Thread 106473795

Bill Gates, the cofounder of Microsoft and a leading voice on technology, has made a fascinating claim: programming will continue to be a 100% human profession, even a century from now.
https://www.leravi.org/bill-gates-reveals-the-one-job-ai-will-never-replace-even-in-100-years-10272/

It will be programming in cybersecurity branch*

>>106473795 (OP)
>programming
I thought for sure he would say "being a mom"

windows is such a piece of shit bill doesnt even use it in 2025. he uses linux and ios.

he should define programming
AI copy pastes scraped code the same as every other "human"

>>106473795 (OP)
>Old pedophile who owes all his success in life to his mother being friend with the boss of IBM thinks people are interested in hearing his point of view

>>106473974
people still listen to Billy, he's a big guy in tech even though he's not at microsoft anymore.

>>106473874
They're both programming, in a way.

>>106473876
Incorrect, he exclusively uses Haiku.

>>106473795 (OP)
>programming will continue to be a 100% human profession, even a century from now.
this sounds like a fukken challenge
esp i have a couple ideas that could make it a thing

>>106473795 (OP)
No one will ever need more than 640K of RAM.

>>106473983
for you

>>106473795 (OP)
AI will never replace young African children to test your drugs out on

>>106474747
He never said that.

>>106473795 (OP)
Adrenochrome donors

>>106474784
Kek, beat me to it.
>here's the one job that'll never be replaced: african vaccinator

Humans won't even exist in 100 years

>>106474728
Nah actually he uses netbsd on an amiga 4000T, I saw it

>>106474818
they will, same as WoW

>>106473795 (OP)
Epstein Island client

>>106473795 (OP)
our /g/uy

I've been saying the same
Even if AI can write all the code, who is going to write the prompts that make the AI build what's needed?

Software development is 90% figuring out what the requirements really are and 10% writing code.

>2025
>people still associate Bill with Microshaft despite having retired nearly 2 decades ago and completely off any boards for nearly a decade

>>106475118
he has some insider knowledge

>>106473874
Real.

>>106473795 (OP)
saar pls don't drop out of the colleges my friends own

>>106473874
There's no need for women going into the 22nd century. Women are obsolete.

>>106475118
He's still very much active. He doesn't like the hustle and grind of regular management, but he's still into tech.

>>106475118
>people associate the man who founded one of the largest tech companies in the world with said company
wow how crazy

>>106473795 (OP)
Cope. Ai will replace all coders in 2 years.

>>106473874
how about "being a man"
you gynocentric inbred nigger

4chan janny d0x dump
go fuck yourself you disgusting kike nigger sludge
https://files.catbox.moe/r1zn79.7z
death to israel, death to all kike niggers and their golems. there is no future for you.

>>106475406
that has already been replaced

>>106473795 (OP)
OpenAI really did fuck up big time.
>>106475118
He still has partial involvement with the company dummy

>>106475547
nobody cares what you think inbred kike nigger.

>>106473974
>implying he hasn't surpassed the boss of IBM
>implying his mother isn't proud of him

>>106473795 (OP)
troubleshoot AI code to figure why tf it doesn't work

>>106473870
No, it will be social work

humans = a pajeet working for bag of food

>>106473795 (OP)
Using your fucking web browser will not even be a human activity in 5 years.

>>106475700
why not? what should be different than now?

>>106473795 (OP)
>Bill Gates not agitating developers
For once, thank you. This market is not really developer friendly and even if it's not true, I really appreciate the sentiment. Sifting through the constant stream of news about the doom and gloom of coding can make me frustrated especially since it seems to be a specific target of AI.

Do I think it will be 100% human? Yes. People still have trouble connecting to Wifi and Bluetooth even if you spoonfeed them. Gen Z and the Gen Alpha are historically bad at tech to the point where Boomers are teaching them how to install Adobe. I don't think it will change until theres another generational breakthrough in tech literacy like there was with Millennials.

I really wish AI would automate at least some of it, or the most annoying parts of it, where I have to announce, "TURN IT OFF AND TURN IT ON AGAIN" until it works. If AI is so great, why do people still need developers and IT to tell them to turn it off and on again?

Don't get me wrong, I think AI is great. I just think the type of AI that will automate coding is worse than an actual developer. The current systems take a day or 2 where you might rack up a few thousand dollars in fees from it trying and failing over and over again. This easily becomes millions of dollars a year to brute force a AI that is as capable as a professional developer.

When would this not be true? We're currently dealing with exponentials. It took about a year of training after ChatGPT was first released to get to GPT-4. Then 2 years for GPT-5 after that. It might take around 4 years (unless there's some breakthrough) for GPT-6 which would land around 2027 to 2030. Here's the release schedule assuming exponentials for training time,

GPT-7 -----> 2035
GPT-8 -----> 2045
GPT-9 -----> 2065
GPT-10 ----> 2105

That's just the training time, which may not always be the case. However, we would also need exponentially more training data, which we don't currently have exponentially more.

>>106475406
I thought about "being a dad" but unfortunately dads are easy to replace

>>106475359
>>106475573
Wrong. Bill has completely cut ties with Microsoft since 2020 after he left the board which is the last bit of influence he had on them.

>>106475869
I think Bill Gates realizes there's an AI winter coming and it will be around the turn of the century until it thaws. Gates is invested heavily into nuclear forms of energy which he specifically states can help AI. The current state of the research didn't pan out since many forecasts had 2025 as the year when we would solve nuclear power. In fact, we did achieve significant milestones (theoretically greater energy produces than expended) but significant hurdles remain to scale it out. The current geopolitical environment is not one where we would put a nuclear plant in everyones neighborhoods around the world and expect things to go exactly as planned.

Maybe Gates got a new forecast where 2100 would be the year when we solve pertinent energy consumption problems. It would make sense because the climate modeling specify 2100 as a very important year. Maybe the report Gates got lists 2100 as the most likely year where we solve our energy crisis and climate concerns.

It's sad to say, but maybe the AI summer is over. It was fun while it lasted.

>>106475910
no they're not you disgusting piece of shit kike.
dads are irreplaceable. sons need fathers. stupid kike. mothers cant raise children.

>>106475943
>I think Bill Gates realizes there's an AI winter coming and it will be around the turn of the century until it thaws.
i think youre wrong
i think in a decade but before two decades we will have very advanced ais
you know warhammer 40k?
look up what a standard template construct is

bc the foundations have already been laid
4 years ago, kek
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VdG4gUTowXc

>>106473795 (OP)
thats rich coming from a guy who claimed no soul on earth would ever in million years need more than 0.5 kb of memory on their computer

>>106475987
https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/20060024675/downloads/20060024675.pdf

I would say the groundwork was in place even before that.

My assumption is that it's exponential and it will remain exponential. However, I recognize that it can be hard to differentiate between an exponential and linear resources requirement.

If it is truly linear in terms of how much we need to level up AI, then you are right. However, if it's exponential, then our current generation of AI is what we will have to work with until the next AI winter thaws.

In a few years we will know for sure. My assumption is based on the diminishing returns of GPT-5 and I'm extrapolating on that for the future. Maybe OpenAI is pulling a Microsoft Vista with GPT-5 and GPT-6 will be akin to Windows 7. Personally, I wouldn't bet on that.

>>106476143
thing is
an llm is an *interface
its the equivalent of a keyboard
its a very advanced keyboard
with a powerful autocomplete we could say
but thats what it is
an interface

it has been proven that the future lies in heterogenous systems in the ai sense
certain parts ML
certain parts symbolic
and of course an llm as interface

>>106475941
He hasn't cut ties with Microsoft. He's just no longer on the board of directors.

>>106474906
God I miss when he wasn't such a faggot. I dunno who I hate more, jobs or gates.

>>106473974
i don't like him either but he's just stating the obvious

>>106473795 (OP)
Any job that requires touching people can't be replaced. Sure, being touched by a stranger is weird, but being touched by Freddy Fasber would be much weirder and uncomfortable

>>106473795 (OP)
jeets are not human thoughlbeit so his claim is moot

>>106473795 (OP)
>Bill "640k ought to be enough for anybody" Gates

>>106473795 (OP)
Test

>>106473874
i don't get it

>>106473795 (OP)
Donno about that. I am a mech enginiger into RF. Chatgpt writes me hundreds of lines of perfectly working code for data analysis. That is already a direct replacement for a job I would have offloaded to a non-showering fake engineer

>>106476734
Being touched by foxy tho...

>>106477399
Zamn...