>>213039748The Best Actress race was between Madison and Demi Moore. The media wanted Demi Moore because they recycle their "le comeback story" narrative constantly, and she was a big star 30 years ago, and Madison has no social media whatsoever which is anemic to media types.
The Emilia Perez tranny was never remotely in the running for Best Actress. Even before the scandal around the various tweets, the awards season had been dominated by Madison and Moore with a little bit of Fernanda Torres in some circles.
The movie itself was also never a serious contender for the Oscars' Best Picture, it was down to The Brutalist as the premiere Oscar bait, A Complete Unknown for the generic winner and Anora for the dark horse.