>>64103443
Except that Russia is still a credible threat, it's just not the war you have in mind. Of course, there's always the possibility that they aim for a Berlin thunder rush out of retardation.
First of all, NATO will not invade Russian territory in their current state. The current leadership is too pussy for that. A proportional response would be what's expected.
Also, US support isn't really a guarantee. Trump is a literal retard and he's surrounded by people who hate Yuros. There will be further elections in Europe, and some retarded isolationist far right governments winning isn't that absurd, like Hungarians are now. Basically, the situation isn't a fully unified NATO taking on Russia, it's potentially a smaller amount of countries having to do that while the others are spazzing out. And that's before even considering whoever would flake out when facing Russian nuclear threats.
And once you take these into account, taking on Russia isn't that easy because even if say Poland, the Baltics and a few more can absolutely annihilate Russia's active forces, it then turns into a war of attrition and Russians are literally worthless. Occupying Moscow requires immense manpower if they even dare risk that, so you just end up with another war like Ukraine, that just fucks everyone and wastes tons of lives.
And I'm not even going to go into Chinese involvement.
The point is, they're warning about the worst potential scenarios, not the ideal war where TZD is achieved. I could probably write this post better but I'm on my phone.