>>24796031
The most useful writing of Fukushima is going to be when he do the exercise of doubting his thesis.
The first doubt is the simplest:
He wrote it on paper and published it about as the Soviet Union collapsed. Where a lot of the post mortem of the Soviet state turned out to align very well with Fukushima
However his first doubt do lead to his first brilliance: The argument he makes is that a lot of stronger types of government can't and won't deal with transition of power, meaning they got a really nice showing(such as the Soviet 5 year plans per WW2), capitalize on their power, and then wane. The THYMOS that lead to the rise of the national father, leads the national father to his goal, and then he runs out of things to do, and start slowly rotting in his manse as the yes men around him is incapable of giving new THYMOS to keep the state functioning.
So the first argument he makes is that he lucked out on publishing it as the USSR collapsed, even supplying a coherent explanation on how it happened.
But the second argument is more interesting.
The second argument deals with the democracies fatal flaw: As it sets in, you get managers. The managers lack thymos. The managers lack a real will, outside of wanting job security and staying in the circle jerk. The managers stay compliant and will do so as nobody is willing to blame each other and do work. And because democracies are inherently stable(basically the thesis), the long term is that everyone gets their share of the pie and things kinda work.
This argument ... with stock trading, stock ownership and being listed on the fortune 500 works. In the end, the person running Blackrock or the Dubai Wealth Fund is a manager and a bureaucrat with little thymos, and the bureaucrat is running the show instead of the stock owner.
But the third argument is a fork of the second
What about the people who WANT? Who has thymos.
Growth will eventually stagnate, as was obvious in the 90sas a big prat of many corporations growth strategies was foreign expansion. This means that there exists less opportunity for the individual with Thymos to engage with capitalism. You might end up with the fact its impossible to gain any form of leadership unless you are in the right part of the circlejerk and 50+.
These people used to go on global shipping fleets, joining the foreign legion, serving in the army, or start enterprises. I guess a few of them can be extreme sport live streamers, but what about the rest of them?
These people will bring chaos, and then die of old age, and then the democracy smooth that over.
The thesis of the argument he makes is that the second and third make a lot of sense.
But a argument that wasn't made:
What happens when the managers and bureaucrat are so entrenched that all they are doing is overring each others asses, as the system they don't fight to protect: it collapses?
I am not sold
But I can see the vision
