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ID: pGuUp9+U/biz/60622563#60623569
7/14/2025, 7:37:51 AM
Bitcoin.
1 BTC = 1/21m of BTC, forever. Realize how revolutionary that is, a trustless, fixed, autonomous, decentralized unit. That is what we've always wanted from money, it's why gold was used, because the natural properties of gold create an approximation of a unit. But gold isn't fixed in supply and is only trustless in physical form. As economies became more complicated gold needed to be abstracted rendering gold entirely trust-based, opening the door to corruption and the current sorry state of money.
What we want from money has always been the unit, by having an economic unit we reduce the number of prices from n^n to n. We cannot engage in complex economic calculation without a unit, but the units we've been forced to use out of necessity do not provide a clean economic signal, with a trustless fixed unit the efficiency of economic calculation is increased massively. BTC will continue to reward adopters as that is what the positive externality of trustless money yields.
1 BTC = 1/21m of BTC, forever. Realize how revolutionary that is, a trustless, fixed, autonomous, decentralized unit. That is what we've always wanted from money, it's why gold was used, because the natural properties of gold create an approximation of a unit. But gold isn't fixed in supply and is only trustless in physical form. As economies became more complicated gold needed to be abstracted rendering gold entirely trust-based, opening the door to corruption and the current sorry state of money.
What we want from money has always been the unit, by having an economic unit we reduce the number of prices from n^n to n. We cannot engage in complex economic calculation without a unit, but the units we've been forced to use out of necessity do not provide a clean economic signal, with a trustless fixed unit the efficiency of economic calculation is increased massively. BTC will continue to reward adopters as that is what the positive externality of trustless money yields.
ID: UklA0tBf/biz/60622802#60623458
7/14/2025, 7:18:41 AM
ID: H18IhWcE/biz/60620606#60622261
7/14/2025, 2:38:48 AM
>>60622085
@$1m BTC only needs $164bn in annual inflows to offset current subsidy. To put BTC into perspective: $270bn of gold is mined every year, gold market needs $270bn (~$250bn sans all functional demand for gold) in net inflows every year just to tread water. Bitcoin subsidy halves every 4yrs, so net nominal inflows necessary to support a given price also half every 4yrs.
@$1m BTC only needs $164bn in annual inflows to offset current subsidy. To put BTC into perspective: $270bn of gold is mined every year, gold market needs $270bn (~$250bn sans all functional demand for gold) in net inflows every year just to tread water. Bitcoin subsidy halves every 4yrs, so net nominal inflows necessary to support a given price also half every 4yrs.
ID: T/hKa+Oa/biz/60620881#60622183
7/14/2025, 2:23:31 AM
7/10/2025, 7:13:33 PM
ID: DDhD8m8X/biz/60601331#60602196
7/10/2025, 3:58:15 AM
ID: u9v3LH8u/biz/60585280#60585468
7/5/2025, 10:44:22 PM
ID: n8igzhbn/biz/60573464#60573619
7/2/2025, 8:37:23 PM
Net Nominal Demand: n = d-s+h
Where:
d: Bitcoin’s demand
s: Subsidy
h: Hodler Sales
All in nominal terms
+n line go up
-n line go down
As s is fixed in bitcoin terms, we can calculate the neutral demand, the demand from which h does not diminish: s*price = $344m/7d @ $109k. h is finite, so any n > 0 will deplete h in-the-limit.
Over the last month, we’ve been averaging almost a $1bn/week into ETFs alone, almost 3x the necessary net inflows to support a $109k price.
Why do you persist in denying empirical reality, bobo?
Where:
d: Bitcoin’s demand
s: Subsidy
h: Hodler Sales
All in nominal terms
+n line go up
-n line go down
As s is fixed in bitcoin terms, we can calculate the neutral demand, the demand from which h does not diminish: s*price = $344m/7d @ $109k. h is finite, so any n > 0 will deplete h in-the-limit.
Over the last month, we’ve been averaging almost a $1bn/week into ETFs alone, almost 3x the necessary net inflows to support a $109k price.
Why do you persist in denying empirical reality, bobo?
ID: WKSCyAqO/biz/60570664#60572563
7/2/2025, 5:36:45 PM
>>60570885
Dull.
Economic units have demand not because of belief, but because their supply properties allow demand to alter price primarily instead of supply, enabling economically useful functionality such as Store of Value and other economic abstractions. This is why grain et al, despite having great “intrinsic value” and near-universal acceptance performs poorly as an economic unit, grain has huge elastic supply so increasing demand results in increased supply, instead of increased price, preventing the encoding of economic state information into the price of grain and therefore preventing the use of grain et al as an economic unit.
Gold has been used as an economic unit since antiquity because its low elastic supply render it a fine natural approximation of a unit, but it still possesses elastic supply, bitcoin surpasses gold primarily by possessing perfect inelastic supply, while network effects keep BTC ahead of newer imitations as they fail to improve on the systemically important properties of bitcoin.
Dull.
Economic units have demand not because of belief, but because their supply properties allow demand to alter price primarily instead of supply, enabling economically useful functionality such as Store of Value and other economic abstractions. This is why grain et al, despite having great “intrinsic value” and near-universal acceptance performs poorly as an economic unit, grain has huge elastic supply so increasing demand results in increased supply, instead of increased price, preventing the encoding of economic state information into the price of grain and therefore preventing the use of grain et al as an economic unit.
Gold has been used as an economic unit since antiquity because its low elastic supply render it a fine natural approximation of a unit, but it still possesses elastic supply, bitcoin surpasses gold primarily by possessing perfect inelastic supply, while network effects keep BTC ahead of newer imitations as they fail to improve on the systemically important properties of bitcoin.
ID: W5VtkG+2/biz/60547889#60550717
6/26/2025, 5:27:17 PM
>>60550344
>b-but it can do the useful thing AND useless shit!
Scaling for scalings sake is superfluous to its function as money, as a unit of account, the valuable thing is the information encoded within it's price. There's little friction in the conversion to or from other monies, so there's no additional information gained by using it as common currency, you'll arrive at the same real-terms price either way, as you're encoding the same information.
>b-but it can do the useful thing AND useless shit!
Scaling for scalings sake is superfluous to its function as money, as a unit of account, the valuable thing is the information encoded within it's price. There's little friction in the conversion to or from other monies, so there's no additional information gained by using it as common currency, you'll arrive at the same real-terms price either way, as you're encoding the same information.
ID: NWD57KEG/biz/60543578#60543629
6/24/2025, 8:41:26 PM
ID: qqZPZ4Sj/biz/60540193#60540825
6/24/2025, 4:10:44 AM
ID: cztwMjSp/biz/60524606#60525089
6/20/2025, 4:19:37 AM
ID: SkmhJDch/biz/60520870#60524569
6/20/2025, 1:15:35 AM
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