with 31%, more than double of Macron's party's score
>Macron decides to dissolve the parliament (metaphorically, sadly)
>new elections in july 2024 is a clusterfuc: far-right had by far the most votes but Macron and the islamo-leftists formed many alliances to prevent them from gaining the majority of the seats (those elections are in two rounds)
>so now it's roughly 1/3rd of the seats for Macron, 1/3rd for the far-right, 1/3rd for pure islamo-leftist coalition
>it's pretty damn near impossible to form a government because of that because the parliament can very easily vote it out
There are only three possible outcomes:
1) Macron dissolves the parliament again
2) Macron resigns (he won't)
3) two more years of being deadlocked until the next presidential election